Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $237.8550 (0.67%) ($235.5096 - $239.8336) on Thu. Sep. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $237.8550(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(52%)    XLV(50%)    XBI(46%)    ARKG(43%)    SPY(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    IPO(-8%)    IBUY(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $233.18(2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $231.88(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $233.37(1.92%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $78.421b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2016	230.06	233.37	231.88	233.18			237.86(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	5	45	3.71	45%	0.11	-39.7	1.55%	0	0.7	64	0
2	Sep_14_2016	229.8	233.62	230.71	232.26			236.28(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	7	25	4.03	45%	0.1	-40.9	1.57%	0	0.4	50	0
3	Sep_13_2016	229.56	233.95	229.91	231.03			231.74(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-12	2.96	41%	0.07	-42.7	1.56%	0	-0.3	33	0
4	Sep_12_2016	229.41	234.58	229.56	230.84			231.86(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	5	-37	2.98	41%	0.05	-38.2	1.56%	0	-0.4	33	0
5	Sep_9_2016	229.3	235.02	229.31	230.01			228.16(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-2	-69	3.67	38%	0.04	-43.9	1.58%	0	-0.9	29	0

6	Sep_8_2016	229.21	235.82	229.33	230.28			233.27(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	8	-88	2.55	41%	0.06	-43.1	1.56%	0	-0.3	32	0
7	Sep_7_2016	229.07	236.31	229.38	228.9			230.11(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-10000	2	-120	2.32	41%	0.05	-48.3	1.55%	0	-0.8	26	0
8	Sep_6_2016	228.95	236.93	230.65	228.62			230.79(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-29	-10000	3	-123	2.97	41%	0.17	-50	1.56%	0	-0.8	27	0
9	Sep_2_2016	228.57	237.4	231.91	228.15			227.74(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-10000	-2	-133	2.82	41%	0.08	-57	1.54%	0	-1.3	19	0
10	Sep_1_2016	228.38	238.28	233.5	228.53			229.48(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	2	-125	2.83	46%	0.07	-57.6	1.55%	0	-1.3	33	0

11	Aug_31_2016	228.21	239.06	234.92	228.25			226.37(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-10000	-9	-131	3.42	46%	0.05	-62.9	1.58%	0	-1.9	23	0
12	Aug_30_2016	228.09	239.98	236.74	229.93			228.73(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-17	-120	2.46	46%	0.04	-68.5	1.58%	0	-1.8	27	0
13	Aug_29_2016	228.01	240.7	238.34	233.06			228.41(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-17	-92	2.87	46%	0	-58.8	1.59%	0	-2.2	30	0
14	Aug_26_2016	228	241.63	240.08	236.32			229.64(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-10000	-15	-57	3.45	46%	-0.01	-44.3	1.6%	0	-2.5	38	0
15	Aug_25_2016	228.03	242.41	241.33	239.26			228.08(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-22	-10000	-16	-38	6.13	46%	-0.04	-28.8	1.62%	0	-3.5	29	0

16	Aug_24_2016	228.11	243.4	243.08	242.47			234.8(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-10	-10000	-10	-10	4.53	51%	0.03	0.8	1.57%	0	-2.9	36	0
17	Aug_23_2016	228.05	244.23	244.04	242.47			244.39(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-10000	0	11	1.61	60%	-0.1	49	1.5%	0	0.1	51	0
18	Aug_22_2016	228.28	244.04	243.85	244.4			244.71(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-1	11	1.68	60%	-0.06	56.2	1.52%	0	0.3	56	0
19	Aug_19_2016	228.42	243.79	243.37	244.5			244.32(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	4	6	1.99	60%	-0.07	61.5	1.52%	0	0.2	46	0
20	Aug_18_2016	228.57	243.61	243.41	243.82			244.12(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	0	-1	1.71	60%	-0.09	61.2	1.53%	0	0.2	50	0

21	Aug_17_2016	228.78	243.38	243.44	243.83			244.48(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	1	-4	3.43	60%	-0.09	63.7	1.53%	0	0.4	46	0
22	Aug_16_2016	228.98	243.09	243.35	243.62			244.37(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-16	2.7	60%	-0.1	60.7	1.54%	0	0.4	39	0
23	Aug_15_2016	229.2	242.62	243.12	243.21			245.2(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	6	-16	2.8	60%	0.07	57.7	1.54%	0	0.7	56	0
24	Aug_12_2016	229.04	242.18	243.14	242.11			240.91(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-4	-20	2.4	56%	-0.13	52.7	1.57%	0	-0.3	54	0
25	Aug_11_2016	229.33	241.88	243.48	242.92			244.21(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-10000	-0	-6	2.88	56%		58.2	1.61%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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