Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $53.1600 (4.32%) ($50.7800 - $53.3700) on Fri. May. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.43% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $53.1600(4.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -1.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.715% (StdDev 3.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.01(4.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.83(6.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.81(6.73%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $3.683b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 4.34% (three month std-dev: 3.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.3%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.78%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.53%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2017	48.65	49.81	49.83	51.01	51.09	51.77	53.16(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	100	22	35	0.47	59%	0.25	-28.6	3.43%	0	1.6	65	0
2	May_11_2017	48.53	49.87	49.44	50.37	50.43	51.17	50.96(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	110	26	34	0.51	57%	0.17	-30.7	3.42%	0	0.5	62	0
3	May_10_2017	48.45	49.98	49.41	49.63	49.7	50.41	51.58(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	100	30	29	0.48	57%	0.12	-37.1	3.44%	0	0.6	59	0
4	May_9_2017	48.39	50.05	49.26	48.67	48.77	49.68	50.31(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	140	25	14	0.66	57%	0.08	-49.1	3.43%	0	0.1	55	0
5	May_8_2017	48.35	50.21	49.23	48.05	47.93	48.99	49.02(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	150	12	-4	0.57	57%	0.08	-57.4	3.45%	0	-0.4	47	0

6	May_5_2017	48.31	50.44	49.09	48.49	47.85	47.86	49.98(5.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-40	11	-22	0.9	57%	-0.12	-59.1	3.38%	0	-0.2	37	0
7	May_4_2017	48.37	50.61	48.8	48.43	48.35	46.87	47.27(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-220	-31	-67	0.79	54%	-0.12	-64	3.34%	0	-1.2	31	0
8	May_3_2017	48.43	50.92	48.92	49.16	49.16	47.84	46.79(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-190	-48	-77	0.95	54%	-0.12	-64.6	3.36%	0	-1.5	35	0
9	May_2_2017	48.49	51.36	49.15	49.91	50.23	49.84	47.2(-7.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-40	-20	-68	1.01	54%	-0.06	-60.2	3.36%	0	-1.5	36	0
10	May_1_2017	48.52	51.81	49.47	50.51	50.61	50.47	51.2(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10	11	-58	0.37	60%	0.04	-56.1	3.2%	0	-0.2	43	0

11	Apr_28_2017	48.5	52.14	49.82	49.74	50.27	50.62	49.71(-2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	80	11	-69	0.76	63%	0.04	-53.2	3.23%	0	-0.8	37	0
12	Apr_27_2017	48.48	52.51	50.33	49.2	49.59	50.75	50.91(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	190	27	-68	0.54	63%	0.08	-51.7	3.24%	0	-0.5	41	0
13	Apr_26_2017	48.44	52.81	50.57	48.67	48.79	49.92	50.51(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	170	32	-77	0.73	63%	0.04	-49.4	3.24%	0	-0.7	40	0
14	Apr_25_2017	48.42	53.1	50.85	48.32	48.3	48.43	50.2(5.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	20	11	-98	0.89	63%	0	-48.3	3.25%	0	-0.9	33	0
15	Apr_24_2017	48.42	53.43	51.19	48.35	48.37	47.67	47.37(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-100	-39	-129	0.56	60%	-0.21	-47.6	3.17%	0	-1.8	19	0

16	Apr_21_2017	48.52	53.85	51.86	49.98	49.45	48.16	46.99(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-69	-210	-52	-119	0.73	60%	-0.23	-36.6	3.18%	0	-2.2	14	0
17	Apr_20_2017	48.63	54.25	52.57	51.64	51.3	49.07	48.28(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-65	-320	-53	-100	0.98	60%	-0.21	-26.2	3.18%	0	-2.3	22	0
18	Apr_19_2017	48.73	54.53	53.13	52.72	52.79	50.74	48.74(-3.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-73	-270	-65	-97	4.11	60%	-0.29	-20.5	3.18%	0	-2.6	23	0
19	Apr_18_2017	48.87	54.79	53.85	53.7	53.82	53.54	50.36(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-41	-30	-32	-69	1.29	62%	-0.22	-6.5	3.15%	0	-2.4	31	0
20	Apr_17_2017	48.98	55.1	54.45	54.37	54.22	54.84	55.51(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	70	20	-42	0.22	71%	-0.16	16.5	2.93%	0	0.3	43	0

21	Apr_13_2017	49.06	55.01	54.69	54.03	53.94	54.1	55.33(3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	20	15	-41	0.33	71%	-0.18	15.1	2.93%	0	0.2	51	0
22	Apr_12_2017	49.15	54.95	54.86	53.7	53.67	53.6	53.64(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	-10	-3	-46	0.24	69%	-0.16	16	2.91%	0	-0.8	51	0
23	Apr_11_2017	49.23	54.99	55.21	53.67	53.68	53.78	53.64(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	10	-7	-35	0.35	69%	-0.24	22.4	2.92%	0	-0.8	57	0
24	Apr_10_2017	49.35	54.91	55.48	54.05	53.94	53.74	53.71(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-30	-9	-17	0.3	69%	-0.18	32.1	2.98%	0	-0.7	56	0
25	Apr_7_2017	49.44	54.84	55.8	54.55	54.44	53.59	53.84(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-120	-27	-12	0.35	60%		43.5	3.23%	0	-0.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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