Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $254.2434 (-3.62%) ($248.5297 - $264.6383) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.64% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $254.2434(-3.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(52%)    IBB(51%)    XBI(45%)    ARKG(41%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -1.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.32% (StdDev 2.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

Resistance Level   $263.85
5 Day Moving Average   $262.19(-3.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $261.87(-2.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $263.85(-3.64%)
To recent high   -22.4%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $83.824b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 2.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2015	291.11	263.85	261.87	262.19			254.24(-3.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-6	-10000	1	-27	4.73	47%	-0.15	-52.6	2.64%	0	-1	47	0
2	Oct_19_2015	291.55	265.01	262.86	261.92			263.79(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-0	-14	2.58	49%	-0.11	-61	2.61%	0	-0.1	64	0
3	Oct_16_2015	291.88	265.56	263.3	261.94			268.44(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	2	4	2.84	49%	-0.12	-60.8	2.6%	0	0.3	64	0
4	Oct_15_2015	292.22	266.27	264.04	261.3			264.53(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-1	7	3.97	49%	-0.11	-56.6	2.59%	0	-0.1	49	0
5	Oct_14_2015	292.54	267.46	264.76	261.71			259.93(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	-10000	0	3	4.06	49%	-0.1	-48.9	2.58%	0	-0.6	42	0

6	Oct_13_2015	292.84	269.03	265.09	261.64			252.92(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-6	-11	3.69	48%	-0.14	-44.1	2.56%	0	-1.2	41	0
7	Oct_12_2015	293.25	271.02	264.5	263.73			263.88(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-3	-27	2.31	51%	-0.09	-40	2.53%	0	-0.5	44	0
8	Oct_9_2015	293.52	272.08	262.89	264.73			265.27(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-7	-47	3.79	53%	-0.09	-37.4	2.55%	0	-0.5	46	0
9	Oct_8_2015	293.78	273.04	263.2	267.28			266.54(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-46	3.98	52%	-0.07	-33.3	2.56%	0	-0.5	42	0
10	Oct_7_2015	293.99	273.87	264.37	268.47			259.62(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-2	-49	5.79	50%	-0.1	-33.1	2.55%	0	-1	37	0

11	Oct_6_2015	294.28	275.16	266.01	269.01			263.37(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	-10000	12	-54	5.96	50%	-0.08	-32.2	2.54%	0	-0.9	37	0
12	Oct_5_2015	294.51	276.47	267.36	265			268.88(-3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	14	-85	4.97	50%	-0.06	-41.8	2.53%	0	-0.6	39	0
13	Oct_2_2015	294.68	277.22	267.95	260.43			277.97(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-26	-10000	5	-119	4.79	52%	-0.03	-55.8	2.52%	0	0.1	46	0
14	Oct_1_2015	294.78	277.62	268.37	258.69			272.51(3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-37	-10000	-5	-134	4.74	52%	-0.04	-63.6	2.51%	0	-0.4	44	0
15	Sep_30_2015	294.91	278.43	269.91	260.28			262.34(7.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-10000	-9	-128	6.87	51%	-0.08	-62.4	2.46%	0	-1.2	40	0

16	Sep_29_2015	295.15	279.58	272.87	263.14			243.32(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-49	-10000	-23	-125	8.76	44%	-0.17	-58.7	2.26%	0	-2.7	23	0
17	Sep_28_2015	295.64	282.22	278.03	270.02			245.99(-8.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.3	-36	-10000	-19	-86	10.34	44%	-0.13	-52.8	2.27%	0	-3.5	22	0
18	Sep_25_2015	296.02	284.92	282.33	275.96			269.31(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-11	-58	4.93	50%	-0.03	-52.7	2.01%	0	-2.3	40	0
19	Sep_24_2015	296.1	286.52	284.03	279.09			280.44(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-7	-42	3.6	53%	0.02	-38.9	1.95%	0	-0.9	44	0
20	Sep_23_2015	296.03	287.26	284.38	281.12			276.63(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-12	-38	2.51	54%	0	-38.5	1.95%	0	-1.6	38	0

21	Sep_22_2015	296.02	287.55	285.28	284.43			277.74(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-11	-18	4.93	55%	-0.01	-46.2	1.96%	0	-1.5	46	0
22	Sep_21_2015	296.04	287.84	286.53	287.51			275.67(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-6	-10000	-7	-2	4.22	55%	-0.01	-55.2	1.97%	0	-2	37	0
23	Sep_18_2015	296.08	288.53	287.47	289.51			285(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	0	-0	4.27	59%	0.04	-65.4	1.93%	0	-0.7	39	0
24	Sep_17_2015	295.96	289.09	287.71	289.5			290.56(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-12	3.99	59%	0.04	-69.7	1.92%	0	0.3	39	0
25	Sep_16_2015	295.83	289.85	287.52	288.06			293.16(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	6	-27	1.94	59%		-61.5	1.92%	0	0.5	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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