Trading Signals: AEP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: AEP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Electric Power Company Inc.)
AEP latest price $74.0100 (-0.54%) ($73.7100 - $74.6100) on Wed. Nov. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $74.0100(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AEP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AEP advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AEP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(80%)    SPLV(67%)    XLP(60%)    XLRE(59%)    SDY(53%)
Factors Impacting AEP price   AEP will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-8%)    GDXJ(-7%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-4%)    TLT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.07(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.97(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.32(0.94%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $36.71b

American Electric Power Co., Inc. is a public utility holding company that engages in the business of generation, transmission and distribution of electricity. It operates through the following segments: Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission & Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco and Generation & Marketing. The Vertically Integrated Utilities segment engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers through assets owned and operated by its subsidiaries. The Transmission & Distribution Utilities segment engages in the business of transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers through assets owned and operated by its subsidiaries. The AEP Transmission Holdco segment engages in the development, construction and operation of transmission facilities through investments in its wholly-owned transmission subsidiaries and joint ventures. The Generation & Marketing segment engages in non-regulated generation and marketing, risk management, and retail activities. The company was founded on December 20, 1906 and is headquartered in Columbus, OH.

$. AEP price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.5%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.23%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.18%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2017	71.66	73.32	73.97	74.07	74.06	74.19	74.01(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	10	14	63	1.62	55%	0.03	92.8	0.63%	0	0.8	61	0
2	Oct_31_2017	71.64	73.2	73.88	73.99	74.02	74.08	74.41(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	10	25	66	2.31	55%	0.04	81.9	0.62%	0	1.1	74	0
3	Oct_30_2017	71.61	73	73.76	73.9	73.83	73.93	74.17(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	16	10	1	61	1.54	55%	0.04	71.3	0.62%	0	1	76	0
4	Oct_27_2017	71.58	72.82	73.66	73.85	73.83	73.96	74.02(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	10	18	83	1.84	59%	0.03	64	0.62%	0	1	80	0
5	Oct_26_2017	71.56	72.64	73.57	73.84	73.8	73.74	73.76(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	31	-10	10	94	2.3	61%	0.01	61.2	0.66%	0	0.9	80	0

6	Oct_25_2017	71.55	72.48	73.53	73.86	73.8	73.63	73.58(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-20	-13	109	3.18	61%	0.01	57.4	0.66%	0	0.8	80	0
7	Oct_24_2017	71.54	72.32	73.45	73.74	73.75	73.63	73.97(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	10	16	130	2.11	58%	0.03	51.4	0.66%	0	1.3	86	0
8	Oct_23_2017	71.52	72.18	73.3	73.59	73.54	73.87	73.92(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	30	35	150	1.79	58%	0.01	47.5	0.68%	0	1.4	90	0
9	Oct_20_2017	71.51	72.03	73.09	73.43	73.3	73.63	73.98(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	30	45	155	1.57	61%	0.03	40.8	0.71%	0	1.6	88	0
10	Oct_19_2017	71.49	71.85	72.85	73.26	73.09	73.21	73.83(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	0	21	151	1.69	61%	0.03	31.1	0.71%	0	1.7	88	0

11	Oct_18_2017	71.47	71.72	72.61	73.17	73.08	73.21	73.01(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	-10	1	154	1.1	59%	0.03	25	0.7%	0	1.2	80	0
12	Oct_17_2017	71.45	71.65	72.47	73.12	73.1	72.97	73.2(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	-10	-5	165	1.72	59%	0.03	21.1	0.7%	0	1.5	84	0
13	Oct_16_2017	71.43	71.58	72.19	72.95	73.03	73.18	73.12(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	20	17	155	1.46	59%	0.03	12.5	0.71%	0	1.6	67	0
14	Oct_13_2017	71.41	71.52	71.93	72.68	72.78	73.23	73.16(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	79	50	56	148	1.94	57%	0.03	-6	0.71%	0	1.7	68	0
15	Oct_12_2017	71.39	71.5	71.63	72.35	72.35	72.88	73.34(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	86	50	71	131	1.82	57%	0.06	-21.4	0.72%	0	2	73	0

16	Oct_11_2017	71.35	71.46	71.34	71.98	71.91	72.33	72.76(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	68	40	59	95	1.98	55%	0.04	-39.2	0.71%	0	1.5	58	0
17	Oct_10_2017	71.32	71.43	71.09	71.73	71.59	71.83	72.39(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	20	52	61	2.16	55%	0.04	-50.4	0.71%	0	1.1	53	0
18	Oct_9_2017	71.29	71.46	70.95	71.31	71.32	71.49	71.74(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	20	36	19	1.6	53%	0.04	-55.5	0.71%	0	0.3	45	0
19	Oct_6_2017	71.26	71.58	70.87	71.05	70.93	71.36	71.53(0.06%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	23	40	34	-12	1.81	53%	0.04	-52.9	0.71%	0	-0	41	0
20	Oct_5_2017	71.23	71.7	70.77	70.79	70.72	71.15	71.49(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	38	40	65	-43	2.31	53%	0.06	-53.6	0.71%	0	-0.2	35	0

21	Oct_4_2017	71.19	71.81	70.75	70.6	70.43	70.51	71.52(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	0	32	-87	3.07	53%	0.04	-56.7	0.71%	0	-0.2	36	0
22	Oct_3_2017	71.16	71.89	70.74	70.35	70.3	70.28	70.29(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-0	-16	-140	2.41	48%	0.03	-61.7	0.68%	0	-1.1	28	0
23	Oct_2_2017	71.14	72.08	70.91	70.53	70.38	70.35	70.43(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10	-9	-138	1.45	48%	0.04	-59.6	0.69%	0	-1.2	26	0
24	Sep_29_2017	71.11	72.24	71.08	70.66	70.53	70.31	70.24(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-51	-30	-15	-158	1.62	46%	0.03	-59	0.69%	0	-1.5	18	0
25	Sep_28_2017	71.09	72.41	71.35	70.72	70.67	70.4	70.5(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-73	-30	-38	-179	1.82	44%		-60	0.69%	0	-1.5	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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