Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $46.9800 (25.88%) ($44.1500 - $47.7500) on Wed. Sep. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.3% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $46.9800(25.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 5.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.65% (StdDev 5.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.85(20.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.39(22.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.34(19.42%)
To recent high   -28.9%
To recent low   29.2%
Market Cap   $3.254b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 6.05% (three month std-dev: 5.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2016	45.88	39.34	38.39	38.85	39.12	41.48	46.98(25.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.4	62	440	78	14	4.74	38%	-0.07	-38.5	5.3%	0	3.2	67	0
2	Sep_6_2016	45.91	38.99	37.66	36.77	36.8	36.9	37.32(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	1	-64	0.41	22%	-0.35	-97.2	4.18%	0	-1	31	0
3	Sep_2_2016	46.07	39.15	37.94	36.86	36.81	36.75	36.35(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-22	-20	-6	-69	0.3	25%	-0.28	-100.6	4.26%	0	-1.5	22	0
4	Sep_1_2016	46.2	39.49	38.29	37.2	37.12	36.69	36.74(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-90	-8	-64	0.24	25%	-0.28	-97.7	4.34%	0	-1.4	33	0
5	Aug_31_2016	46.33	39.83	38.67	37.47	37.44	36.87	36.84(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-110	-15	-61	0.48	25%	-0.19	-82.4	4.36%	0	-1.4	37	0

6	Aug_30_2016	46.42	40.28	38.99	37.8	37.89	37.54	36.62(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-60	-21	-57	0.8	25%	-0.19	-76.1	4.41%	0	-1.6	36	0
7	Aug_29_2016	46.51	40.69	39.42	38.68	38.59	38.02	37.76(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-110	-13	-39	0.31	25%	-0.21	-63.5	4.43%	0	-1.3	35	0
8	Aug_26_2016	46.61	41.08	39.81	39.19	39.3	38.24	38.03(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-180	-18	-29	0.59	25%	-0.19	-51.5	4.43%	0	-1.3	39	0
9	Aug_25_2016	46.7	41.44	40.07	39.56	39.83	39.17	38.08(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-100	-22	-32	0.91	30%	-0.23	-43.8	4.44%	0	-1.5	30	0
10	Aug_24_2016	46.81	41.73	40.28	40.05	40.26	40.36	38.52(-6.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	30	-5	-27	0.9	30%	-0.09	-37.2	4.58%	0	-1.4	30	0

11	Aug_23_2016	46.85	42.08	40.44	40.33	40.37	40.49	40.99(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	20	5	-36	0.51	36%	-0.06	-29.8	4.52%	0	-0.5	29	0
12	Aug_22_2016	46.88	42.23	40.43	40.3	40.23	40.15	40.31(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-20	-5	-51	0.7	36%	-0.02	-23.3	4.6%	0	-0.9	32	0
13	Aug_19_2016	46.89	42.34	40.46	40.56	40.47	40.24	39.9(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-50	-4	-61	0.38	33%	-0.02	-19.3	4.6%	0	-1.1	28	0
14	Aug_18_2016	46.9	42.47	40.76	40.67	40.75	40.31	40.55(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-70	-2	-63	0.41	33%	0.06	-17.7	4.77%	0	-0.9	32	0
15	Aug_17_2016	46.87	42.6	41.05	40.67	40.7	40.69	39.91(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	10	-5	-67	0.37	33%	0.06	-16.2	4.77%	0	-1.3	37	0

16	Aug_16_2016	46.84	42.75	41.63	40.54	40.66	41.18	40.82(-1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	100	6	-62	0.41	37%	0.11	-12.8	4.76%	0	-1	34	0
17	Aug_15_2016	46.79	42.74	42.02	40.57	40.54	40.7	41.63(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	30	8	-58	0.53	37%	-0.13	-21.8	4.87%	0	-0.6	44	0
18	Aug_12_2016	46.85	42.76	42.39	40.37	40.43	40.15	40.42(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-40	-10	-61	0.58	37%	0.06	-26.4	4.88%	0	-1.2	47	0
19	Aug_11_2016	46.82	42.84	42.87	40.91	40.83	40.37	39.93(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-80	-16	-49	0.71	37%	0.06	-21.9	4.88%	0	-1.5	46	0
20	Aug_10_2016	46.79	42.93	43.29	41.67	41.7	40.72	39.9(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-160	-24	-38	0.78	37%	0	-14.9	4.92%	0	-1.6	43	0

21	Aug_9_2016	46.79	43.01	43.88	42.89	42.77	41.28	40.96(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-250	-29	-15	0.52	41%	0.11	-2	4.91%	0	-1.2	48	0
22	Aug_8_2016	46.74	43.17	44.22	43.68	43.92	42.67	40.63(-5.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-20	-180	-29	7	0.95	41%	0.09	17.7	5.05%	0	-1.5	56	0
23	Aug_5_2016	46.7	43.28	44.45	44.69	44.73	44.25	43.12(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-70	-16	30	0.59	42%	0.17	35.8	5%	0	-0.1	56	0
24	Aug_4_2016	46.62	43.27	44.4	45.11	45.21	45.16	43.72(-5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	12	-0	0	46	0.66	42%	0.15	46.3	5%	0	0.3	58	0
25	Aug_3_2016	46.55	43.21	44.34	45.14	45.07	45.21	46.02(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	20	2	53	0.51	42%		41.6	5%	0	1.7	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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