Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $45.6900 (1.02%) ($44.6401 - $46.3590) on Mon. Aug. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.06% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $45.6900(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.53% (StdDev 5.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.85(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.53(4.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.87(6.58%)
To recent high   -30.9%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $3.165b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 3.48% (three month std-dev: 5.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(50%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 2.99%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.91%(50%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 2.94%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.74%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2016	46.43	42.87	43.53	44.85	44.81	44.92	45.69(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	10	14	50	0.38	42%	0.13	41.4	5.06%	0	1.9	54	0
2	Jul_29_2016	46.37	42.71	43.12	44.18	44.17	44.46	45.23(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	50	7	35	0.31	42%	0.17	27.1	5.1%	0	1.9	58	0
3	Jul_28_2016	46.29	42.53	42.76	43.58	43.6	44.69	43.86(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	180	12	25	0.29	42%	0.09	-8.1	5.1%	0	1.1	54	0
4	Jul_27_2016	46.25	42.55	42.5	43.4	43.15	43.88	45.56(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	22	100	22	23	0.47	42%	0.09	-20.6	5.08%	0	2.4	59	0
5	Jul_26_2016	46.21	42.44	42.01	42.79	42.7	42.5	43.93(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-40	11	4	0.34	42%	-0.06	-52.9	5.06%	0	1.4	53	0

6	Jul_25_2016	46.24	42.26	41.98	42.02	42.24	42.42	42.31(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	50	-2	-7	0.3	42%	-0.06	-102.9	5.04%	0	0	55	0
7	Jul_22_2016	46.27	42.35	41.99	41.9	41.91	42.9	42.23(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	170	11	-4	0.36	42%	0	-111	5.05%	0	-0.1	49	0
8	Jul_21_2016	46.27	42.63	42.03	41.8	41.64	42.06	42.97(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	60	17	-1	0.44	46%	-0.02	-78.1	5.05%	0	0.2	54	0
9	Jul_20_2016	46.28	42.81	41.98	41.45	41.2	40.92	42.53(6.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-70	-0	-18	0.53	46%	-0.02	-79.5	5.22%	0	-0.1	44	0
10	Jul_19_2016	46.29	43.03	42.01	41.13	41.24	41.23	40.06(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	10	-13	-31	0.43	43%	0.04	-79.4	5.16%	0	-1.3	39	0

11	Jul_18_2016	46.27	43.48	42.18	41.92	41.73	41.48	41.71(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-60	-2	-12	0.35	43%	0.04	-68.1	5.14%	0	-0.7	57	0
12	Jul_15_2016	46.25	43.76	42.29	42.08	42.21	41.25	41.74(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-150	-11	-17	0.69	43%	0.09	-69.6	5.16%	0	-0.8	45	0
13	Jul_14_2016	46.21	44.1	42.31	42.28	42.6	41.97	41.21(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-80	-17	-32	0.53	43%	0.06	-75.3	5.16%	0	-1	37	0
14	Jul_13_2016	46.18	44.51	42.64	42.57	43	43.17	40.91(-7.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	60	-5	-30	0.58	46%	0.07	-92.4	5.16%	0	-1.2	40	0
15	Jul_12_2016	46.15	44.9	42.95	42.99	43.04	43.23	44.05(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	30	11	-26	0.42	48%	0.11	-107.2	5.15%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	Jul_11_2016	46.1	45.27	42.58	42.48	42.59	42.82	42.5(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	50	0	-59	0.41	48%	0.11	-109.6	5.14%	0	-0.8	37	0
17	Jul_8_2016	46.05	45.65	42.75	42.53	42.36	42.86	42.75(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	70	7	-63	0.35	48%	0.11	-114.7	5.16%	0	-0.9	42	0
18	Jul_7_2016	46	46.29	43.26	42.36	42.18	42.36	42.63(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	20	1	-69	0.44	48%	0.02	-103.6	5.16%	0	-0.9	39	0
19	Jul_6_2016	45.99	47.38	43.68	42.75	42.2	41.85	43.03(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-100	-7	-74	0.55	52%	0.07	-65.4	5.17%	0	-0.8	39	0
20	Jul_5_2016	45.96	48.26	44.08	42.92	42.93	42	41.47(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-150	-4	-71	0.31	52%	0.09	-55.5	5.41%	0	-1.1	38	0

21	Jul_1_2016	45.92	49.16	44.85	42.68	43.12	42.55	42.77(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-60	-15	-84	0.74	52%	0.15	-51.3	5.39%	0	-1	35	0
22	Jun_30_2016	45.85	49.86	45.32	42.98	43.1	43.87	41.9(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	130	-13	-85	0.67	54%	0.13	-47	5.42%	0	-1.2	37	0
23	Jun_29_2016	45.79	50.81	46.03	44.31	43.7	43.7	44.6(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-40	4	-78	0.69	56%	-0.02	-38.7	5.37%	0	-0.9	33	0
24	Jun_28_2016	45.8	51.45	46.52	44.8	44.54	42.33	43.89(8.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-360	-25	-115	0.79	56%	-0.04	-32.4	5.37%	0	-1.2	25	0
25	Jun_27_2016	45.82	52.08	47.01	45.49	45.7	43.7	40.27(-9.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-75	-290	-52	-143	0.81	53%		-25.6	5.3%	0	-1.8	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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