Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $50.5100 (0.62%) ($50.1900 - $51.6000) on Wed. Apr. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.24% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $50.5100(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -1.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.62% (StdDev 3.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.37(-24.03%)
Resistance Level   $52.81
5 Day Moving Average   $48.67(3.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.57(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.81(-4.36%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   24.7%
Market Cap   $3.499b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 6.36% (three month std-dev: 3.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.76%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.23%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 27.45%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.48%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 20.26%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.47%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2017	48.44	52.81	50.57	48.67	48.79	49.92	50.51(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	170	32	-77	0.73	63%	0.04	-49.4	3.24%	0	-0.7	40	INF
2	Apr_25_2017	48.42	53.1	50.85	48.32	48.3	48.43	50.2(5.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	20	11	-98	0.89	63%	0	-48.3	3.25%	0	-0.9	33	INF
3	Apr_24_2017	48.42	53.43	51.19	48.35	48.37	47.67	47.37(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-100	-39	-129	0.56	60%	-0.21	-47.6	3.17%	0	-1.8	19	INF
4	Apr_21_2017	48.52	53.85	51.86	49.98	49.45	48.16	46.99(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-69	-210	-52	-119	0.73	60%	-0.23	-36.6	3.18%	0	-2.2	14	INF
5	Apr_20_2017	48.63	54.25	52.57	51.64	51.3	49.07	48.28(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-65	-320	-53	-100	0.98	60%	-0.21	-26.2	3.18%	0	-2.3	22	INF

6	Apr_19_2017	48.73	54.53	53.13	52.72	52.79	50.74	48.74(-3.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-73	-270	-65	-97	4.11	60%	-0.29	-20.5	3.18%	0	-2.6	23	INF
7	Apr_18_2017	48.87	54.79	53.85	53.7	53.82	53.54	50.36(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-41	-30	-32	-69	1.29	62%	-0.22	-6.5	3.15%	0	-2.4	31	INF
8	Apr_17_2017	48.98	55.1	54.45	54.37	54.22	54.84	55.51(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	70	20	-42	0.22	71%	-0.16	16.5	2.93%	0	0.3	43	INF
9	Apr_13_2017	49.06	55.01	54.69	54.03	53.94	54.1	55.33(3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	20	15	-41	0.33	71%	-0.18	15.1	2.93%	0	0.2	51	INF
10	Apr_12_2017	49.15	54.95	54.86	53.7	53.67	53.6	53.64(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	-10	-3	-46	0.24	69%	-0.16	16	2.91%	0	-0.8	51	INF

11	Apr_11_2017	49.23	54.99	55.21	53.67	53.68	53.78	53.64(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	10	-7	-35	0.35	69%	-0.24	22.4	2.92%	0	-0.8	57	INF
12	Apr_10_2017	49.35	54.91	55.48	54.05	53.94	53.74	53.71(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-30	-9	-17	0.3	69%	-0.18	32.1	2.98%	0	-0.7	56	INF
13	Apr_7_2017	49.44	54.84	55.8	54.55	54.44	53.59	53.84(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-120	-27	-12	0.35	60%	-0.18	43.5	3.23%	0	-0.5	43	INF
14	Apr_6_2017	49.53	54.77	55.97	55.46	55.4	54.13	53.69(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-26	-160	-36	6	0.58	60%	-0.18	58.3	3.26%	0	-0.5	53	INF
15	Apr_5_2017	49.62	54.7	56.07	56.19	56.48	55.29	53.45(-3.82%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-22	-130	-36	20	1.05	60%	-0.28	67.1	3.28%	0	-0.6	51	INF

16	Apr_4_2017	49.76	54.61	56.08	56.94	57.22	56.68	55.57(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-50	-19	38	0.55	66%	-0.24	69.3	3.23%	0	0.4	56	INF
17	Apr_3_2017	49.88	54.33	55.87	57.09	57.47	57.67	56.2(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	40	-1	54	0.47	66%	-0.18	69.8	3.3%	0	0.7	66	INF
18	Mar_31_2017	49.97	54.02	55.85	57.21	57.32	57.76	58.4(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	60	19	80	0.29	70%	-0.1	70.3	3.27%	0	1.7	71	INF
19	Mar_30_2017	50.02	53.64	55.37	56.58	56.76	57.28	57.34(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	70	19	74	0.37	70%	-0.04	74.5	3.3%	0	1.6	67	INF
20	Mar_29_2017	50.04	53.32	55.03	55.94	56.08	56.89	57.2(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	110	27	73	0.33	70%	0.06	80	3.32%	0	1.8	68	INF

21	Mar_28_2017	50.01	53.03	54.72	55.08	55.23	56.25	56.33(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	140	31	70	0.38	70%	0.08	74.3	3.31%	0	1.5	68	INF
22	Mar_27_2017	49.97	52.64	54.24	54.45	54.23	55.27	56.77(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	120	20	60	0.66	70%	0.16	65.7	3.33%	0	1.9	73	INF
23	Mar_24_2017	49.89	52.3	53.73	54.33	53.96	54.21	55.27(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	10	19	65	0.36	70%	0.16	57.1	3.32%	0	1.4	69	INF
24	Mar_23_2017	49.81	51.94	53.43	54.33	53.97	53.19	54.13(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-100	-8	54	0.41	70%	0.16	46.9	3.34%	0	1	62	INF
25	Mar_22_2017	49.73	51.61	53.2	54	53.99	53.72	52.92(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-40	-21	52	0.55	65%		50.5	3.37%	0	0.6	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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