Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $256.3186 (-0.18%) ($253.6740 - $258.9438) on Mon. Dec. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $256.3186(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(55%)    IBB(54%)    XBI(47%)    SPY(43%)    IVE(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $256.58(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $257.68(-0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $250.86(2.18%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $84.508b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 4.11% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2014	227.28	250.86	257.68	256.58			256.32(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	2	29	2.23	61%	0.2	43.6	1.96%	0	0.5	68	0
2	Dec_5_2014	226.82	249.94	257.2	256.09			256.79(-0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-3	41	2.49	61%	0.21	43	1.96%	0	0.6	70	0
3	Dec_4_2014	226.35	249.18	256.55	256.97			258.18(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-2	68	2.38	61%	0.21	49.1	1.95%	0	0.9	73	0
4	Dec_3_2014	225.87	248.23	256.39	257.54			256.58(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-3	101	2.21	61%	0.2	55.6	1.95%	0	0.8	73	0
5	Dec_2_2014	225.41	247.25	256.71	258.41			255.01(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	33	-10000	-2	139	2.37	61%	0.19	60.9	1.95%	0	0.7	68	0

6	Dec_1_2014	224.99	246.44	255.33	258.92			253.91(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	40	-10000	3	151	2.75	61%	0.2	67.4	1.96%	0	0.7	65	0
7	Nov_28_2014	224.54	245.47	253.68	258.28			261.18(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	-10000	9	154	1.18	64%	0.3	66.5	1.92%	0	1.5	72	0
8	Nov_26_2014	223.87	244.11	250.98	255.94			261.05(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	3	129	2.09	64%	0.23	65.4	1.91%	0	1.6	65	0
9	Nov_25_2014	223.36	242.54	248.15	255.09			260.89(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	1	117	3.9	64%	0.22	70.3	1.91%	0	1.9	67	0
10	Nov_24_2014	222.88	240.99	245.54	254.95			257.58(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	15	124	4.19	64%	0.16	79.8	1.9%	0	1.8	67	0

11	Nov_21_2014	222.53	239.57	243.42	251.29			250.7(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	13	98	4.51	63%	0.17	81.6	1.88%	0	1.3	61	0
12	Nov_20_2014	222.16	238.6	242.05	248.21			249.49(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	14	80	5.88	63%	0.16	82.1	1.88%	0	1.3	64	0
13	Nov_19_2014	221.8	237.56	241.17	244.95			256.77(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	-10000	22	70	6.66	67%	0.19	78.6	1.84%	0	2.3	70	0
14	Nov_18_2014	221.39	235.85	239.24	240.05			260.21(8.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	29	-10000	23	45	13.03	68%	0.21	78.7	1.85%	0	3.3	77	0
15	Nov_17_2014	220.93	233.96	236.67	235.03			239.3(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	-10000	2	7	16.7	62%	0.11	85.1	1.53%	0	0.9	64	0

16	Nov_14_2014	220.69	232.98	236.57	234.61			235.28(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-2	15	1.84	64%	0.09	76.4	1.52%	0	0.4	61	0
17	Nov_13_2014	220.5	232.13	236.52	235.02			233.21(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-9	20	2.2	65%	0.08	61.6	1.55%	0	0.1	54	0
18	Nov_12_2014	220.32	231.27	236.73	236.71			232.24(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-8	44	3.06	65%	0.07	48.5	1.56%	0	0.1	58	0
19	Nov_11_2014	220.16	230.24	236.67	238.12			235.14(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-2	73	2.11	63%	0.1	36.3	1.55%	0	0.5	70	0
20	Nov_10_2014	219.94	229.25	236.3	238.44			237.17(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-2	87	1.62	63%	0.13	26.4	1.56%	0	0.8	72	0

21	Nov_7_2014	219.66	228.16	235.64	238.79			237.34(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	3	112	2.04	62%	0.14	18.3	1.56%	0	1	77	0
22	Nov_6_2014	219.36	227.66	235.11	238.17			241.66(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	7	135	3.83	60%	0.15	12.4	1.55%	0	1.5	86	0
23	Nov_5_2014	219.04	227.15	233.82	236.79			239.27(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	9	142	3.24	60%	0.15	11.4	1.63%	0	1.4	86	0
24	Nov_4_2014	218.72	226.95	232.26	235.03			236.77(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	6	150	2.57	60%	0.16	10.1	1.63%	0	1.1	88	0
25	Nov_3_2014	218.37	226.76	231.01	233.81			238.88(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	9	160	2.4	60%		7.6	1.62%	0	1.4	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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