Trading Signals: AEP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: AEP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Electric Power Company Inc.)
AEP latest price $61.9700 (0.86%) ($61.6300 - $62.1900) on Thu. Jan. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $61.9700(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AEP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AEP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AEP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(82%)    XLP(59%)    VYM(50%)    IVE(45%)    SPY(43%)
Factors Impacting AEP price   AEP will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-10%)    VIXM(-9%)    TBT(-5%)    DIA(0%)    XHB(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.08(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.39(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.31(2.75%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $30.738b

American Electric Power Co., Inc. is a public utility holding company that engages in the business of generation, transmission and distribution of electricity. It operates through the following segments: Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission & Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco and Generation & Marketing. The Vertically Integrated Utilities segment engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers through assets owned and operated by its subsidiaries. The Transmission & Distribution Utilities segment engages in the business of transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers through assets owned and operated by its subsidiaries. The AEP Transmission Holdco segment engages in the development, construction and operation of transmission facilities through investments in its wholly-owned transmission subsidiaries and joint ventures. The Generation & Marketing segment engages in non-regulated generation and marketing, risk management, and retail activities. The company was founded on December 20, 1906 and is headquartered in Columbus, OH.

$. AEP price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.98%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.22%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 0.87%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.12%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2015	59.76	60.31	61.39	61.08	61.1	61.48	61.97(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	40	37	65	2.47	62%	0.15	47.2	1.13%	0	1.2	68	INF
2	Jan_7_2015	59.67	60.15	61.21	60.83	60.87	60.95	61.44(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	10	7	60	2.8	62%	0.12	43.8	1.14%	0	0.9	70	INF
3	Jan_6_2015	59.6	60.01	61.09	60.88	60.92	60.73	60.58(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-20	-25	67	4.17	59%	0.07	48.3	1.14%	0	0.4	66	INF
4	Jan_5_2015	59.56	59.88	61.04	61.35	61.27	60.78	60.25(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-60	-36	96	2.64	59%	0.05	0	1.16%	0	0.3	60	INF
5	Jan_2_2015	59.53	59.79	61.03	61.7	61.75	61.11	61.15(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-70	-36	129	2.01	64%	0.13	0	1.13%	0	0.9	64	INF

6	Dec_31_2014	59.45	59.66	60.82	61.73	61.97	61.77	60.72(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-10	-20	141	1.95	64%	0.1	0	1.16%	0	0.7	65	INF
7	Dec_30_2014	59.39	59.54	60.56	61.61	61.84	62.38	61.72(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	64	70	32	158	2	70%	0.19	0	1.11%	0	1.5	66	INF
8	Dec_29_2014	59.28	59.35	60.2	61.29	61.34	62.17	62.91(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	104	100	81	172	2.57	78%	0.32	0	1.01%	0	2.6	74	INF
9	Dec_26_2014	59.09	59.35	59.76	60.69	60.69	61.31	61.99(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	56	70	66	26	2.82	76%	0.27	0	1.01%	0	53.9	76	INF
10	Dec_24_2014	58.93	59.35	59.43	60.29	60.23	60.52	61.31(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	30	49	20	1.8	74%	0.24	0	1.02%	0	65.2	66	INF

11	Dec_23_2014	58.79	59.35	59.11	59.79	59.89	60.07	60.11(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	30	37	15	1.69	69%	0.15	0	0.96%	0	78.1	61	INF
12	Dec_22_2014	58.7	59.35	58.97	59.33	59.44	59.95	60.15(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	70	41	16	1.72	69%	0.15	0	0.99%	0	84.7	62	INF
13	Dec_19_2014	58.61	59.35	58.82	58.92	58.95	59.71	59.89(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	49	90	58	23	3.97	69%	0.17	0	1.02%	0	95.1	63	INF
14	Dec_18_2014	58.51	59.35	58.6	58.68	58.53	58.94	59.98(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	41	40	48	19	2.62	69%	0.19	0	1.05%	0	109.1	50	INF
15	Dec_17_2014	58.4	59.35	58.43	58.46	58.36	58.19	58.82(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-30	5	2	2.41	62%	0.05	0	0.97%	0	154.8	50	INF

16	Dec_16_2014	58.37	59.35	58.4	58.34	58.45	58.13	57.83(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-30	-37	-15	2.13	53%	-0.09	0	0.88%	0	156.3	50	INF
17	Dec_15_2014	58.42	59.35	58.4	58.55	58.64	58.52	58.08(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-10	-22	-9	2.95	53%	-0.05	0	0.91%	0	165.9	50	INF
18	Dec_12_2014	58.45	59.35	58.46	58.68	58.75	58.77	58.69(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	10	11	4	3.22	62%	0.05	0	0.89%	0	167.7	50	INF
19	Dec_11_2014	58.42	59.35	58.46	58.5	58.64	58.76	58.86(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	20	13	5	2.16	62%	0.09	0	0.93%	0	163.5	50	INF
20	Dec_10_2014	58.37	59.35	58.46	58.41	58.4	58.73	58.23(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	40	12	5	2.37	54%	-0.03	0	0.92%	0	171.3	50	INF

21	Dec_9_2014	58.39	59.35	58.46	58.47	58.32	58.51	58.87(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	20	32	13	3.15	69%	0.14	0	0.86%	0	163.5	50	INF
22	Dec_8_2014	58.31	59.35	58.46	58.37	58.25	58.07	58.76(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	3	-30	3	1	3	69%	0.15	0	0.94%	0	178.1	50	INF
23	Dec_5_2014	58.22	59.35	58.46	58.22	58.2	58.14	57.76(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.6	621	-10	730	292	1.97	43%	-0.19	0	0.66%	0	199.2	50	INF
24	Dec_4_2014	58.33	59.35	58.46	46.66	58.16	58.43	58.44(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	62	1958	770	2303	921	2.16	100%	0.07	0	0.29%	0	307.6	50	INF
25	Dec_3_2014	58.29	59.35	58.46	34.98	58.16	58.43	58.51(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	112	5032	NAN	5920	2368	2.73	100%		0	0.17%	0	278.6	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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