Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aflac Incorporated)
AFL latest price $30.1700 (1.17%) ($29.5800 - $30.1800) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $30.1700(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AFL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AFL advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AFL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IWD(72%)    IVE(70%)    SDY(70%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting AFL price   AFL will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.84(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.42(2.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.14(3.53%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $21.539b

Aflac, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision financial protection services. It operates through the Aflac Japan and Aflac United States (U.S.) segments. The Aflac Japan segment offers life insurance, death benefits, and cash surrender values. The Aflac U.S. segment sells voluntary supplemental insurance products for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. The company was founded by John Amos, Daniel Paul Amos, and William Amos on November 17, 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, GA.

$. AFL price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 33 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(48%) Sample size 33 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.56%(45%) Sample size 33 Average positive next weekly return: 1.73%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.83%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2016	30.35	29.14	29.42	29.84	29.79	29.77	30.17(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10	11	72	3.43	42%	0	62.8	1.43%	0	1.8	63	INF
2	Feb_24_2016	30.35	29.07	29.28	29.72	29.79	29.67	29.82(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10	-2	60	3.37	42%	0.03	71.5	1.42%	0	1.4	64	INF
3	Feb_23_2016	30.34	29.01	29.19	29.66	29.69	29.82	29.69(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	30	11	67	3.17	42%	0	78.1	1.42%	0	1.4	63	INF
4	Feb_22_2016	30.34	28.94	29.11	29.54	29.62	29.7	29.85(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	30	21	71	4.28	42%	0	71.6	1.42%	0	1.9	69	INF
5	Feb_19_2016	30.34	28.88	29.03	29.3	29.4	29.55	29.66(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	50	24	56	5.43	42%	0.03	65.1	1.42%	0	1.8	56	INF

6	Feb_18_2016	30.33	28.79	28.96	28.93	29.13	29.54	29.58(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	120	28	26	4.16	45%	0	35.3	1.42%	0	1.8	53	INF
7	Feb_17_2016	30.33	28.7	28.86	28.76	28.7	29.24	29.54(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	22	130	26	11	4.41	45%	0.03	13.8	1.45%	0	1.8	57	INF
8	Feb_16_2016	30.32	28.63	28.76	28.65	28.58	28.72	29.07(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	30	20	-2	5.15	43%	0.07	4.8	1.44%	0	1	53	INF
9	Feb_12_2016	30.3	28.63	28.68	28.64	28.55	28.16	28.66(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-110	-17	-19	5.27	42%	0	3.4	1.41%	0	0.2	55	INF
10	Feb_11_2016	30.3	28.59	28.71	28.73	28.65	28.45	27.8(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-32	-60	-37	-15	6.86	38%	-0.03	9.5	1.36%	0	-1.9	43	INF

11	Feb_10_2016	30.31	28.63	28.71	28.97	28.94	28.94	28.75(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-0	6	42	4.46	41%	0	21.1	1.31%	0	0.3	62	INF
12	Feb_9_2016	30.31	28.64	28.86	28.95	28.88	28.85	28.97(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10	0	52	5.56	41%	0.03	12	1.32%	0	0.9	66	INF
13	Feb_8_2016	30.3	28.61	28.83	28.88	28.87	28.94	29(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	20	10	59	5.25	41%	0	-4.7	1.32%	0	1.1	58	INF
14	Feb_5_2016	30.3	28.58	28.77	28.74	28.8	28.91	29.11(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	30	8	45	4.57	41%	0	-35.7	1.32%	0	1.4	59	INF
15	Feb_4_2016	30.3	28.58	28.72	28.71	28.66	28.81	29.01(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	30	3	42	4.56	41%	0	-62.2	1.32%	0	1.4	53	INF

16	Feb_3_2016	30.3	28.55	28.61	28.74	28.67	28.69	28.66(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-0	5	39	5.11	41%	-0.03	-75.6	1.31%	0	0.3	52	INF
17	Feb_2_2016	30.31	28.59	28.53	28.75	28.72	28.51	28.64(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-50	-8	19	10.01	41%	0	-72	1.31%	0	0.1	47	INF
18	Feb_1_2016	30.31	28.63	28.49	28.75	28.77	28.65	28.26(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-30	-11	17	11.29	39%	-0.03	-67.1	1.31%	0	-0.8	48	INF
19	Jan_29_2016	30.32	28.71	28.5	28.78	28.82	28.92	28.98(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	30	7	24	10.38	41%	0	-68.9	1.28%	0	0.6	57	INF
20	Jan_28_2016	30.32	28.77	28.46	28.71	28.73	28.89	29.16(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	40	24	26	4.24	41%	0.03	-58.6	1.28%	0	0.7	55	INF

21	Jan_27_2016	30.31	28.82	28.38	28.46	28.6	28.71	28.73(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	40	20	-8	5.03	39%	0	-53.2	1.28%	0	-0.1	45	INF
22	Jan_26_2016	30.31	28.89	28.39	28.27	28.39	28.58	28.76(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	60	15	-38	3.18	39%	-0.07	-46.5	1.28%	0	-0.2	40	INF
23	Jan_25_2016	30.33	28.95	28.36	28.17	28.15	28.49	28.28(-1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	80	11	-66	6.3	36%	0	-48.2	1.26%	0	-0.8	34	INF
24	Jan_22_2016	30.33	29.04	28.37	28.17	28.13	28.2	28.64(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	10	17	-86	4.39	41%	0	-51.6	1.28%	0	-0.5	34	INF
25	Jan_21_2016	30.33	29.09	28.36	28.18	28.05	27.82	27.91(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-70	-20	-129	4.84	36%		-54.3	1.25%	0	-1.4	21	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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