Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aflac Incorporated)
AFL latest price $30.9200 (0.62%) ($30.6500 - $31.0000) on Wed. Feb. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $30.9200(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AFL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AFL advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AFL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    XLI(69%)    XAR(66%)
Factors Impacting AFL price   AFL will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.67(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.02(3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.57(4.57%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $22.074b

Aflac, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision financial protection services. It operates through the Aflac Japan and Aflac United States (U.S.) segments. The Aflac Japan segment offers life insurance, death benefits, and cash surrender values. The Aflac U.S. segment sells voluntary supplemental insurance products for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. The company was founded by John Amos, Daniel Paul Amos, and William Amos on November 17, 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, GA.

$. AFL price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(56%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.29%(56%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 1.78%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.22%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2015	29.78	29.57	30.02	30.67	30.65	30.73	30.92(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	20	16	140	4.57	57%	0.07	46.2	1.14%	0	1.8	64	INF
2	Feb_10_2015	29.76	29.47	29.8	30.55	30.53	30.59	30.73(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	10	17	125	3.36	57%	0.07	43.3	1.14%	0	1.8	67	INF
3	Feb_9_2015	29.74	29.39	29.64	30.32	30.43	30.57	30.57(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	40	29	111	3.62	57%	0.07	33.5	1.16%	0	1.8	67	INF
4	Feb_6_2015	29.72	29.32	29.53	30.02	30.14	30.46	30.64(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	90	44	96	4.7	57%	0.07	13.1	1.17%	0	2.3	66	INF
5	Feb_5_2015	29.7	29.27	29.39	29.6	29.67	30.29	30.49(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	55	150	50	69	5.48	57%	0.07	-13.2	1.18%	0	2.4	69	INF

6	Feb_4_2015	29.68	29.22	29.28	29.27	29.25	29.82	30.34(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	59	130	60	54	6.89	57%	0.03	-49.7	1.19%	0	2.5	66	INF
7	Feb_3_2015	29.67	29.17	29.14	28.94	28.88	29.06	29.55(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	40	22	8	4.81	52%	0	-102.4	1.13%	0	1	56	INF
8	Feb_2_2015	29.67	29.18	29.14	28.88	28.79	29.06	29.09(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-10	-30	-9	-13	4.3	49%	-0.07	-119.2	1.12%	0	-0.2	49	INF
9	Jan_30_2015	29.69	29.24	29.08	28.96	28.93	28.69	28.54(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-60	-25	-15	4.74	45%	-0.07	-94.5	1.09%	0	-1.5	39	INF
10	Jan_29_2015	29.71	29.34	29.08	29.13	29.11	28.9	28.83(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-50	-27	-20	3.1	45%	-0.1	-93.6	1.09%	0	-1.1	34	INF

11	Jan_28_2015	29.74	29.44	29.11	29.28	29.3	29.16	28.68(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-30	-14	-14	4.78	45%	-0.07	-74.6	1.1%	0	-1.5	38	INF
12	Jan_27_2015	29.76	29.55	29.15	29.35	29.37	29.33	29.26(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10	0	-9	3.67	49%	-0.07	-58.3	1.07%	0	-0.5	47	INF
13	Jan_26_2015	29.78	29.63	29.13	29.3	29.29	29.44	29.51(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	30	8	-22	2.82	49%	0	-48.9	1.08%	0	-0.2	45	INF
14	Jan_23_2015	29.78	29.7	29.11	29.22	29.21	29.42	29.37(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	50	26	-44	2.95	49%	-0.03	-40.3	1.09%	0	-0.4	34	INF
15	Jan_22_2015	29.79	29.78	29.11	29.08	29.05	29.15	29.58(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	20	21	-71	3.7	49%	-0.03	-32.8	1.1%	0	-0.3	35	INF

16	Jan_21_2015	29.8	29.84	29.15	28.92	28.91	29	29.05(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	20	5	-120	5.74	44%	-0.07	-25.5	1.07%	0	-1	23	INF
17	Jan_20_2015	29.82	29.91	29.19	28.91	28.85	28.95	29.01(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	20	3	-147	4.01	44%	-0.1	-17.8	1.09%	0	-1.1	23	INF
18	Jan_16_2015	29.85	29.98	29.26	28.94	28.88	28.82	29.09(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-20	-2	-167	3.69	44%	-0.07	-15.2	1.1%	0	-1.1	24	INF
19	Jan_15_2015	29.87	30.01	29.4	28.99	28.97	28.75	28.68(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-69	-60	-30	-185	4.58	40%	-0.13	-15	1.09%	0	-1.7	15	INF
20	Jan_14_2015	29.91	30.03	29.58	29.24	29.19	28.94	28.78(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-65	-70	-31	-168	4.3	40%	-0.13	-12.8	1.1%	0	-1.7	16	INF

21	Jan_13_2015	29.95	30.05	29.8	29.42	29.5	29.19	29(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-51	-70	-20	-144	3.34	40%	-0.1	-14	1.12%	0	-1.4	21	INF
22	Jan_12_2015	29.98	30.06	30	29.51	29.64	29.44	29.15(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-30	-25	-132	3.57	40%	-0.1	-14	1.13%	0	-1.2	29	INF
23	Jan_9_2015	30.01	30.1	30.18	29.63	29.73	29.8	29.32(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	30	-17	-105	5.99	40%	-0.07	-9.2	1.15%	0	-1	41	INF
24	Jan_8_2015	30.03	30.1	30.35	29.87	29.8	29.83	29.95(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	0	-4	-59	4.59	45%	-0.03	-0.8	1.1%	0	-0.2	60	INF
25	Jan_7_2015	30.04	30.13	30.45	29.99	29.97	29.66	29.66(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-70	-29	-25	3.65	45%		4.1	1.1%	0	-0.6	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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