Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $284.6461 (-1.75%) ($283.5362 - $293.1492) on Wed. Sep. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $284.6461(-1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(53%)    IBB(52%)    XBI(46%)    ARKG(42%)    SPY(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

Resistance Level   $294.16
5 Day Moving Average   $286.83(-0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $290.21(-1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $294.16(-3.23%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $93.848b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 3.24% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2015	295.54	294.16	290.21	286.83			284.65(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	-10000	1	-23	1.44	58%	0	-63.6	1.91%	0	-1	37	0
2	Sep_8_2015	295.53	295.25	289.97	286.69			289.72(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-3	-54	1.65	58%	0.04	-70.4	1.9%	0	-0.6	38	0
3	Sep_4_2015	295.4	296.25	289.25	287.38			283.51(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-10	-82	1.87	56%	-0.01	-70.6	1.87%	0	-1.3	33	0
4	Sep_3_2015	295.42	297.58	289.8	290.13			287.08(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-10	-82	1.64	56%	-0.01	-70	1.87%	0	-1.1	41	0
5	Sep_2_2015	295.44	298.65	290.72	292.94			289.17(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-5	-73	2.31	56%	0.01	-60	1.86%	0	-0.9	41	0

6	Sep_1_2015	295.42	300.36	292.43	294.17			283.96(-3.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-13	-10000	3	-61	3.47	56%	0	-56	1.85%	0	-1.4	37	0
7	Aug_31_2015	295.42	302.14	294.89	293.48			293.16(-1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	9	-62	2.27	60%	0.03	-60.7	1.82%	0	-0.8	40	0
8	Aug_28_2015	295.33	303.59	296.45	291.18			297.28(-1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	7	-78	2.18	59%	0.05	-62.6	1.82%	0	-0.5	40	0
9	Aug_27_2015	295.18	304.66	297.01	289.36			301.13(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-22	-10000	3	-98	2.92	60%	0.06	-58.6	1.83%	0	-0.3	42	0
10	Aug_26_2015	295.01	305.44	297.24	288.47			295.32(5.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-35	-10000	-9	-113	2.98	59%	0.03	-53.5	1.84%	0	-0.8	39	0

11	Aug_25_2015	294.91	306.94	298.15	290.95			280.51(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-50	-10000	-22	-132	3.49	55%	-0.02	-39.8	1.72%	0	-2	15	0
12	Aug_24_2015	294.98	309.35	300.89	296.68			281.65(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-44	-10000	-22	-110	5.29	55%	-0.05	-24.1	1.73%	0	-2.4	23	0
13	Aug_21_2015	295.12	311.18	303.93	302.36			288.17(-2.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-31	-10000	-12	-87	4.66	58%	0	-8.3	1.71%	0	-2.3	23	0
14	Aug_20_2015	295.11	311.86	306.24	305.44			296.68(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-6	-77	2.63	61%	0.03	-3.9	1.68%	0	-1.7	32	0
15	Aug_19_2015	295.01	312.36	307.5	307.03			307.75(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	2	-78	1.4	65%	0.07	0	1.61%	0	-0.5	41	0

16	Aug_18_2015	294.8	312.26	309.05	306.44			309.14(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-10000	2	-84	1.46	65%	0.05	-4.1	1.62%	0	-0.4	35	0
17	Aug_17_2015	294.64	312.15	309.98	305.9			310.06(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-10000	-0	-98	1.33	65%	0.06	-8.1	1.62%	0	-0.2	34	0
18	Aug_14_2015	294.47	312.02	311.17	306.03			303.54(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-5	-94	1.47	64%	0.04	-7.9	1.6%	0	-1	43	0
19	Aug_13_2015	294.34	312.19	312.8	307.29			304.65(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-3	-64	1.74	64%	0.05	-1.8	1.6%	0	-0.9	58	0
20	Aug_12_2015	294.19	312.35	314.14	308.03			304.81(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-16	-51	3.82	62%	0.02	7.4	1.6%	0	-0.9	53	0

21	Aug_11_2015	294.13	312.62	316.28	312.05			306.43(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-10000	-10	0	1.71	64%	0.01	32.1	1.61%	0	-0.7	54	0
22	Aug_10_2015	294.1	312.84	318.42	314.66			310.7(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-10	40	1.67	64%	0.02	49.4	1.64%	0	-0.3	55	0
23	Aug_7_2015	294.05	312.71	319.03	317.17			309.87(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-7	68	3.19	66%	0.02	62.4	1.65%	0	-0.3	54	0
24	Aug_6_2015	293.99	312.35	318.12	319.12			308.34(-5.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	13	-10000	-7	74	3.97	66%	0.02	65.6	1.66%	0	-0.4	54	0
25	Aug_5_2015	293.93	311.73	317.94	320.93			324.91(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	23	-10000	-1	96	2.07	71%		63.5	1.53%	0	1.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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