Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $51.7700 (-0.9%) ($51.4000 - $52.7000) on Mon. Mar. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.25% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $51.7700(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.125% (StdDev 4.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.29(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.9(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.9(3.75%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   27.8%
Market Cap   $3.586b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 4.25% (three month std-dev: 4.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.42%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 2.37%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -4.02%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 2.84%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.75%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2017	49.35	49.9	50.9	51.29	51.51	52.08	51.77(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	90	12	37	0.28	52%	0.06	72.7	4.25%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Mar_10_2017	49.32	49.64	50.75	50.92	50.84	51.77	52.24(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	120	16	24	0.32	52%	0.04	71.9	4.26%	0	1.2	44	0
3	Mar_9_2017	49.3	49.33	50.32	50.67	50.36	50.93	51.77(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	60	14	15	0.42	52%	0.06	73.2	4.3%	0	1.1	55	0
4	Mar_8_2017	49.27	48.97	49.89	50.52	50.29	49.9	51.1(3.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-70	-2	9	0.38	52%	0.04	69.5	4.32%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Mar_7_2017	49.25	48.65	49.67	50.65	50.63	49.79	49.57(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-120	-11	15	0.36	50%	0.04	70.8	4.31%	0	0.4	59	0

6	Mar_6_2017	49.23	48.4	49.75	50.42	51.06	50.69	49.93(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10	-9	22	0.41	50%	0.04	72.5	4.34%	0	0.6	59	0
7	Mar_3_2017	49.21	48.12	50.12	50.51	50.91	51.46	50.96(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	100	9	49	0.45	44%	0.02	75.5	4.6%	0	1	61	0
8	Mar_2_2017	49.2	47.75	50	49.88	50.37	51.43	51.03(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	180	25	56	0.46	44%	0	72.2	4.63%	0	1.1	62	0
9	Mar_1_2017	49.2	47.36	49.53	49.15	49.26	50.35	51.74(6.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	160	21	49	0.79	44%	-0.02	67.6	4.64%	0	1.5	67	0
10	Feb_28_2017	49.21	46.92	49	48.6	48.53	49.31	48.44(-3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	110	9	43	0.46	39%	-0.14	68	4.52%	0	0.5	62	0

11	Feb_27_2017	49.28	46.55	48.84	48.99	48.55	48.17	50.36(5.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-80	-8	49	0.7	39%	-0.06	65.6	4.53%	0	1.2	67	0
12	Feb_24_2017	49.31	46.1	48.44	49.74	49.39	47.75	47.82(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-250	-24	64	0.52	36%	-0.12	70.9	4.47%	0	0.5	65	0
13	Feb_23_2017	49.37	45.76	48.29	50.14	50.52	48.94	47.4(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-200	-21	81	0.51	36%	-0.14	70.3	4.5%	0	0.5	65	0
14	Feb_22_2017	49.44	45.48	48.03	49.89	50.54	51.04	48.99(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	110	-1	90	0.36	36%	-0.1	65.3	4.51%	0	1	71	0
15	Feb_21_2017	49.49	45.06	47.6	49.36	49.65	52.1	50.4(-6.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	360	40	104	0.93	36%	-0.12	59.9	4.53%	0	1.5	77	0

16	Feb_17_2017	49.55	44.58	46.99	48.58	48.11	50.04	54.09(8.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	70	250	56	112	1.14	38%	0.06	56.2	4.43%	0	2.9	97	0
17	Feb_16_2017	49.52	43.95	45.92	47.04	46.76	47.21	49.83(8.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	39	50	23	85	1.45	30%	-0.1	58.4	4.3%	0	2.4	88	0
18	Feb_15_2017	49.57	43.53	45.26	46.27	46.27	46.18	46.12(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10	4	75	0.59	24%	-0.16	63.4	4.27%	0	1.3	85	0
19	Feb_14_2017	49.65	43.35	44.98	45.91	46.03	46.32	46.38(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	50	7	77	0.44	24%	-0.14	61.5	4.27%	0	1.5	78	0
20	Feb_13_2017	49.72	43.08	44.64	45.52	45.54	46.36	46.47(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	130	15	81	0.3	24%	-0.14	55.3	4.31%	0	1.8	81	0

21	Feb_10_2017	49.79	42.83	44.06	45.11	45.05	45.74	46.39(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	100	21	77	0.45	30%	-0.14	38.1	4.31%	0	2.1	78	0
22	Feb_9_2017	49.86	42.57	43.55	44.62	44.49	44.72	46.01(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	30	12	61	0.45	36%	-0.12	20.7	4.42%	0	2.3	66	0
23	Feb_8_2017	49.92	42.29	43.02	44.11	44.08	44.36	44.32(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	40	5	45	0.44	36%	-0.12	-4.5	4.58%	0	1.5	62	0
24	Feb_7_2017	49.98	42.17	42.73	43.9	43.85	44.26	44.43(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	60	10	41	0.35	39%	-0.06	-13.3	4.6%	0	1.8	58	0
25	Feb_6_2017	50.01	42.07	42.36	43.62	43.55	43.79	44.42(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	30	16	37	0.32	39%		-17.5	4.66%	0	2.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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