Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $227.4119 (-2.56%) ($226.2344 - $231.8903) on Mon. Sep. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $227.4119(-2.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(56%)    XBI(47%)    SPY(44%)    VT(43%)    QQQ(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $229.94(-1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $227.64(-0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $224.32(1.38%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $74.978b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2014	209.88	224.32	227.64	229.94			227.41(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	25	-10000	1	95	2.6	62%	0.16	84.7	1.09%	0	0.7	65	0
2	Sep_19_2014	209.55	223.92	227.41	229.79			233.39(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	39	-10000	12	118	3.68	68%	0.16	96.4	1.04%	0	2.2	83	0
3	Sep_18_2014	209.22	223.14	226.36	228.36			229.64(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	9	110	1.62	66%	0.16	114	1.03%	0	1.7	80	0
4	Sep_17_2014	208.89	222.44	225.58	227.36			228.83(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	10	106	2.24	69%	0.19	127.3	1.04%	0	1.7	80	0
5	Sep_16_2014	208.5	221.76	224.77	226.23			230.44(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	31	-10000	10	92	1.93	69%	0.2	145	1.06%	0	2.3	79	0

6	Sep_15_2014	208.09	220.77	223.8	225.04			226.66(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	3	80	1.61	67%	0.17	150.6	1.05%	0	1.5	76	0
7	Sep_12_2014	207.73	219.86	223.05	224.68			226.22(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	5	77	2.61	67%	0.15	139.1	1.05%	0	1.4	71	0
8	Sep_11_2014	207.41	218.85	222.3	224.08			224.63(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	70	1.18	67%	0.14	125.3	1.06%	0	1.1	71	0
9	Sep_10_2014	207.13	217.67	221.68	223.53			223.19(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	4	69	2.21	67%	0.13	101	1.07%	0	0.9	75	0
10	Sep_9_2014	206.87	216.39	221.34	223.01			224.51(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	6	75	1.62	67%	0.14	76.2	1.07%	0	1	81	0

11	Sep_8_2014	206.58	215.01	220.75	222.32			224.85(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	10	88	1.41	67%	0.09	60	1.07%	0	1.1	87	0
12	Sep_5_2014	206.39	213.72	220.16	221.17			223.23(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	8	99	1.31	67%	0.16	50	1.07%	0	1.1	88	0
13	Sep_4_2014	206.06	212.42	219.65	220.26			221.85(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	6	116	1.79	62%	0.15	40.7	1.09%	0	1	90	0
14	Sep_3_2014	205.75	211.31	219.04	219.57			220.59(-0.23%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	36	-10000	1	141	1.07	62%	0.17	34.4	1.12%	0	1	92	0
15	Sep_2_2014	205.41	210.6	218.53	219.41			221.09(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	-10000	4	189	1.51	62%	0.31	35.2	1.12%	0	1.1	94	0

16	Aug_29_2014	204.78	209.9	217.51	218.94			219.07(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	54	-10000	-1	220	0.85	62%	0.17	36.7	1.12%	0	1.1	94	0
17	Aug_28_2014	204.43	209.31	216.47	219			218.7(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	63	-10000	1	249	0.68	62%	0.12	37.7	1.13%	0	1.1	83	0
18	Aug_27_2014	204.18	208.67	215.2	218.94			218.43(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	71	-10000	4	270	1.09	62%	0.17	36.6	1.16%	0	1.2	84	0
19	Aug_26_2014	203.84	208.09	213.45	218.37			219.79(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	74	-10000	7	275	1.27	62%	0.16	34	1.15%	0	1.5	79	0
20	Aug_25_2014	203.51	207.4	211.16	217.47			218.72(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	71	-10000	13	244	1.05	62%	0.12	32.5	1.16%	0	1.6	62	0

21	Aug_22_2014	203.26	206.77	208.91	215.82			219.39(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	-10000	18	198	1.12	62%	0.1	27.2	1.16%	0	1.8	60	0
22	Aug_21_2014	203.06	206.21	206.79	213.53			218.37(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	-10000	21	145	2.14	62%	0.08	18.9	1.19%	0	1.9	60	0
23	Aug_20_2014	202.89	205.74	204.59	210.9			215.58(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	26	91	1.36	60%	0.07	8	1.18%	0	1.7	59	0
24	Aug_19_2014	202.75	205.47	202.87	207.74			215.31(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	-10000	32	29	2.33	60%	0.08	-5.9	1.19%	0	1.8	56	0
25	Aug_18_2014	202.58	205.08	201.86	203.89			210.47(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	12	-10000	25	-28	1.63	56%		-29.1	1.16%	0	1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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