Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $71.3500 (-1.35%) ($71.1700 - $72.7300) on Fri. Oct. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $71.3500(-1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(64%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.32(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.62(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.51(4.15%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   30%
Market Cap   $4.943b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 3.43% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -2.09%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.72%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.76%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2017	58.92	68.51	70.62	71.32	71.37	71.64	71.35(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	30	19	121	0.25	70%	0.41	62.1	2.07%	0	1.2	69	INF
2	Oct_12_2017	58.68	68.25	70.19	71.14	71.1	71.12	72.33(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	0	8	118	0.41	70%	0.45	67.2	2.07%	0	1.8	74	INF
3	Oct_11_2017	58.42	67.9	69.48	70.84	70.88	71.09	70.43(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	20	3	104	0.51	70%	0.38	73	2.06%	0	1.2	63	INF
4	Oct_10_2017	58.2	67.67	69.03	70.8	70.74	71.07	71.23(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	30	21	109	0.23	70%	0.38	83.3	2.08%	0	1.7	68	INF
5	Oct_9_2017	57.98	67.4	68.45	70.42	70.31	70.66	71.27(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	30	22	101	0.32	70%	0.4	96.6	2.08%	0	2	71	INF

6	Oct_6_2017	57.75	67.08	67.96	69.81	69.78	70.41	70.45(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	60	32	91	0.28	70%	0.33	101.4	2.09%	0	1.8	63	INF
7	Oct_5_2017	57.56	66.74	67.51	69.07	68.99	69.97	70.82(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	100	53	81	0.32	72%	0.37	95.6	2.08%	0	2.3	66	INF
8	Oct_4_2017	57.35	66.38	67.1	67.9	67.84	69.15	70.25(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	130	55	60	1.02	72%	0.3	86.5	2.11%	0	2.3	67	INF
9	Oct_3_2017	57.18	65.99	66.7	67	66.73	68.02	69.29(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	52	120	55	42	0.47	72%	0.28	73.8	2.12%	0	1.8	63	INF
10	Oct_2_2017	57.02	65.56	66.33	66.21	66.08	66.54	68.22(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	40	36	15	0.58	72%	0.26	73.3	2.12%	0	1.6	58	INF

11	Sep_29_2017	56.87	65.23	66.17	65.87	65.68	65.45	66.75(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-30	-5	-2	0.33	71%	0.28	76.6	2.13%	0	0.9	58	INF
12	Sep_28_2017	56.71	65.06	66.13	65.74	65.86	65.62	64.97(-1.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-12	-20	-16	1	0.38	71%	0.25	88	2.12%	0	-0.1	59	INF
13	Sep_27_2017	56.57	64.92	66.21	66.17	66.12	65.9	65.75(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-30	-9	21	0.4	64%	0.28	102	2.14%	0	0.4	62	INF
14	Sep_26_2017	56.41	64.65	66.23	66.34	66.24	66.1	65.36(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-20	-9	36	0.28	57%	0.3	99.1	2.27%	0	0.3	67	INF
15	Sep_25_2017	56.24	64.34	66.31	66.43	66.43	66.33	66.53(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10	-3	57	0.25	57%	0.29	94.6	2.46%	0	0.9	79	INF

16	Sep_22_2017	56.08	63.9	66.18	66.5	66.48	66.38	66.07(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10	-6	71	0.25	59%	0.36	87.1	2.49%	0	0.8	71	INF
17	Sep_21_2017	55.88	63.53	65.96	66.57	66.67	66.54	67.12(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10	4	80	0.29	63%	0.36	89.6	2.48%	0	1.2	64	INF
18	Sep_20_2017	55.68	63.03	65.64	66.27	66.57	66.59	66.63(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	20	0	76	0.36	63%	0.36	83.8	2.64%	0	1.1	68	INF
19	Sep_19_2017	55.48	62.58	65.24	66.1	66.36	66.81	65.82(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	60	6	85	0.32	63%	0.27	80.8	2.64%	0	1	71	INF
20	Sep_18_2017	55.33	62.06	64.76	66.16	66.17	66.55	66.86(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	40	20	102	0.51	63%	0.33	71.2	2.63%	0	1.4	78	INF

21	Sep_15_2017	55.15	61.48	64.23	65.81	65.8	65.91	66.43(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	10	14	109	0.86	63%	0.27	62.2	2.65%	0	1.4	80	INF
22	Sep_14_2017	55	60.91	63.89	65.25	65.39	65.78	65.59(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	50	12	116	0.26	63%	0.29	53.1	2.65%	0	1.3	72	INF
23	Sep_13_2017	54.84	60.43	63.52	64.89	64.83	65.69	65.82(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	90	28	136	0.4	63%	0.29	46.1	2.65%	0	1.5	75	INF
24	Sep_12_2017	54.68	60.03	62.95	64.23	64.15	65	66.11(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	90	43	140	0.39	63%	0.35	41.8	2.65%	0	1.8	73	INF
25	Sep_11_2017	54.49	59.64	62.2	63.13	63.17	63.98	65.1(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	90	31	128	0.46	63%		33.1	2.65%	0	1.8	76	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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