Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aflac Incorporated)
AFL latest price $36.1000 (0.98%) ($35.5900 - $36.1100) on Wed. Jul. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $36.1000(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AFL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AFL advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AFL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)    SDY(70%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting AFL price   AFL will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.84(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.35(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.97(3.23%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $25.772b

Aflac, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision financial protection services. It operates through the Aflac Japan and Aflac United States (U.S.) segments. The Aflac Japan segment offers life insurance, death benefits, and cash surrender values. The Aflac U.S. segment sells voluntary supplemental insurance products for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. The company was founded by John Amos, Daniel Paul Amos, and William Amos on November 17, 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, GA.

$. AFL price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.12%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.4%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.39%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.5%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2016	33.11	34.97	35.35	35.84	35.86	35.85	36.1(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-0	17	108	4.58	66%	0.21	43.4	1.08%	0	1.5	64	INF
2	Jul_5_2016	33.04	34.9	35.26	35.51	35.6	36.02	35.75(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	90	40	107	4.16	66%	0.21	32.8	1.07%	0	1.2	62	INF
3	Jul_1_2016	32.97	34.84	35.17	35.09	35.21	35.88	36.25(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	73	140	66	93	3.69	71%	0.27	16	1.05%	0	2.2	65	INF
4	Jun_30_2016	32.88	34.75	34.98	34.77	34.65	35.19	36.08(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	42	100	39	52	5.15	71%	0.21	2.4	1.07%	0	2.3	61	INF
5	Jun_29_2016	32.81	34.68	34.8	34.73	34.41	34.54	35.04(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-0	10	33	3.99	68%	0.21	0	1.02%	0	0.7	51	INF

6	Jun_28_2016	32.74	34.66	34.71	34.81	34.66	34.1	34.42(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-130	-28	13	4.93	65%	0.15	3.7	0.99%	0	-0.5	45	INF
7	Jun_27_2016	32.69	34.67	34.69	34.98	34.95	34.28	33.67(-2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-53	-140	-73	6	7.12	62%	0.15	18.1	0.96%	0	-2.1	42	INF
8	Jun_24_2016	32.64	34.67	34.76	35.22	35.25	35.23	34.63(-3.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-0	-21	48	7.99	70%	0.18	41.3	0.9%	0	-0.2	50	INF
9	Jun_23_2016	32.58	34.73	34.75	35.18	35.32	35.61	35.89(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	63	70	57	81	4.54	84%	0.22	42.1	0.79%	0	2.8	69	INF
10	Jun_22_2016	32.51	34.68	34.63	34.88	34.97	35.27	35.42(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	70	48	43	4.03	83%	0.22	34.7	0.78%	0	2.2	58	INF

11	Jun_21_2016	32.44	34.64	34.57	34.61	34.64	35.03	35.28(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	41	80	49	15	4.02	83%	0.22	22.6	0.78%	0	2.2	58	INF
12	Jun_20_2016	32.37	34.59	34.5	34.39	34.4	34.67	34.89(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	30	60	45	-16	3.71	82%	0.19	-2.7	0.77%	0	1.2	52	INF
13	Jun_17_2016	32.31	34.59	34.47	34.25	34.21	34.25	34.4(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	0	7	-53	4.5	82%	0.15	-20	0.75%	0	-0.6	40	INF
14	Jun_16_2016	32.26	34.59	34.49	34.26	34.19	34.14	34.41(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-20	-14	-60	2.84	83%	0.19	-24	0.77%	0	-0.6	47	INF
15	Jun_15_2016	32.2	34.56	34.53	34.35	34.3	34.18	34.08(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-30	-23	-56	3	82%	0.19	-12	0.78%	0	-1.8	32	INF

16	Jun_14_2016	32.14	34.58	34.59	34.53	34.44	34.24	34.16(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-50	-24	-37	3.08	82%	0.19	0	0.78%	0	-1.7	38	INF
17	Jun_13_2016	32.08	34.6	34.65	34.63	34.6	34.41	34.19(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-24	-40	-26	-16	3.74	82%	0.16	16.7	0.79%	0	-1.8	52	INF
18	Jun_10_2016	32.03	34.61	34.72	34.72	34.7	34.65	34.48(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10	-10	8	3.02	89%	0.22	31.1	0.87%	0	-0.6	54	INF
19	Jun_9_2016	31.96	34.62	34.73	34.74	34.74	34.78	34.85(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	10	5	22	3.09	95%	0.22	39.3	0.85%	0	1.1	63	INF
20	Jun_8_2016	31.89	34.59	34.74	34.73	34.67	34.75	34.95(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	10	7	30	3.62	95%	0.22	41	0.85%	0	1.7	59	INF

21	Jun_7_2016	31.82	34.57	34.72	34.68	34.64	34.7	34.66(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	10	7	35	3.4	95%	0.09	41.8	0.86%	0	0.5	60	INF
22	Jun_6_2016	31.79	34.56	34.68	34.69	34.61	34.7	34.67(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-2	29	3.22	95%	0.22	36.2	0.87%	0	0.5	53	INF
23	Jun_3_2016	31.72	34.55	34.65	34.71	34.62	34.59	34.56(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10	-5	30	3.92	95%	0.19	37.9	0.87%	0	0.1	53	INF
24	Jun_2_2016	31.66	34.54	34.63	34.72	34.67	34.63	34.79(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-10	-4	26	5.34	95%	0.19	36.2	0.87%	0	1.3	52	INF
25	Jun_1_2016	31.6	34.51	34.6	34.75	34.69	34.66	34.71(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10	-7	30	3.59	95%		29.3	0.87%	0	1	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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