Trading Signals: AEP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: AEP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Electric Power Company Inc.)
AEP latest price $62.4500 (2.21%) ($60.9200 - $62.7800) on Thu. Feb. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $62.4500(2.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AEP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AEP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AEP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(81%)    XLP(59%)    SDY(51%)    VYM(50%)    IVE(45%)
Factors Impacting AEP price   AEP will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-10%)    DIA(-6%)    VIXM(-4%)    TBT(-4%)    IPO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.31(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.92(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.95(2.46%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $30.976b

American Electric Power Co., Inc. is a public utility holding company that engages in the business of generation, transmission and distribution of electricity. It operates through the following segments: Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission & Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco and Generation & Marketing. The Vertically Integrated Utilities segment engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers through assets owned and operated by its subsidiaries. The Transmission & Distribution Utilities segment engages in the business of transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers through assets owned and operated by its subsidiaries. The AEP Transmission Holdco segment engages in the development, construction and operation of transmission facilities through investments in its wholly-owned transmission subsidiaries and joint ventures. The Generation & Marketing segment engages in non-regulated generation and marketing, risk management, and retail activities. The company was founded on December 20, 1906 and is headquartered in Columbus, OH.

$. AEP price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.34%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.22%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.47%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2016	57.78	60.95	61.92	61.31	61.22	61.41	62.45(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	20	13	-8	2.93	63%	0.09	34.8	1.3%	0	0.8	66	0
2	Feb_17_2016	57.73	60.73	61.98	61.4	61.26	60.99	61.1(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-40	-17	19	3.4	57%	0.1	34.6	1.28%	0	0.2	67	0
3	Feb_16_2016	57.67	60.65	62.08	61.65	61.64	61.03	61.09(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-70	-34	49	3.93	60%	0.12	40.7	1.31%	0	0.2	67	0
4	Feb_12_2016	57.6	60.54	62.17	61.93	61.99	61.54	60.6(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-13	-50	-45	85	3.85	60%	0.09	45.4	1.32%	0	0	68	0
5	Feb_11_2016	57.55	60.47	62.24	62.38	62.3	62.25	61.31(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10	-15	136	3.29	60%	0.12	53.8	1.31%	0	0.4	66	0

6	Feb_10_2016	57.48	60.31	62.09	62.58	62.41	62.44	62.9(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-0	0	173	4.18	63%	0.14	53.4	1.27%	0	1.3	78	0
7	Feb_9_2016	57.4	60.07	61.65	62.66	62.47	62.35	62.37(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	44	-20	-2	183	3.17	63%	0.12	54.8	1.27%	0	1.2	74	0
8	Feb_8_2016	57.33	59.88	61.25	62.59	62.58	62.37	62.49(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	42	-20	-2	175	4.55	63%	0.12	57.7	1.27%	0	1.4	62	0
9	Feb_5_2016	57.26	59.66	60.8	62.45	62.48	62.58	62.84(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	10	6	155	4.12	57%	0.12	58.1	1.4%	0	1.7	67	0
10	Feb_4_2016	57.19	59.43	60.36	62.07	62.25	62.79	62.29(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	70	40	152	4.11	57%	0.14	56	1.4%	0	1.7	62	0

11	Feb_3_2016	57.11	59.25	59.9	61.5	61.7	62.37	63.31(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	92	90	74	145	4.94	59%	0.18	51.5	1.38%	0	2.6	71	0
12	Feb_2_2016	57.01	59	59.34	60.48	60.55	61.7	62(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	73	140	64	101	4.6	57%	0.16	42.8	1.36%	0	2.4	66	0
13	Feb_1_2016	56.92	58.8	59.06	59.72	59.64	61.02	61.79(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	96	160	98	89	5.03	57%	0.14	30.6	1.36%	0	2.9	62	0
14	Jan_29_2016	56.84	58.61	58.72	58.91	58.82	59.4	60.97(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	63	60	68	46	4.73	55%	0.14	11.5	1.36%	0	3.1	61	0
15	Jan_28_2016	56.76	58.49	58.5	58.42	58.22	58.25	59.45(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	9	-10	9	8	4.54	52%	0.11	5.5	1.34%	0	1.8	56	0

16	Jan_27_2016	56.7	58.46	58.34	58.06	58.23	58.24	58.19(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	10	6	-16	3.13	49%	0.07	7.1	1.32%	0	-0.6	45	0
17	Jan_26_2016	56.66	58.48	58.35	58.01	58.08	58.2	58.2(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	20	-9	-30	3.18	49%	0.04	25	1.32%	0	-0.6	47	0
18	Jan_25_2016	56.64	58.49	58.4	58.28	58.13	58.23	57.75(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-4	0	-1	-12	3.64	49%	0.09	50	1.32%	0	-1.5	48	0
19	Jan_22_2016	56.59	58.52	58.46	58.47	58.41	57.97	58.53(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-60	-6	-6	3.71	47%	0.11	76.3	1.36%	0	0	52	0
20	Jan_21_2016	56.53	58.46	58.44	58.59	58.45	58.03	57.64(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-33	-60	-38	-17	3.99	45%	0.07	96.3	1.34%	0	-1.7	43	0

21	Jan_20_2016	56.49	58.42	58.59	58.65	58.73	58.84	57.92(-2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-1	20	-1	1	4.4	45%	0.11	134.7	1.34%	0	-1.2	44	0
22	Jan_19_2016	56.43	58.35	58.68	58.7	58.65	58.88	59.57(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	20	20	13	3.62	49%	0.12	131	1.29%	0	2.4	57	0
23	Jan_15_2016	56.36	58.24	58.55	58.54	58.43	58.61	58.69(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	20	9	1	3.58	46%	0.05	97	1.27%	0	0.6	53	0
24	Jan_14_2016	56.33	58.16	58.51	58.46	58.45	58.43	59.14(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	10	-0	13	-1	4.09	46%	0.11	97.8	1.27%	0	1.3	58	0
25	Jan_13_2016	56.27	58.01	58.47	58.3	58.38	58.25	57.95(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10	-17	-8	3.53	43%		93.4	1.25%	0	-0.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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