Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aflac Incorporated)
AFL latest price $31.4400 (-0.13%) ($31.2300 - $31.5100) on Tue. Mar. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $31.4400(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AFL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AFL advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AFL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    XLI(69%)    XAR(66%)
Factors Impacting AFL price   AFL will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.21(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.15(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.09(1.13%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $22.445b

Aflac, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision financial protection services. It operates through the Aflac Japan and Aflac United States (U.S.) segments. The Aflac Japan segment offers life insurance, death benefits, and cash surrender values. The Aflac U.S. segment sells voluntary supplemental insurance products for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. The company was founded by John Amos, Daniel Paul Amos, and William Amos on November 17, 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, GA.

$. AFL price fluctuates within 0.74% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.26%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.45%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2015	30.19	31.09	31.15	31.21	31.24	31.37	31.44(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	21	30	22	19	3.36	62%	0.07	28.4	1.05%	0	1.5	57	INF
2	Mar_16_2015	30.17	31.07	31.11	31.03	31.08	31.24	31.48(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	9	40	13	-2	3.75	62%	0.07	18.9	1.09%	0	1.8	57	INF
3	Mar_13_2015	30.15	31.05	31.11	31.03	30.93	31.12	31.07(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	40	9	-1	3.38	58%	0.03	20.6	1.08%	0	0.1	57	INF
4	Mar_12_2015	30.14	31.04	31.09	30.97	30.94	30.92	31.33(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	-10	7	-1	3.24	54%	0.07	30.9	1.08%	0	1.4	54	INF
5	Mar_11_2015	30.12	31.04	31.07	30.98	30.98	30.73	30.75(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-60	-21	-7	3.83	51%	0	48.4	1.1%	0	-1.4	49	INF

6	Mar_10_2015	30.12	31.02	31.09	31.07	31.14	30.97	30.53(-1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-15	-30	-21	3	5.88	50%	0.03	87.5	1.1%	0	-2.4	46	INF
7	Mar_9_2015	30.11	31.03	31.15	31.19	31.21	31.24	31.15(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	10	-5	20	4.33	53%	0.07	139.1	1.07%	0	0.6	49	INF
8	Mar_6_2015	30.09	31	31.15	31.22	31.22	31.31	31.08(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	10	20	6	22	6.46	54%	0.03	182.4	1.06%	0	0.4	50	INF
9	Mar_5_2015	30.08	30.98	31.11	31.23	31.19	31.19	31.4(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-0	8	27	4.09	54%	0.07	196.1	1.06%	0	1.7	61	INF
10	Mar_4_2015	30.06	30.93	31.06	31.17	31.14	31.12	31.18(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10	-1	17	3.68	54%	0.07	212.3	1.06%	0	1	56	INF

11	Mar_3_2015	30.04	30.85	31.06	31.13	31.13	31.19	31.14(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	10	5	18	3.07	54%	0.07	142.3	1.06%	0	0.8	60	INF
12	Mar_2_2015	30.02	30.75	31.03	31.1	31.08	31.16	31.29(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	20	12	29	2.94	55%	0.07	98.8	1.06%	0	1	67	INF
13	Feb_27_2015	30	30.62	31	30.99	31.01	31.08	31.13(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	20	6	23	4.71	55%	0.07	65.1	1.06%	0	0.7	62	INF
14	Feb_26_2015	29.98	30.52	30.98	30.98	30.92	31.01	31.09(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	7	29	3.82	55%	0.07	54.3	1.07%	0	0.7	65	INF
15	Feb_25_2015	29.96	30.4	30.96	30.94	30.88	30.93	30.98(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	6	34	3.88	55%	0.03	46.6	1.08%	0	0.7	66	INF

16	Feb_24_2015	29.95	30.32	30.94	30.92	30.84	30.84	31.03(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10	-2	49	4.54	55%	0.07	46.6	1.09%	0	0.8	78	INF
17	Feb_23_2015	29.93	30.24	30.9	30.95	30.87	30.82	30.72(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-7	75	3.66	55%	0.07	50.5	1.09%	0	0.5	80	INF
18	Feb_20_2015	29.91	30.17	30.89	31.02	30.94	30.84	31.07(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-30	-2	121	3.17	57%	0.07	56.3	1.09%	0	1	90	INF
19	Feb_19_2015	29.89	30.1	30.84	30.98	30.97	30.92	30.89(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10	-5	148	2.12	57%	0.07	61.2	1.09%	0	0.9	81	INF
20	Feb_18_2015	29.87	30.01	30.79	30.99	30.96	31.03	30.88(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	10	3	182	2.58	57%	0.07	62.4	1.1%	0	1	82	INF

21	Feb_17_2015	29.85	29.91	30.66	30.96	30.93	31.02	31.18(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	20	15	192	3.76	57%	0.07	61.2	1.11%	0	1.5	73	INF
22	Feb_13_2015	29.83	29.8	30.46	30.84	30.82	30.9	31.07(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	20	11	175	5.26	57%	0.1	59.5	1.12%	0	1.5	67	INF
23	Feb_12_2015	29.8	29.68	30.22	30.75	30.71	30.83	30.9(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	20	11	157	5.09	57%	0.07	51.9	1.12%	0	1.5	67	INF
24	Feb_11_2015	29.78	29.57	30.02	30.67	30.65	30.73	30.92(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	20	16	140	4.57	57%	0.07	46.2	1.14%	0	1.8	64	INF
25	Feb_10_2015	29.76	29.47	29.8	30.55	30.53	30.59	30.73(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	10	17	125	3.36	57%		43.3	1.14%	0	1.8	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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