Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 4, 2019

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $40.2600 (2.94%) ($38.4000 - $40.3400) on Wed. Dec. 4, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.09% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $40.2600(2.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(55%)    ARKG(53%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(48%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -1.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    VXX(-13%)    UUP(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    UNG(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.545% (StdDev 3.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.21(2.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.42(4.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.55(10.15%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.8%
Market Cap   $2.789b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 6.16% (three month std-dev: 3.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.42%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.99%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.28%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -4.21%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.89%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2019	37.63	36.55	38.42	39.21	39	39.2	40.26(2.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	20	20	108	1.19	69%	-0.19	75.6	3.09%	0	1.6	82	0.4
2	Dec_3_2019	37.7	36.25	38.06	38.62	38.63	38.8	39.11(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	30	7	101	0.54	66%	-0.19	79.6	3.08%	0	1.4	81	-0.5
3	Dec_2_2019	37.77	35.99	37.76	38.37	38.34	38.79	38.72(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	80	12	116	0.73	66%	-0.18	81.8	3.13%	0	1.3	84	0.6
4	Nov_29_2019	37.84	35.73	37.47	38.09	38.14	38.46	38.9(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	60	14	122	0.38	66%	-0.39	83.2	3.14%	0	1.6	74	1.5
5	Nov_27_2019	37.99	35.3	37.01	37.95	37.85	37.89	39.06(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-0	10	123	0.96	63%	-0.13	68.1	3.12%	0	1.7	73	1.9

6	Nov_26_2019	38.04	34.92	36.54	37.53	37.69	37.89	37.3(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	40	5	115	1.01	61%	-0.18	64.4	3.1%	0	1.1	69	2
7	Nov_25_2019	38.11	34.65	36.22	37.4	37.44	37.81	37.86(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	70	13	115	0.94	61%	-0.21	63.4	3.09%	0	1.5	66	2.1
8	Nov_22_2019	38.19	34.39	35.69	37.06	37.11	37.57	37.33(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	90	17	99	0.97	55%	0	61.3	3.15%	0	1.5	67	1.6
9	Nov_21_2019	38.19	34.16	35.32	36.73	36.79	37.08	38.18(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	60	26	94	0.76	55%	-0.24	58.5	3.17%	0	2.1	73	1.3
10	Nov_20_2019	38.28	33.83	34.85	35.93	36.25	36.65	37(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	100	18	88	0.82	54%	-0.26	48.1	3.14%	0	1.9	81	1.3

11	Nov_19_2019	38.38	33.59	34.52	35.4	35.6	36.5	36.63(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	190	26	87	1.06	54%	-0.34	39.5	3.14%	0	2	70	1.5
12	Nov_18_2019	38.51	33.37	34.28	34.87	35.02	35.85	36.14(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	180	39	91	1.13	54%	-0.36	28.6	3.16%	0	2.1	67	1.8
13	Nov_15_2019	38.65	33.22	34.04	34.13	34.23	34.71	35.68(4.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	110	22	68	0.99	54%	-0.36	19.3	3.16%	0	2.1	61	2
14	Nov_14_2019	38.79	33.07	33.82	33.7	33.65	34.18	34.21(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	110	11	56	0.64	51%	-0.36	12.5	3.11%	0	1.1	57	1.5
15	Nov_13_2019	38.93	33.04	33.44	33.61	33.42	33.75	34.32(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	50	16	47	0.6	51%	-0.41	18.7	3.11%	0	1.2	61	1.3

16	Nov_12_2019	39.09	33	33.18	33.51	33.03	33.11	33.99(4.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	5	-30	-4	32	1.28	51%	-0.36	26	3.1%	0	1	57	1.5
17	Nov_11_2019	39.23	33	32.97	33.61	33.3	33.08	32.43(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-70	-7	33	1.38	48%	-0.48	40.2	3.04%	0	-0.6	52	1.4
18	Nov_8_2019	39.42	32.99	33.02	33.93	33.59	32.94	33.56(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-170	-11	40	5.73	53%	-0.45	42.2	3.02%	0	0.6	51	1.2
19	Nov_7_2019	39.6	32.94	32.94	33.94	33.76	33.51	33.77(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-70	4	45	1.93	53%	-0.45	35.5	3.07%	0	0.8	54	1.1
20	Nov_6_2019	39.78	32.85	32.75	33.2	33.62	34.24	33.78(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	170	22	18	0.53	55%	-0.45	2.8	3.07%	0	0.9	50	1

21	Nov_5_2019	39.96	32.73	32.61	32.77	32.67	34	34.52(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	25	280	33	1	0.77	51%	-0.4	-14.6	3.09%	0	1.7	53	1
22	Nov_4_2019	40.12	32.59	32.39	32.25	32.05	32.99	34(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	20	190	34	-22	0.62	51%	-0.37	-37.8	3.19%	0	1.4	49	1.3
23	Nov_1_2019	40.27	32.57	32.3	32.01	31.69	31.33	33.64(11.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-6	-110	5	-37	1.2	45%	-0.4	-37.4	3.19%	0	1	56	1.5
24	Oct_31_2019	40.43	32.58	32.22	31.85	31.91	31.1	30.08(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-170	-28	-55	2.26	38%	-0.44	-40.6	3.09%	0	-2.3	38	1.2
25	Oct_30_2019	40.61	32.82	32.6	32.22	32.4	32.05	31.62(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-60	-15	-29	1.04	44%		-34.6	3.05%	0	-1.3	52	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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