Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $190.5137 (-1%) ($188.5641 - $193.8820) on Thu. Apr. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.27% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $190.5137(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(55%)    XBI(47%)    SPY(44%)    QQQ(43%)    VT(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -1.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(-6%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.135% (StdDev 2.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $193.28
5 Day Moving Average   $186.99(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $188.09(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $193.28(-1.43%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $62.812b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 3.66% (three month std-dev: 2.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2014	196.11	193.28	188.09	186.99			190.51(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	6	-81	1.52	45%	-0.12	0	2.27%	0	-0.4	45	0
2	Apr_16_2014	196.35	194.1	188.87	185.81			192.43(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-23	-10000	-2	-87	2.89	45%	-0.09	0	2.32%	0	-0.2	47	0
3	Apr_15_2014	196.53	194.87	189.61	186.29			187.18(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	3	-79	2.72	40%	-0.23	0	2.27%	0	-0.9	42	0
4	Apr_14_2014	196.98	196.02	191	185.73			182.54(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-5	-86	2.21	35%	-0.36	0	2.22%	0	-1.6	34	0
5	Apr_11_2014	197.7	197.26	192.65	186.84			182.25(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-10000	-11	-79	3.49	35%	-0.41	0	2.28%	0	-1.9	34	0

6	Apr_10_2014	198.51	197.26	194.19	189.25			184.63(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-14	-6	3.88	35%	-0.39	0	2.33%	0	25.3	33	0
7	Apr_9_2014	199.28	197.26	195.41	192.28			194.83(5.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-3	3.8	43%	-0.13	0	2.1%	0	29.1	35	0
8	Apr_8_2014	199.54	197.26	195.52	193.62			184.42(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-20	-10000	-23	-9	7.38	23%	-0.47	0	1.53%	0	27.1	17	0
9	Apr_7_2014	200.49	197.26	197.09	197.12			188.09(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-12	-10000	-14	-6	3.53	26%	-0.41	0	1.54%	0	32.2	17	0
10	Apr_4_2014	201.32	197.26	198.28	199.23			194.3(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3	-10000	-3	-1	2.5	34%	-0.25	0	1.43%	0	38.6	32	0

11	Apr_3_2014	201.82	197.26	199.07	199.71			199.77(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	6	2	2.18	45%	-0.07	0	1.32%	0	41.3	50	0
12	Apr_2_2014	201.97	197.26	199.81	198.92			201.5(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	8	3	1.97	45%	-0.02	0	1.37%	0	40.4	50	0
13	Apr_1_2014	202.01	197.26	200.45	197.79			201.93(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	4	2	4.04	45%	-0	0	1.43%	0	38.9	50	0
14	Mar_31_2014	202.02	197.26	201.24	197.22			198.68(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-1	-0	2.26	31%	-0.17	0	1.37%	0	36.7	50	0
15	Mar_28_2014	202.36	197.26	202.03	197.31			196.67(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-3	1.76	31%	-0.31	0	1.35%	0	35.2	50	0

16	Mar_27_2014	202.99	197.26	202.03	198.39			195.8(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-18	-7	2.81	31%	-0.44	0	1.39%	0	35.4	50	0
17	Mar_26_2014	203.88	197.26	202.03	200.87			195.87(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-18	-7	2.3	31%	-0.56	0	1.46%	0	37.6	50	0
18	Mar_25_2014	205.03	197.26	202.03	203.48			199.08(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-15	-6	2.69	42%	-0.48	0	1.53%	0	43.9	50	0
19	Mar_24_2014	206.02	197.26	202.03	205.88			199.1(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-8	-10000	-9	-4	3.94	42%	-0.67	0	1.65%	0	48.1	50	0
20	Mar_21_2014	207.4	197.26	202.03	207.4			202.08(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.8	229	-10000	269	108	3.91	42%	-0.64	0	1.8%	0	67.1	50	0

21	Mar_20_2014	208.74	197.26	202.03	166.99			208.21(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	26.4	425	-10000	500	200	1.61	100%	-0.08	0	1.33%	0	133.5	50	0
22	Mar_19_2014	208.91	197.26	202.03	125.35			208.94(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	47.2	548	-10000	645	258	1.39	100%	0	0	1.55%	0	118	50	0
23	Mar_18_2014	208.9	197.26	202.03	83.56			211.06(2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	59	0	-10000	0	0	2.17	100%	1.04	0	0%	0	97.7	50	0
24	Mar_17_2014	206.74	197.26	202.03	41.35			206.74(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	1.76	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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