Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $37.9100 (2.27%) ($35.0000 - $39.2500) on Thu. Mar. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.9% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $37.9100(2.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO declines -5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(59%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.95% (StdDev 5.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $22.72(-40.07%)
Resistance Level   $39.74
5 Day Moving Average   $37.44(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.78(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.74(-4.6%)
To recent high   -20.6%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $2.626b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 7.9% (three month std-dev: 5.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2016	39.27	39.74		37.44	37.59	37.97	37.91(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	80	1	-56	0.73	56%	-0.1	-9.6	5.9%	0	-0.6	40	INF
2	Mar_23_2016	39.31	39.73	37.78	37.04	37.24	38.44	37.07(-7.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	240	14	-67	0.77	56%	-0.2	-13.3	5.99%	0	-0.8	42	INF
3	Mar_22_2016	39.39	39.82	38.02	36.97	36.58	37.22	39.87(9.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	90	16	-78	1.03	61%	0.05	-19.3	5.93%	0	0	44	INF
4	Mar_21_2016	39.37	39.74	38.12	36.49	36.24	36.04	36.25(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-60	-11	-103	0.77	56%	-0.3	-25.8	5.75%	0	-1.1	37	INF
5	Mar_18_2016	39.49	39.9	39.2	37.44	36.89	35.94	36.1(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-220	-17	-73	1.28	56%	-0.33	-16.6	5.86%	0	-1.3	50	INF

6	Mar_17_2016	39.62	40.05	40.01	38.2	38.06	36.44	35.89(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-310	-19	-53	0.69	56%	-0.38	-6	5.97%	0	-1.4	47	INF
7	Mar_16_2016	39.77	40.15	40.74	38.59	38.84	37.84	36.74(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-160	-23	-37	0.51	56%	-0.3	-1.3	6.07%	0	-1.2	54	INF
8	Mar_15_2016	39.89	40.42	41.47	39.16	39.38	39.68	37.45(-8.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	70	-10	-13	0.61	56%	-0.27	0	6.19%	0	-1.1	52	INF
9	Mar_14_2016	40	40.56	42.1	39.96	39.9	39.84	41(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-6	-20	-10	8	0.52	63%	0.13	0	6.02%	0	0.2	58	INF
10	Mar_11_2016	39.95	40.41	41.89	41.31	40.91	39.08	39.91(5.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-340	-22	21	0.36	63%	0	0	6.14%	0	-0.2	55	INF

11	Mar_10_2016	39.95	40.23	41.91	42.19	42.56	39.96	37.87(-4.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-19	-400	-36	31	0.65	63%	-0.27	0	6.2%	0	-0.8	53	INF
12	Mar_9_2016	40.06	40.19	41.93	43.21	43.74	42.74	39.55(-4.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-120	-28	49	0.63	63%	-0.07	0	6.26%	0	-0.2	59	INF
13	Mar_8_2016	40.09	40.19	41.87	44.06	44.35	45.16	41.49(-13.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	2	150	2	1	0.65	63%	0.2	0	6.31%	0	13.3	51	INF
14	Mar_7_2016	40.01	40.19	41.58	44.44	44.15	44.74	47.72(7.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	70	34	14	0.75	77%	1.16	0	5.47%	0	15.1	64	INF
15	Mar_4_2016	39.55	40.19	40.65	42.57	42.96	43.53	44.32(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	120	14	6	0.8	73%	0.74	0	5.43%	0	16.8	64	INF

16	Mar_3_2016	39.26	40.19	40.04	41.65	41.84	43.55	42.96(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	300	27	11	0.75	73%	0.64	0	5.59%	0	17.7	66	INF
17	Mar_2_2016	39.01	40.19	39.45	40.47	40.66	42.38	43.8(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	310	37	15	1.46	73%	0.88	0	5.72%	0	19	65	INF
18	Mar_1_2016	38.67	40.19	39.18	39.38	39.19	40.12	43.42(13.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	21	150	24	10	1.8	73%	0.97	0	5.93%	0	21.9	50	INF
19	Feb_29_2016	38.3	40.19	38.76	38.33	38.31	38.94	38.35(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	110	7	3	0.73	64%	0	0	5.07%	0	25.1	50	INF
20	Feb_26_2016	38.3	40.19	38.71	38.46	38.1	38.26	39.71(7.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	0	7	3	0.64	64%	0.34	0	5.15%	0	24.8	50	INF

21	Feb_25_2016	38.17	40.19	38.34	38.2	38.27	37.67	37.09(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-100	-3	-1	0.73	55%	-0.29	0	5%	0	23	50	INF
22	Feb_24_2016	38.28	40.19	38.31	38.21	38.26	37.93	38.32(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-60	-18	-7	0.65	55%	0.03	0	5.13%	0	23.2	50	INF
23	Feb_23_2016	38.27	40.19	38.31	38.94	38.48	38.87	38.2(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	40	-4	-2	0.62	55%	-0.03	0	5.44%	0	22	50	INF
24	Feb_22_2016	38.28	40.19	38.31	39.25	38.48	38.59	38.96(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-110	7	3	0.74	55%	0.26	0	5.71%	0	21.2	50	INF
25	Feb_19_2016	38.18	40.19	38.31	39.01	39.18	38.09	38.44(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-180	-8	-3	0.63	55%		0	6.17%	0	19.7	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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