Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $209.4405 (0.9%) ($207.3075 - $213.2915) on Wed. Jun. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $209.4405(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(55%)    XBI(46%)    SPY(43%)    QQQ(42%)    VT(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $204.56(2.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $203.14(3.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $203.98(2.68%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $69.053b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2014	198.53	203.98	203.14	204.56			209.44(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	4	-10000	6	-1	2.93	50%	0.09	45	1.87%	0	2	54	0
2	Jun_17_2014	198.36	203.45	202.47	203.34			207.57(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	4	-10000	8	-10	2.19	50%	0.07	32.3	1.88%	0	1.6	57	0
3	Jun_16_2014	198.22	203.12	202.38	201.86			203.05(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	2	-25	2.07	48%	0.04	26.4	1.87%	0	-0	43	0
4	Jun_13_2014	198.14	203	202.63	201.46			201.72(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-0	-30	1.16	48%	0.03	41.6	1.89%	0	-0.5	42	0
5	Jun_12_2014	198.08	202.87	202.87	201.48			201.02(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	0	-32	1.38	48%	0.03	53	1.9%	0	-0.7	44	0

6	Jun_11_2014	198.03	202.79	203.36	201.42			203.33(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-10000	-0	-25	1.75	48%	0.04	57.6	1.91%	0	0.2	55	0
7	Jun_10_2014	197.95	202.62	203.33	201.49			200.17(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-8	-23	1.89	48%	0.02	62.9	1.92%	0	-0.8	55	0
8	Jun_9_2014	197.91	202.47	204.01	203.01			201.06(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	-5	-1	1.49	48%	0.03	65	1.93%	0	-0.4	51	0
9	Jun_6_2014	197.85	201.96	204.55	203.99			201.81(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-2	16	1.46	48%	0.04	49.3	1.95%	0	-0	54	0
10	Jun_5_2014	197.78	201.44	204.91	204.46			200.75(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-5	28	2.29	48%	0.03	36.2	1.97%	0	-0.1	56	0

11	Jun_4_2014	197.73	201.19	205.03	205.51			203.65(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	1	44	3.25	48%	0.06	39.2	1.97%	0	0.5	60	0
12	Jun_3_2014	197.62	200.82	204.63	205.38			207.79(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	1	42	1.33	50%	0.1	42.9	1.97%	0	1.3	65	0
13	Jun_2_2014	197.43	200.42	203.97	205.2			205.94(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	-0	48	1.77	50%	0.08	54.7	1.99%	0	1.1	68	0
14	May_30_2014	197.27	199.88	203.42	205.28			204.17(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-1	64	2.89	50%	0.07	60.7	2%	0	0.9	75	0
15	May_29_2014	197.14	199.66	202.88	205.47			206.01(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	5	81	1.29	50%	0.09	68.4	2.02%	0	1.3	76	0

16	May_28_2014	196.97	199.2	202.16	204.46			203(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10000	4	79	1.7	50%	0.06	67.3	2.03%	0	0.8	62	0
17	May_27_2014	196.85	198.61	201.85	203.65			206.88(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	5	79	1.47	50%	0.11	52.3	2.03%	0	1.7	65	0
18	May_23_2014	196.64	197.77	200.76	202.53			206.32(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	6	65	1.44	50%	0.1	40.4	2.05%	0	1.8	56	0
19	May_22_2014	196.44	196.99	199.11	201.32			205.12(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	7	49	2.56	50%	0.09	38.1	2.07%	0	1.9	61	0
20	May_21_2014	196.26	196.47	197.63	199.97			201(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	2	23	1.33	50%	0.06	36	2.07%	0	1.2	50	0

21	May_20_2014	196.15	196.22	197.01	199.56			198.92(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-1	15	1.76	50%	0.03	45.8	2.09%	0	0.7	52	0
22	May_19_2014	196.09	196.17	196.71	199.72			201.29(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	5	26	1.79	50%	0.06	67.7	2.11%	0	1.4	62	0
23	May_16_2014	195.97	195.86	196.54	198.69			200.27(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	10	34	2	50%	0.05	79.9	2.13%	0	1.2	62	0
24	May_15_2014	195.87	195.38	196.01	196.5			198.39(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	8	21	1.63	50%	0.03	70.4	2.15%	0	0.8	59	0
25	May_14_2014	195.81	195.08	196.15	194.86			198.9(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	4	13	1.49	50%		55.7	2.17%	0	1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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