Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 16, 2020

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $51.5500 (2.67%) ($49.9500 - $51.5700) on Thu. Jan. 16, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.9% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $51.5500(2.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(56%)    ARKG(53%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(48%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    VXX(-13%)    UUP(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.93(5.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.86(5.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.72(5.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   71.4%
Market Cap   $3.571b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 2.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 3.26%(69%) Average negative next day return: -2.72%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 3.82%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -3.31%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 5.76%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.77%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2020	38.62	48.72	48.86	48.93	48.86	50.49	51.55(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	36	230	39	27	1.32	68%	0.36	51.9	2.9%	0	2	51	2.2
2	Jan_15_2020	38.48	48.49	48.44	48.33	48.35	49.01	50.21(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	24	100	32	-0	1.05	70%	0.34	53.8	2.89%	0	1.3	49	2
3	Jan_14_2020	38.35	48.28	48.18	48.32	48.24	47.23	49.23(8.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-15	-150	-12	-25	1.06	70%	0.26	69.9	2.94%	0	0.8	49	2.3
4	Jan_13_2020	38.25	48.15	48.04	48.29	48.63	47.7	45.31(-6.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-44	-110	-44	-43	1.21	66%	0.13	85	2.77%	0	-2.1	40	2.5
5	Jan_10_2020	38.2	48.2	48.39	48.93	49.2	49.25	48.33(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-1	20	1	-8	0.61	73%	0.18	132.4	2.64%	0	0.1	54	1.4

6	Jan_9_2020	38.13	48.01	48.59	48.72	48.85	49.56	48.57(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	110	18	8	0.99	73%	0.13	130.2	2.64%	0	0.4	58	1.4
7	Jan_8_2020	38.08	47.81	48.74	48.51	48.22	49.15	50.15(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	120	32	21	0.6	70%	0.21	121.2	2.6%	0	1.4	66	0.7
8	Jan_7_2020	38	47.42	48.67	48.03	47.81	48.13	49.11(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	30	21	20	0.61	70%	0.13	115.6	2.74%	0	1	68	0.6
9	Jan_6_2020	37.95	47.03	48.61	48.03	47.58	47.3	48.49(2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-60	-5	12	0.64	70%	0.18	97.8	2.75%	0	0.7	61	0.6
10	Jan_3_2020	37.88	46.64	48.56	47.8	47.76	47.48	47.29(-0.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-15	-40	-24	13	0.37	72%	0.13	85.3	2.75%	0	0.3	61	0.5

11	Jan_2_2020	37.83	46.32	48.58	48.46	48.38	47.86	47.52(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-80	-18	45	0.84	72%	-0.03	86.1	2.82%	0	0.4	69	1.3
12	Dec_31_2019	37.84	45.92	48.57	49	49.02	48.04	47.75(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-140	-26	69	0.42	74%	0.13	79.8	2.84%	0	0.5	69	0.9
13	Dec_30_2019	37.79	45.5	48.42	49.39	49.55	48.91	47.96(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-80	-23	99	0.46	68%	0.13	79.8	2.86%	0	0.7	77	0.4
14	Dec_27_2019	37.74	45.06	48.31	49.51	49.78	50.01	48.48(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	50	2	135	0.44	68%	0.16	78.8	2.97%	0	0.9	81	0.9
15	Dec_26_2019	37.68	44.6	48.06	49.4	49.43	50.19	50.59(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	110	28	174	0.45	68%	0.19	81.3	2.91%	0	1.5	93	1.2

16	Dec_24_2019	37.61	43.94	47.41	48.71	48.72	49.55	50.23(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	68	120	31	177	0.21	68%	0.29	75.9	2.95%	0	1.6	91	1.3
17	Dec_23_2019	37.5	43.31	46.81	48.08	47.97	48.67	49.67(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	100	29	187	0.57	68%	0.19	76	2.98%	0	1.6	91	1.2
18	Dec_20_2019	37.43	42.68	46.05	47.33	47.39	47.9	48.59(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	62	80	21	185	1.59	68%	0.16	75.4	2.97%	0	1.5	91	1.5
19	Dec_19_2019	37.37	42.15	45.3	46.95	46.88	47.26	47.9(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	50	17	190	0.85	68%	0	82	2.97%	0	1.6	89	1.8
20	Dec_18_2019	37.37	41.6	44.54	46.51	46.48	46.89	47.14(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	60	20	190	0.67	68%	-0.03	85.8	2.97%	0	1.6	87	1.7

21	Dec_17_2019	37.38	41.06	43.86	45.9	45.99	46.5	47.12(2.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	80	22	194	0.85	68%	0.05	87.9	2.97%	0	1.8	89	2.1
22	Dec_16_2019	37.36	40.5	43.06	45.33	45.33	46.08	45.91(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	120	29	193	1.26	68%	0	93.9	2.99%	0	1.7	83	2.2
23	Dec_13_2019	37.36	39.98	42.35	44.54	44.61	45.48	46.7(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	74	140	37	186	0.67	68%	0.03	94.1	2.98%	0	2.1	88	2.2
24	Dec_12_2019	37.35	39.35	41.54	43.39	44.18	44.58	45.7(3.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	73	120	43	163	0.82	68%	-0.03	90.1	2.98%	0	2.2	80	1.6
25	Dec_11_2019	37.36	38.77	40.85	42.26	43.08	43.75	44.08(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	170	22	137	0.77	69%		86.8	2.95%	0	2	80	0.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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