Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $52.2900 (5.72%) ($49.8000 - $52.5000) on Mon. Nov. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.32% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $52.2900(5.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(48%)    ARKK(47%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.16% (StdDev 4.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.75(7.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.62(7.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.05(6.61%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   43.9%
Market Cap   $3.622b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 4.14% (three month std-dev: 4.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2%(33%) Average negative next day return: -5.25%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -6.55%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.91%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2016	45.43	49.05	48.62	48.75	48.64	49.8	52.29(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	28	160	34	9	0.64	57%	0.09	-56.8	4.32%	0	1.6	59	INF
2	Nov_4_2016	45.39	49.14	48.25	47.86	47.82	48.08	49.46(3.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	40	8	-12	0.87	51%	0.02	-63.5	4.27%	0	0.2	58	INF
3	Nov_3_2016	45.38	49.28	48.19	47.69	47.87	47.48	47.63(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-50	-3	-16	1.09	51%	-0.04	-60.8	4.3%	0	-0.7	51	INF
4	Nov_2_2016	45.4	49.58	48.45	47.82	48.04	47.55	46.1(-4.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-60	-17	-21	1.19	51%	-0.07	-52	4.29%	0	-1.4	34	INF
5	Nov_1_2016	45.43	49.99	48.7	48.35	48.51	48.26	48.29(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-30	-5	-14	0.57	54%	-0.07	-47.9	4.25%	0	-0.7	41	INF

6	Oct_31_2016	45.46	50.23	48.8	48.43	48.69	48.52	47.84(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10	-6	-23	0.3	54%	-0.07	-49.2	4.25%	0	-1	31	INF
7	Oct_28_2016	45.49	50.48	48.79	48.67	48.8	48.76	48.58(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	0	-4	-38	0.57	54%	-0.18	-47.5	4.26%	0	-0.8	29	INF
8	Oct_27_2016	45.57	50.7	48.72	48.77	49.02	48.86	48.3(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10	-5	-49	0.45	54%	-0.39	-47.6	4.29%	0	-1	38	INF
9	Oct_26_2016	45.75	50.88	48.95	49.18	49.22	48.85	48.72(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-50	-4	-51	0.47	54%	-0.28	-45.5	4.31%	0	-0.9	36	INF
10	Oct_25_2016	45.88	51.15	49.11	49.1	49.4	49.17	48.72(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10	-5	-62	0.32	54%	-0.24	-42.5	4.33%	0	-1	35	INF

11	Oct_24_2016	45.99	51.44	49.53	49.21	49.34	49.59	49.01(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	40	3	-59	0.38	54%	-0.17	-34.3	4.33%	0	-1	40	INF
12	Oct_21_2016	46.07	51.63	50.08	48.91	49.26	49.62	49.12(-2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	70	12	-55	0.7	54%	-0.26	-29.2	4.34%	0	-1.1	41	INF
13	Oct_20_2016	46.19	51.84	50.43	48.64	48.7	49.1	50.33(4.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	60	2	-64	0.54	57%	-0.15	-21	4.33%	0	-0.7	44	INF
14	Oct_19_2016	46.26	51.98	50.74	48.72	48.68	48.9	48.32(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	30	0	-60	0.34	57%	-0.15	-6	4.36%	0	-1.7	42	INF
15	Oct_18_2016	46.33	52.2	51.35	49.15	49.1	48.3	49.26(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-120	-14	-59	0.49	57%	0.06	14.6	4.39%	0	-1.4	38	INF

16	Oct_17_2016	46.3	52.26	51.76	49.95	49.82	48.46	47.52(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-200	-41	-62	0.54	57%	-0.13	32.2	4.37%	0	-2.1	31	INF
17	Oct_14_2016	46.36	52.26	52.34	51.45	51.42	49.89	47.78(-5.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-34	-210	-32	-38	0.71	57%	-0.13	53.6	4.37%	0	-2	39	INF
18	Oct_13_2016	46.42	52.31	52.89	52.43	52.65	51.19	50.72(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-180	-30	-24	0.53	56%	-0.02	68.5	4.3%	0	-0.6	45	INF
19	Oct_12_2016	46.43	52.11	53.04	53.04	53.29	52.95	50.45(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-30	-22	-15	0.58	56%	0.04	65.5	4.4%	0	-0.6	44	INF
20	Oct_11_2016	46.41	51.89	53.43	53.83	53.69	54.1	53.26(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	50	5	12	0.4	60%	0.09	66.2	4.36%	0	0.4	55	INF

21	Oct_10_2016	46.37	51.55	53.55	53.84	53.71	53.63	55.02(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-20	10	25	0.37	60%	0.22	76	4.34%	0	1	69	INF
22	Oct_7_2016	46.27	51.1	53.31	53.41	53.4	53.27	52.69(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-5	26	0.62	58%	0.17	79.9	4.31%	0	0.4	71	INF
23	Oct_6_2016	46.19	50.64	53.36	53.43	53.27	53.8	53.8(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	60	8	48	0.59	58%	0.06	88.3	4.3%	0	0.9	78	INF
24	Oct_5_2016	46.16	50.29	53.28	53.04	53.03	53.54	54.4(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	70	12	62	0.38	58%	0.07	100.4	4.32%	0	1.1	82	INF
25	Oct_4_2016	46.13	49.91	53.06	53	52.73	52.75	53.3(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10	-1	76	0.46	58%		96.4	4.34%	0	0.8	82	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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