Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $47.0700 (-0.55%) ($46.2000 - $48.6599) on Wed. Jun. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.16% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $47.0700(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO declines -11.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.58% (StdDev 5.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $53.52
5 Day Moving Average   $48(-1.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.56(-5.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.52(-12.05%)
To recent high   -28.8%
To recent low   30.1%
Market Cap   $3.261b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 9.9% (three month std-dev: 5.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -9.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -12.51%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2016	45.87	53.52	49.56	48	48.32	47.89	47.07(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-40	-15	-139	0.64	60%	0.02	-4.3	5.16%	0	-1.2	35	0
2	Jun_21_2016	45.86	53.65	51.33	48.52	48.64	48.79	47.33(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	30	-3	-110	0.71	60%	0.04	-4.2	5.3%	0	-1.2	41	0
3	Jun_20_2016	45.84	53.78	52.71	48.8	48.89	48.76	49.3(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10	-2	-98	0.51	60%	0.09	-4.4	5.27%	0	-0.9	45	0
4	Jun_17_2016	45.8	53.65	53.73	49.34	49.01	48.49	47.48(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-90	-15	-88	1.05	60%	0.02	-2.6	5.25%	0	-1.1	47	0
5	Jun_16_2016	45.79	53.62	54.72	49.91	50.02	49.03	48.82(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-130	-22	-78	0.86	60%	0.09	0.8	5.25%	0	-0.9	49	0

6	Jun_15_2016	45.75	53.75	55.95	51.39	51.1	49.54	49.66(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-230	-52	-61	0.51	57%	0.09	12.9	5.25%	0	-0.7	50	0
7	Jun_14_2016	45.71	53.87	56.78	54.68	53.64	51.02	48.75(-6.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-400	-52	-9	1.71	57%	0.09	34.3	5.37%	0	-0.9	56	0
8	Jun_13_2016	45.67	54	57.61	57.25	57.28	52.66	51.97(3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-33	-560	-55	34	3.02	59%	0.15	52.4	5.31%	0	-0.4	59	0
9	Jun_10_2016	45.6	53.79	57.86	58.79	59.28	56.27	50.35(-10.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-36	-330	-69	64	1.83	59%	0.13	62.7	5.33%	0	-0.6	62	0
10	Jun_9_2016	45.54	53.58	58.26	60.08	60.62	61.91	56.22(-14.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	180	-8	126	3.41	63%	0.29	69	5.19%	0	0.5	70	0

11	Jun_8_2016	45.41	53.05	57.98	61.04	60.35	62.29	66.09(7.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	84	190	51	183	1.35	64%	0.55	73.2	4.85%	0	2.2	71	0
12	Jun_7_2016	45.16	52.07	56.19	59.29	59.1	59.32	61.62(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	20	23	141	0.88	64%	0.44	74.7	5.08%	0	1.8	66	0
13	Jun_6_2016	44.96	51.33	54.89	58.15	58.13	58.4	59.68(5.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	30	9	119	0.51	64%	0.42	72.8	5.15%	0	1.7	65	0
14	Jun_3_2016	44.77	50.52	53.5	56.88	57.34	58.87	56.8(-6.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	210	23	109	0.78	64%	0.34	61.9	5.13%	0	1.3	68	0
15	Jun_2_2016	44.62	49.84	52.39	56.1	55.95	57.86	60.99(6.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	60	230	42	112	0.87	67%	0.47	49.8	5.05%	0	2.4	77	0

16	Jun_1_2016	44.41	48.96	51.24	54.43	54.33	55.81	57.34(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	190	41	105	0.83	69%	0.38	38	5%	0	2.1	74	0
17	May_31_2016	44.24	48.38	50.56	52.63	52.82	54.03	55.95(4.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	170	32	86	0.73	66%	0.34	21.4	5.07%	0	2.1	65	0
18	May_27_2016	44.09	48.01	49.95	51.16	51.3	52.85	53.34(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	220	33	72	0.33	69%	0.3	6.3	5.23%	0	1.7	62	0
19	May_26_2016	43.96	47.76	49.29	49.58	49.81	51.61	52.9(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	270	41	62	0.67	70%	0.27	-17.1	5.27%	0	1.8	68	0
20	May_25_2016	43.84	47.59	48.48	48.06	47.88	49.75	52.63(8.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	27	260	23	39	1.06	70%	0.27	-39.4	5.34%	0	1.8	69	0

21	May_24_2016	43.72	47.46	47.71	47.63	47.23	48.01	48.34(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	90	10	32	0.87	69%	0.14	-41.8	5.25%	0	0.3	61	0
22	May_23_2016	43.66	47.62	47.61	48.22	47.92	46.01	48.58(6.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-300	-13	33	0.76	69%	0.16	-29.3	5.25%	0	0.3	55	0
23	May_20_2016	43.59	47.82	47.51	48.62	48.89	46.44	45.44(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-24	-330	-40	25	0.93	67%	0.07	-19.8	5.16%	0	-0.7	43	0
24	May_19_2016	43.56	48.26	47.38	48.89	49.82	49.82	45.3(-10.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	60	-11	29	1.2	67%	0.05	-9.2	5.2%	0	-0.9	45	0
25	May_18_2016	43.54	48.69	47.23	48.8	49.33	51.34	50.51(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	320	35	31	0.8	66%		-3.3	5.03%	0	0.5	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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