Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $255.9904 (3.94%) ($247.1881 - $258.6349) on Wed. Jan. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $255.9904(3.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(55%)    IBB(54%)    XBI(47%)    SPY(43%)    IVE(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $249.71(2.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $249.16(2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $250.7(2.11%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   22.1%
Market Cap   $84.4b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 1.26% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2015	236.98	250.7	249.16	249.71			255.99(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-1	-10000	4	-14	4.39	55%	0.18	-50.8	1.97%	0	1.7	60	0
2	Jan_6_2015	236.56	250.66	248.7	248.62			246.28(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-4	-27	2.77	51%	0.16	-59.8	1.91%	0	-1.4	41	0
3	Jan_5_2015	236.19	251.18	249.64	249.6			247.75(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3	-10000	-0	-12	2.41	51%	0.17	-56.8	1.91%	0	-1.1	48	0
4	Jan_2_2015	235.78	251.69	250.29	249.67			250.1(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	4	-9	2.18	55%	0.35	-58	1.97%	0	-0.5	46	0
5	Dec_31_2014	234.96	252	250.46	248.72			248.44(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	1	-15	1.4	55%	0.23	-64.8	1.98%	0	-1	50	0

6	Dec_30_2014	234.42	252.33	250.42	248.43			250.53(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-8	-10000	-2	-26	1.26	54%	0.24	-72.5	1.98%	0	-0.5	46	0
7	Dec_29_2014	233.86	252.5	250.72	248.83			251.15(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-10	-10000	-4	-27	1.44	54%	0.23	-66.2	1.99%	0	-0.4	44	0
8	Dec_26_2014	233.33	252.97	250.61	249.83			248.13(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-5	-28	0.97	54%	0.37	-40.3	1.99%	0	-1.2	41	0
9	Dec_24_2014	232.47	253.6	251.18	251.11			245.34(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-5	-25	1.17	55%	0.17	-26.1	1.97%	0	-2	36	0
10	Dec_23_2014	232.08	254.39	251.71	252.41			246.97(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6	-10000	-1	-22	2.62	57%	0.17	-17.9	2%	0	-1.9	40	0

11	Dec_22_2014	231.69	254.95	252.5	252.53			252.54(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-1	-23	1.9	56%	0.19	4.2	2%	0	-0.7	47	0
12	Dec_19_2014	231.24	254.9	252.83	252.79			256.14(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	5	-16	3.53	57%	0.22	24.7	2.02%	0	0.3	53	0
13	Dec_18_2014	230.74	254.59	252.82	251.55			254.56(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	1	-31	3.32	57%	0.2	34	2.03%	0	-0	42	0
14	Dec_17_2014	230.27	254.69	253.11	251.41			251.81(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	2	-35	2.86	57%	0.2	61	2.02%	0	-0.7	38	0
15	Dec_16_2014	229.82	255.09	253.57	251.01			247.58(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-5	-45	3.32	58%	0.17	86.1	2.02%	0	-1.9	33	0

16	Dec_15_2014	229.42	254.81	254.38	252.4			253.84(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-2	-39	3.06	61%	0.19	78.9	2%	0	-0.2	45	0
17	Dec_12_2014	228.98	253.99	254.4	252.89			249.98(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-5	-35	2.82	61%	0.17	62.1	1.99%	0	-0.6	52	0
18	Dec_11_2014	228.58	253.28	255.5	254.26			253.84(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-3	-14	2.73	61%	0.18	52.1	1.98%	0	0.1	59	0
19	Dec_10_2014	228.16	252.31	256.19	255.13			249.79(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-5	-4	2.41	61%	0.18	45.1	1.97%	0	-0.3	43	0
20	Dec_9_2014	227.75	251.67	257.34	256.48			254.54(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10000	-0	8	1.98	61%	0.21	45.5	1.96%	0	0.3	43	0

21	Dec_8_2014	227.28	250.86	257.68	256.58			256.32(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	2	29	2.23	61%	0.2	43.6	1.96%	0	0.5	68	0
22	Dec_5_2014	226.82	249.94	257.2	256.09			256.79(-0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-3	41	2.49	61%	0.21	43	1.96%	0	0.6	70	0
23	Dec_4_2014	226.35	249.18	256.55	256.97			258.18(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-2	68	2.38	61%	0.21	49.1	1.95%	0	0.9	73	0
24	Dec_3_2014	225.87	248.23	256.39	257.54			256.58(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-3	101	2.21	61%	0.2	55.6	1.95%	0	0.8	73	0
25	Dec_2_2014	225.41	247.25	256.71	258.41			255.01(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	33	-10000	-2	139	2.37	61%		60.9	1.95%	0	0.7	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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