Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $271.5102 (1.48%) ($266.3949 - $272.7456) on Wed. Mar. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $271.5102(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(51%)    XLV(50%)    XBI(45%)    ARKG(42%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $264.76(-2.49%)
Resistance Level   $275.91
5 Day Moving Average   $265.42(2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $271.02(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $275.91(-1.59%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $89.517b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2016	285.99	275.91	271.02	265.42			271.51(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	7	-78	3.09	52%	-0.1	-26.2	1.78%	0	-0.5	43	0
2	Mar_22_2016	286.28	276.11	271.78	263.77			267.56(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-10000	-5	-98	3.31	52%	-0.13	-31.5	1.77%	0	-1	38	0
3	Mar_21_2016	286.66	276.62	272.51	264.88			264.77(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-10000	-15	-109	2.57	52%	-0.12	-27.7	1.76%	0	-1.5	33	0
4	Mar_18_2016	287	277.25	273.91	268.49			260.04(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-24	-92	6.29	50%	-0.12	-12.6	1.75%	0	-2.2	35	0
5	Mar_17_2016	287.35	277.72	275.89	274.2			263.2(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-13	-60	5.38	50%	-0.05	8.8	1.75%	0	-2	32	0

6	Mar_16_2016	287.5	278.11	277.65	277.39			263.26(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-22	-10000	-13	-47	7.87	50%	-0.05	22.5	1.75%	0	-2.3	34	0
7	Mar_15_2016	287.63	278.72	279.69	280.71			273.14(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-1	-12	4.38	54%	0.04	50.2	1.7%	0	-1	51	0
8	Mar_14_2016	287.51	278.84	280.95	280.99			282.81(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	4	2	2.48	58%	0.08	65.9	1.65%	0	0.7	56	0
9	Mar_11_2016	287.27	278.26	280.66	280.1			288.56(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	9	2	2.39	61%	0.16	65.4	1.63%	0	1.7	61	0
10	Mar_10_2016	286.8	277.08	280.4	278.11			279.17(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	-0	9	2.13	57%	0.1	57.1	1.58%	0	0.3	64	0

11	Mar_9_2016	286.5	276.65	281.05	278.18			279.88(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	-2	31	2.41	57%	0.09	57.8	1.58%	0	0.5	62	0
12	Mar_8_2016	286.23	275.85	280.62	278.66			274.52(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-10	35	1.67	55%	0.04	50.4	1.57%	0	-0.2	53	0
13	Mar_7_2016	286.12	275.08	280.96	280.88			278.34(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-2	59	2.62	55%	0.03	42.9	1.57%	0	0.4	54	0
14	Mar_4_2016	286.02	274.41	280.8	281.21			278.61(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-8	67	2.58	55%	0.05	37.5	1.57%	0	0.5	58	0
15	Mar_3_2016	285.87	273.65	279.72	283.02			279.53(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-6	85	2.33	55%	0.07	37.9	1.58%	0	0.7	64	0

16	Mar_2_2016	285.67	273.1	278.71	284.32			282.29(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	7	101	2.24	55%	0.11	36.8	1.59%	0	1.1	60	0
17	Mar_1_2016	285.36	272.44	277.81	282.82			285.6(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	8	105	2.2	55%	0.08	25.3	1.59%	0	1.6	67	0
18	Feb_29_2016	285.13	271.72	276.64	281.06			280(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	4	113	2.43	53%	0.05	13	1.61%	0	1.1	68	0
19	Feb_26_2016	284.98	271.38	275.72	280.23			287.69(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	47	-10000	20	126	3.4	57%	0.08	2.2	1.58%	0	2.2	66	0
20	Feb_25_2016	284.76	270.49	273.4	275.92			286.02(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	36	-10000	16	95	3.86	57%	0.09	-26.6	1.59%	0	2.5	66	0

21	Feb_24_2016	284.49	270.05	271.68	272.38			274.78(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	1	67	2.39	56%	0.04	-49.8	1.54%	0	0.9	54	0
22	Feb_23_2016	284.37	270.42	270.53	272.09			276.79(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	2	55	2.35	50%	0.03	-43.8	1.6%	0	1	55	0
23	Feb_22_2016	284.28	270.75	268.61	271.64			275.86(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	5	33	2.84	50%	-0.01	-41.5	1.65%	0	0.7	51	0
24	Feb_19_2016	284.31	271.22	267.4	270.6			266.14(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	-10000	1	11	3.45	50%	-0.02	-41.7	1.65%	0	-0.6	42	0
25	Feb_18_2016	284.37	272.15	267.14	270.37			268.3(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-3	2.51	56%		-36.2	1.68%	0	-0.5	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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