Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $54.2100 (-0.62%) ($52.3800 - $54.9900) on Wed. Sep. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.41% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $54.2100(-0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    IWO(48%)    ARKK(47%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.205% (StdDev 4.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.5(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.15(5.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.88(15.64%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   49.1%
Market Cap   $3.755b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 12.48% (three month std-dev: 4.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 7.71%(43%) Average negative next day return: -3.6%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 10.98%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -6.03%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 10.42%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.26%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2016	45.89	46.88	51.15	53.5	53.31	53.81	54.21(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	50	13	125	0.55	58%	0.15	74.5	4.41%	0	1.3	69	0
2	Sep_27_2016	45.82	46.01	50.28	53.12	52.96	53.15	54.55(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	20	15	116	0.37	53%	0.15	68.2	4.53%	0	1.4	69	0
3	Sep_26_2016	45.75	45.16	49.4	52.18	52.38	52.82	52.7(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	70	15	125	0.36	53%	0.22	63	4.67%	0	1.3	82	0
4	Sep_23_2016	45.65	44.41	48.71	51.15	51.42	52.78	53.03(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	57	200	29	141	0.8	49%	0.22	57.7	4.8%	0	1.5	83	0
5	Sep_22_2016	45.55	43.65	47.7	49.87	49.97	51.94	53.03(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	280	42	147	0.84	49%	0.2	51.1	4.81%	0	1.7	82	0

6	Sep_21_2016	45.46	42.89	47.01	48.44	48.28	50.06	52.29(4.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	70	250	42	155	0.95	49%	0.13	45.5	4.81%	0	1.9	81	0
7	Sep_20_2016	45.4	42.28	46.41	47.03	47.03	48	49.83(4.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	140	29	161	1.1	46%	0	41.9	4.8%	0	1.7	80	0
8	Sep_19_2016	45.4	41.76	45.21	46.26	45.95	46.5	47.57(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	60	10	145	0.68	46%	-0.04	38.8	4.79%	0	1.4	74	0
9	Sep_16_2016	45.42	41.35	44.14	45.9	45.56	46.05	46.62(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	50	16	143	1.19	46%	-0.09	38	4.8%	0	1.3	72	0
10	Sep_15_2016	45.46	41.02	43.19	45.18	45.19	45.39	45.89(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	5	126	2.22	46%	-0.11	35.5	4.8%	0	1.3	71	0

11	Sep_14_2016	45.51	40.7	42.31	45.33	44.75	45.06	45.26(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	10	-6	125	0.95	43%	-0.15	39	4.8%	0	1.3	68	0
12	Sep_13_2016	45.58	40.45	41.47	45.68	45.35	44.99	45.95(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	-80	21	133	0.71	43%	-0.15	44	4.86%	0	1.6	61	0
13	Sep_12_2016	45.65	40.19	40.62	43.95	45.43	44.44	45.8(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-50	17	94	0.93	43%	-0.2	33.2	4.88%	0	1.7	62	0
14	Sep_9_2016	45.74	39.89	39.81	42.06	43.6	45.71	43(-7.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	450	17	54	1.12	32%	-0.26	13.8	4.97%	0	1.1	59	0
15	Sep_8_2016	45.86	39.72	39.29	40.81	41.66	46.43	46.66(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2	74	860	82	51	0.94	38%	-0.04	-4	5.21%	0	2.4	65	0

16	Sep_7_2016	45.88	39.34	38.39	38.85	39.12	41.48	46.98(25.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.4	62	440	78	14	4.74	38%	-0.07	-38.5	5.3%	0	3.2	67	0
17	Sep_6_2016	45.91	38.99	37.66	36.77	36.8	36.9	37.32(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	1	-64	0.41	22%	-0.35	-97.2	4.18%	0	-1	31	0
18	Sep_2_2016	46.07	39.15	37.94	36.86	36.81	36.75	36.35(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-22	-20	-6	-69	0.3	25%	-0.28	-100.6	4.26%	0	-1.5	22	0
19	Sep_1_2016	46.2	39.49	38.29	37.2	37.12	36.69	36.74(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-90	-8	-64	0.24	25%	-0.28	-97.7	4.34%	0	-1.4	33	0
20	Aug_31_2016	46.33	39.83	38.67	37.47	37.44	36.87	36.84(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-110	-15	-61	0.48	25%	-0.19	-82.4	4.36%	0	-1.4	37	0

21	Aug_30_2016	46.42	40.28	38.99	37.8	37.89	37.54	36.62(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-60	-21	-57	0.8	25%	-0.19	-76.1	4.41%	0	-1.6	36	0
22	Aug_29_2016	46.51	40.69	39.42	38.68	38.59	38.02	37.76(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-110	-13	-39	0.31	25%	-0.21	-63.5	4.43%	0	-1.3	35	0
23	Aug_26_2016	46.61	41.08	39.81	39.19	39.3	38.24	38.03(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-180	-18	-29	0.59	25%	-0.19	-51.5	4.43%	0	-1.3	39	0
24	Aug_25_2016	46.7	41.44	40.07	39.56	39.83	39.17	38.08(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-100	-22	-32	0.91	30%	-0.23	-43.8	4.44%	0	-1.5	30	0
25	Aug_24_2016	46.81	41.73	40.28	40.05	40.26	40.36	38.52(-6.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	30	-5	-27	0.9	30%		-37.2	4.58%	0	-1.4	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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