Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 9, 2021

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $55.0100 (-1.45%) ($54.2199 - $57.2200) on Tue. Feb. 9, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.86% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $55.0100(-1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(56%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(50%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-15%)    VXX(-8%)    UNG(-3%)    TBT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.43% (StdDev 4.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.08(3.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.52(8.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.81(12.7%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   65.6%
Market Cap   $3.811b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 6.23% (three month std-dev: 4.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.79%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.89%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 6.38%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -4.93%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 9.11%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.89%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2021	41.45	48.81	50.52	53.08	53.14	54.89	55.01(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	230	31	86	0.71	67%	0.46	67.7	4.86%	0	2	71	1.1
2	Feb_8_2021	41.26	48.37	49.79	52.22	52.08	53.13	55.82(5.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	130	36	81	0.84	67%	0.44	72.1	4.87%	0	2.8	71	1.1
3	Feb_5_2021	41.08	47.84	49.09	50.81	50.97	51.39	52.84(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	70	19	64	0.45	60%	0.37	79	4.92%	0	2.4	69	1.1
4	Feb_4_2021	40.93	47.51	48.52	49.64	50.04	51.04	50.49(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	160	20	52	0.39	60%	0.29	81.8	4.89%	0	1.7	64	1.1
5	Feb_3_2021	40.81	47.19	48.23	48.63	48.98	50.56	51.25(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	250	33	46	0.43	62%	0.34	65.9	4.88%	0	2.3	64	0.7

6	Feb_2_2021	40.67	46.84	47.68	47.55	47.62	49.05	50.7(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	26	210	26	27	0.68	62%	0.3	53.5	4.9%	0	2.5	63	-0.1
7	Feb_1_2021	40.55	46.51	47.24	47.02	46.92	47.4	48.79(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	70	10	13	0.46	62%	0.3	47.5	4.88%	0	1.7	57	-1.3
8	Jan_29_2021	40.43	46.23	46.93	47.16	47.11	46.19	46.97(3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-140	-6	9	0.7	62%	0.22	52.3	4.86%	0	0.6	56	-2.7
9	Jan_28_2021	40.34	46.12	46.83	47.26	47.59	46.44	45.44(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-17	-150	-23	2	0.63	62%	0.15	58	4.86%	0	-0.5	46	-2.2
10	Jan_27_2021	40.28	46.07	46.96	47.72	47.95	48.04	45.84(-4.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-0	30	-7	21	0.78	63%	0.17	71.7	4.86%	0	-0.2	59	-3

11	Jan_26_2021	40.21	46.02	47.04	47.74	47.84	48.74	48.04(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	140	15	36	0.55	63%	0.2	105.7	4.84%	0	1.3	67	0.3
12	Jan_25_2021	40.13	45.86	46.9	47.45	47.29	47.86	49.5(4.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	70	20	41	0.83	63%	0.25	141.8	4.83%	0	2.4	74	0.8
13	Jan_22_2021	40.03	45.57	46.51	46.68	46.76	46.94	47.47(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	30	7	31	0.55	67%	0.18	192.6	4.82%	0	1.5	73	1.5
14	Jan_21_2021	39.96	45.29	46.42	46.38	46.36	46.73	47.75(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	50	4	30	1.28	67%	0.15	232.4	4.96%	0	2.1	65	1.8
15	Jan_20_2021	39.9	45.04	46.07	46.13	46.35	46.58	45.96(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	50	5	27	0.56	67%	0.18	285	4.94%	0	0.9	60	1.7

16	Jan_19_2021	39.83	44.46	45.92	46.24	46.36	46	46.55(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-50	-2	26	1.32	67%	0.13	237	4.94%	0	1.6	62	1.3
17	Jan_15_2021	39.78	43.84	45.71	46.27	46.48	46.13	45.67(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-40	-7	24	1.44	65%	0.18	108.3	4.91%	0	0.6	53	0.7
18	Jan_14_2021	39.71	43.3	45.5	46.31	46.62	46.72	45.95(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	40	-2	25	0.59	66%	0.2	85.8	4.93%	0	0.7	62	1.2
19	Jan_13_2021	39.63	42.75	45.36	46.45	46.58	46.84	46.5(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	50	9	40	1.12	66%	0.2	74.8	4.94%	0	0.9	73	1.4
20	Jan_12_2021	39.55	42.16	45.13	45.99	46.28	46.51	46.53(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	50	10	38	0.57	66%	0.2	56.7	4.94%	0	1	67	1.1

21	Jan_11_2021	39.47	41.53	44.92	45.55	45.61	46.33	46.72(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	110	10	61	0.68	66%	0.2	40.4	4.94%	0	1.1	86	0.2
22	Jan_8_2021	39.39	40.89	44.74	45.06	45.1	46.04	45.83(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	150	20	91	0.65	66%	0.15	25.6	4.96%	0	1	84	1.6
23	Jan_7_2021	39.33	40.3	44.53	44.56	44.4	44.9	46.66(5.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	70	14	110	0.82	66%	0.18	10.7	4.95%	0	1.3	83	1.5
24	Jan_6_2021	39.26	39.78	44.05	44.13	43.94	44.16	44.23(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	20	1	124	0.65	64%	0.1	-0.3	4.91%	0	0.9	80	-0.4
25	Jan_5_2021	39.22	39.71	43.9	44.15	44.12	43.9	44.29(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	-40	1	154	0.99	67%		-2.6	4.92%	0	0.9	81	-0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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