Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $219.5651 (-0.2%) ($217.7506 - $221.7464) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.62% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $219.5651(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN declines -5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(52%)    XLV(51%)    XBI(47%)    ARKG(43%)    SPY(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -1.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    IBUY(-10%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.31% (StdDev 2.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $203.62(-7.26%)
Resistance Level   $234.3
5 Day Moving Average   $215.84(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $216.31(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $234.3(-6.29%)
To recent high   -23.9%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $72.391b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 9.53% (three month std-dev: 2.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	273.14	234.3	216.31	215.84			219.57(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	8	-131	3.65	44%	-0.33	-53	2.62%	0	-0.7	30	0
2	Apr_20_2016	274.05	236.81	217.42	213.7			220(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-38	-10000	5	-167	4.12	44%	-0.35	-52.2	2.63%	0	-0.7	30	0
3	Apr_19_2016	275	239.14	218.83	212.25			217.81(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-49	-10000	2	-201	4.38	44%	-0.32	-54.2	2.62%	0	-0.9	27	0
4	Apr_18_2016	275.88	241.49	219.81	211.65			212.25(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-65	-10000	-6	-240	4.37	42%	-0.36	-58.6	2.6%	0	-1.2	24	0
5	Apr_15_2016	276.89	243.97	225	213.28			209.6(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-10000	-13	-233	5.19	42%	-0.26	-64.4	2.61%	0	-1.5	21	0

6	Apr_14_2016	277.6	246.76	229.79	216.92			208.85(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	-10000	-16	-225	6.99	45%	-0.38	-67.7	2.61%	0	-1.7	20	0
7	Apr_13_2016	278.65	249.63	234.76	221.67			212.72(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-64	-10000	-16	-209	12.62	43%	-0.33	-71.8	2.66%	0	-1.9	20	0
8	Apr_12_2016	279.58	252.75	240.01	226.37			214.82(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-53	-10000	-9	-186	9.76	43%	-0.29	-72.2	2.68%	0	-2.1	24	0
9	Apr_11_2016	280.38	256.22	245.02	229.06			220.41(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-10000	-30	-184	9.38	43%	-0.31	-73.4	2.67%	0	-2.1	28	0
10	Apr_8_2016	281.24	259.68	249.72	238.56			227.78(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-10000	-19	-135	7.15	45%	-0.24	-60.7	2.65%	0	-2	35	0

11	Apr_7_2016	281.91	262.34	253.99	244.75			232.6(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-16	-102	9.95	45%	-0.25	-56.4	2.64%	0	-2	35	0
12	Apr_6_2016	282.62	264.79	257.99	249.97			236.21(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-10000	-17	-73	21.02	45%	-0.19	-53.2	2.63%	0	-2.1	37	0
13	Apr_5_2016	283.15	266.83	261.31	255.8			228.31(-14.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-29	-10000	-21	-52	36.59	42%	-0.22	-52.3	2.6%	0	-3.2	26	0
14	Apr_4_2016	283.78	269.5	265.33	262.94			267.88(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	1	-34	6.36	53%	-0.08	-54.9	1.83%	0	-0.2	36	0
15	Apr_1_2016	284.01	270	264.57	262.64			258.75(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-9	-73	7.55	50%	-0.11	-59.8	1.78%	0	-1.3	23	0

16	Mar_31_2016	284.33	271.06	265.1	264.81			258.69(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-10000	-11	-78	3.76	50%	-0.15	-58.3	1.79%	0	-1.5	35	0
17	Mar_30_2016	284.75	272.26	265.65	267.37			265.36(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-2	-77	3.21	52%	-0.12	-47.6	1.77%	0	-0.9	38	0
18	Mar_29_2016	285.08	273.24	266.36	267.81			263.99(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-1	-77	3.3	52%	-0.08	-40.4	1.77%	0	-1.1	43	0
19	Mar_28_2016	285.31	274.07	268.1	267.97			266.39(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-14	-10000	5	-69	2.72	52%	-0.14	-39.1	1.79%	0	-1	41	0
20	Mar_24_2016	285.71	275.11	270.14	266.7			269.59(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	5	-68	2.24	52%	-0.1	-30.7	1.78%	0	-0.7	43	0

21	Mar_23_2016	285.99	275.91	271.02	265.42			271.51(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	7	-78	3.09	52%	-0.1	-26.2	1.78%	0	-0.5	43	0
22	Mar_22_2016	286.28	276.11	271.78	263.77			267.56(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-10000	-5	-98	3.31	52%	-0.13	-31.5	1.77%	0	-1	38	0
23	Mar_21_2016	286.66	276.62	272.51	264.88			264.77(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-10000	-15	-109	2.57	52%	-0.12	-27.7	1.76%	0	-1.5	33	0
24	Mar_18_2016	287	277.25	273.91	268.49			260.04(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-24	-92	6.29	50%	-0.12	-12.6	1.75%	0	-2.2	35	0
25	Mar_17_2016	287.35	277.72	275.89	274.2			263.2(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-13	-60	5.38	50%		8.8	1.75%	0	-2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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