Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $199.7600 (1.86%) ($195.9862 - $200.4066) on Tue. May. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $199.7600(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(55%)    XBI(46%)    SPY(43%)    QQQ(42%)    VT(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $194.07(2.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $195.94(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $194.51(2.7%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $65.861b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2014	195.74	194.51	195.94	194.07			199.76(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	4	-10000	3	7	2.01	50%	0.05	49.7	2.2%	0	1.4	53	0
2	May_12_2014	195.64	193.68	195.06	193.34			196.11(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-10	2.34	50%	0.01	33.3	2.21%	0	0.5	47	0
3	May_9_2014	195.63	193.03	194.49	194.25			189.35(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-6	-12	2.58	46%	-0.08	24	2.15%	0	-0.7	44	0
4	May_8_2014	195.79	192.86	194.77	195.44			190.19(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-10	-3	2.49	46%	-0.08	16.7	2.18%	0	-0.5	52	0
5	May_7_2014	195.94	193.1	195.36	197.51			194.96(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-2	20	1.95	49%	-0.02	22.2	2.18%	0	0.4	54	0

6	May_6_2014	195.97	192.6	195.49	197.96			196.11(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	5	39	1.34	49%	0	9.3	2.21%	0	0.6	61	0
7	May_5_2014	195.97	192.2	195.69	196.92			200.66(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	10	54	2.26	51%	0.07	-4.1	2.21%	0	1.5	70	0
8	May_2_2014	195.83	191.82	195.15	194.8			195.29(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	54	2.09	48%	-0.01	-17.9	2.19%	0	0.7	67	0
9	May_1_2014	195.84	191.98	194.71	193.97			200.53(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	5	57	3.07	51%	0.07	-18.2	2.18%	0	1.6	69	0
10	Apr_30_2014	195.7	191.93	193.86	192.98			197.21(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	1	45	3.8	51%	0.03	-18.6	2.19%	0	0.9	51	0

11	Apr_29_2014	195.65	192.08	192.88	192.82			190.92(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-7	47	2.17	47%	-0.08	-16.6	2.13%	0	-0.2	58	0
12	Apr_28_2014	195.81	192.44	192.17	194.34			190.04(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10000	-5	54	2.37	47%	-0.1	-9.6	2.16%	0	-0.4	53	0
13	Apr_25_2014	196	192.77	191.51	195.5			191.17(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	-10000	1	50	2.19	47%	-0.09	-8.5	2.2%	0	-0.3	48	0
14	Apr_24_2014	196.18	192.99	190.92	195.37			195.57(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	3	31	2.14	50%	-0.01	-18	2.21%	0	0.4	46	0
15	Apr_23_2014	196.2	192.98	190.74	194.74			196.42(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	8	19	1.35	50%	0.01	-30.6	2.25%	0	0.6	45	0

16	Apr_22_2014	196.19	193.06	189.53	192.9			198.51(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	-10000	15	-14	3.54	50%	0.05	-46.9	2.29%	0	0.9	46	0
17	Apr_21_2014	196.1	193.03	188.39	189.7			195.84(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	13	-52	1.83	50%	-0.01	-66.6	2.31%	0	0.5	47	0
18	Apr_17_2014	196.11	193.28	188.09	186.99			190.51(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	6	-81	1.52	45%	-0.12	0	2.27%	0	-0.4	45	0
19	Apr_16_2014	196.35	194.1	188.87	185.81			192.43(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-23	-10000	-2	-87	2.89	45%	-0.09	0	2.32%	0	-0.2	47	0
20	Apr_15_2014	196.53	194.87	189.61	186.29			187.18(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	3	-79	2.72	40%	-0.23	0	2.27%	0	-0.9	42	0

21	Apr_14_2014	196.98	196.02	191	185.73			182.54(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-5	-86	2.21	35%	-0.36	0	2.22%	0	-1.6	34	0
22	Apr_11_2014	197.7	197.26	192.65	186.84			182.25(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-10000	-11	-79	3.49	35%	-0.41	0	2.28%	0	-1.9	34	0
23	Apr_10_2014	198.51	197.26	194.19	189.25			184.63(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-14	-6	3.88	35%	-0.39	0	2.33%	0	25.3	33	0
24	Apr_9_2014	199.28	197.26	195.41	192.28			194.83(5.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-3	3.8	43%	-0.13	0	2.1%	0	29.1	35	0
25	Apr_8_2014	199.54	197.26	195.52	193.62			184.42(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-20	-10000	-23	-9	7.38	23%		0	1.53%	0	27.1	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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