Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $57.2000 (1.54%) ($56.1200 - $58.1500) on Wed. Mar. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.32% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $57.2000(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -1.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.66% (StdDev 3.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.94(2.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.03(3.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.32(7.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   41.2%
Market Cap   $3.962b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 4.14% (three month std-dev: 3.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 45 Average positive next day return: 1.39%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.52%(62%) Sample size 45 Average positive next three day return: 2.29%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.12%(64%) Sample size 45 Average positive next weekly return: 3.08%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.33%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2017	50.04	53.32	55.03	55.94	56.08	56.89	57.2(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	110	27	73	0.33	70%	0.06	80	3.32%	0	1.8	68	0
2	Mar_28_2017	50.01	53.03	54.72	55.08	55.23	56.25	56.33(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	140	31	70	0.38	70%	0.08	74.3	3.31%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Mar_27_2017	49.97	52.64	54.24	54.45	54.23	55.27	56.77(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	120	20	60	0.66	70%	0.16	65.7	3.33%	0	1.9	73	0
4	Mar_24_2017	49.89	52.3	53.73	54.33	53.96	54.21	55.27(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	10	19	65	0.36	70%	0.16	57.1	3.32%	0	1.4	69	0
5	Mar_23_2017	49.81	51.94	53.43	54.33	53.97	53.19	54.13(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-100	-8	54	0.41	70%	0.16	46.9	3.34%	0	1	62	0

6	Mar_22_2017	49.73	51.61	53.2	54	53.99	53.72	52.92(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-40	-21	52	0.55	65%	0.1	50.5	3.37%	0	0.6	58	0
7	Mar_21_2017	49.68	51.42	53.04	54.26	54.26	54.75	53.15(-5.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	28	60	14	69	0.88	60%	0.1	60.7	3.43%	0	0.8	56	0
8	Mar_20_2017	49.63	51.27	52.71	53.93	53.85	54.26	56.16(4.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	50	24	72	0.43	65%	0.16	65	3.46%	0	2.3	76	0
9	Mar_17_2017	49.55	51.13	52.07	53.05	52.96	53.77	53.66(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	100	12	51	0.6	62%	0.12	77.9	3.39%	0	1.3	61	0
10	Mar_16_2017	49.49	50.93	51.79	52.76	52.56	53.44	54.09(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	110	28	63	0.31	49%	0.12	87.3	3.42%	0	1.7	69	0

11	Mar_15_2017	49.43	50.53	51.46	52.3	52.11	52.15	54.25(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10	14	50	0.41	52%	0.1	80.4	4.25%	0	1.9	71	0
12	Mar_14_2017	49.38	50.14	51.18	51.67	51.73	51.68	51.47(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-0	0	43	0.26	49%	0.06	76.9	4.25%	0	0.7	59	0
13	Mar_13_2017	49.35	49.9	50.9	51.29	51.51	52.08	51.77(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	90	12	37	0.28	52%	0.06	72.7	4.25%	0	0.9	54	0
14	Mar_10_2017	49.32	49.64	50.75	50.92	50.84	51.77	52.24(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	120	16	24	0.32	52%	0.04	71.9	4.26%	0	1.2	44	0
15	Mar_9_2017	49.3	49.33	50.32	50.67	50.36	50.93	51.77(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	60	14	15	0.42	52%	0.06	73.2	4.3%	0	1.1	55	0

16	Mar_8_2017	49.27	48.97	49.89	50.52	50.29	49.9	51.1(3.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-70	-2	9	0.38	52%	0.04	69.5	4.32%	0	0.9	61	0
17	Mar_7_2017	49.25	48.65	49.67	50.65	50.63	49.79	49.57(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-120	-11	15	0.36	50%	0.04	70.8	4.31%	0	0.4	59	0
18	Mar_6_2017	49.23	48.4	49.75	50.42	51.06	50.69	49.93(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10	-9	22	0.41	50%	0.04	72.5	4.34%	0	0.6	59	0
19	Mar_3_2017	49.21	48.12	50.12	50.51	50.91	51.46	50.96(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	100	9	49	0.45	44%	0.02	75.5	4.6%	0	1	61	0
20	Mar_2_2017	49.2	47.75	50	49.88	50.37	51.43	51.03(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	180	25	56	0.46	44%	0	72.2	4.63%	0	1.1	62	0

21	Mar_1_2017	49.2	47.36	49.53	49.15	49.26	50.35	51.74(6.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	160	21	49	0.79	44%	-0.02	67.6	4.64%	0	1.5	67	0
22	Feb_28_2017	49.21	46.92	49	48.6	48.53	49.31	48.44(-3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	110	9	43	0.46	39%	-0.14	68	4.52%	0	0.5	62	0
23	Feb_27_2017	49.28	46.55	48.84	48.99	48.55	48.17	50.36(5.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-80	-8	49	0.7	39%	-0.06	65.6	4.53%	0	1.2	67	0
24	Feb_24_2017	49.31	46.1	48.44	49.74	49.39	47.75	47.82(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-250	-24	64	0.52	36%	-0.12	70.9	4.47%	0	0.5	65	0
25	Feb_23_2017	49.37	45.76	48.29	50.14	50.52	48.94	47.4(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-200	-21	81	0.51	36%		70.3	4.5%	0	0.5	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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