Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Autodesk Inc)
ADSK latest price $71.6900 (4.22%) ($68.9100 - $71.7800) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $71.6900(4.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADSK advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADSK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(69%)    XLK(69%)    IVW(68%)    IWF(68%)    QQQ(68%)
Factors Impacting ADSK price   ADSK will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.72(4.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.84(5.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.5(6.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   41.8%
Market Cap   $15.714b

Autodesk, Inc. engages in the design of software and services. Its products include Autodesk 360 cloud services, AutoCAD civil 3D and LT, 3Ds Max, Maya, and Revit. The firm also offers development and manufacturing software, which provides manufacturers in automotive, transportation, industrial machinery, consumer products, and building product industries with comprehensive digital design, engineering, and production solutions; and digital media and entertainment, which consists of tools for digital sculpting, modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing for design visualization, visual effects, and games production. The company was founded by John Walker in April 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, CA.

$. ADSK price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 48 Average positive next day return: 1.32%(48%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(52%) Sample size 48 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.89%(44%) Sample size 48 Average positive next weekly return: 2.47%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.16%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2016	59.99	67.5	67.84	68.72	68.65	69.58	71.69(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	90	52	42	3.22	57%	0.2	73	2.25%	0	2.3	65	0
2	Sep_20_2016	59.87	67.09	67.48	67.48	67.7	68.54	68.79(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	100	38	12	1.69	55%	0.13	59.1	2.2%	0	1	53	0
3	Sep_19_2016	59.79	66.82	67.35	66.88	66.9	67.72	68.13(0.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	90	29	-8	2.03	55%	0.13	47	2.2%	0	0.7	48	0
4	Sep_16_2016	59.71	66.61	67.33	66.73	66.36	66.86	67.6(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	40	22	-18	7.05	55%	0.1	47.6	2.2%	0	0.5	43	0
5	Sep_15_2016	59.65	66.42	67.33	66.57	66.19	66.07	67.39(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-30	-3	-18	2.29	56%	0.12	47.9	2.2%	0	0.5	65	0

6	Sep_14_2016	59.58	66.2	67.3	66.86	66.47	65.87	65.51(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-80	-29	-7	1.84	54%	0.07	54.9	2.18%	0	-0.3	63	0
7	Sep_13_2016	59.54	66.08	67.57	67.48	67.22	66.31	65.78(-2.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-17	-110	-30	24	2.29	54%	0.1	64.9	2.18%	0	-0.1	63	0
8	Sep_12_2016	59.48	65.96	67.83	67.86	67.73	67.08	67.35(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-70	-30	53	2.68	56%	0.13	75.1	2.16%	0	0.6	70	0
9	Sep_9_2016	59.4	65.69	67.98	67.99	68.04	68.13	66.84(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	10	-9	85	2.21	54%	0.12	78.5	2.19%	0	0.5	66	0
10	Sep_8_2016	59.33	65.45	67.72	68.1	68.14	68.38	68.81(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	30	18	103	1.64	56%	0.17	83.3	2.17%	0	1.3	76	0

11	Sep_7_2016	59.23	65.03	67.19	67.81	67.81	67.96	68.6(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	20	5	95	1.96	56%	0.15	82.7	2.17%	0	1.3	78	0
12	Sep_6_2016	59.14	64.62	66.7	67.7	67.67	67.9	67.69(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	20	3	98	1.78	56%	0.17	86.1	2.16%	0	1.1	76	0
13	Sep_2_2016	59.04	64.21	66.28	67.83	67.73	67.66	68.01(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10	1	105	1.11	56%	0.17	81.1	2.15%	0	1.3	75	0
14	Sep_1_2016	58.94	63.78	65.85	68	67.83	67.44	67.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-50	2	121	1.3	56%	0.15	81.9	2.15%	0	1.2	77	0
15	Aug_31_2016	58.85	63.33	65.47	67.26	67.82	67.8	67.4(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	20	17	118	2.26	55%	0.2	72.1	2.15%	0	1.3	78	0

16	Aug_30_2016	58.73	62.86	65.01	66.42	66.79	68.21	68.03(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	170	38	118	2.4	55%	0.19	62.1	2.16%	0	1.7	85	0
17	Aug_29_2016	58.62	62.34	64.45	65.5	65.61	67.84	68.32(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	97	240	87	126	3.13	55%	0.21	56.5	2.18%	0	2.1	86	0
18	Aug_26_2016	58.5	61.89	63.88	64.5	64.41	65.37	68.87(8.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	84	100	74	113	6.59	56%	0.22	55.7	2.18%	0	2.7	91	0
19	Aug_25_2016	58.37	61.39	63.14	63.47	63.4	63.38	63.7(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10	-1	78	3.08	49%	0.09	58	1.96%	0	1.1	85	0
20	Aug_24_2016	58.32	61.17	62.95	63.43	63.38	63.45	63.17(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	10	2	96	1.5	52%	0.12	63.9	1.96%	0	1	87	0

21	Aug_23_2016	58.25	60.99	62.68	63.36	63.36	63.41	63.46(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	10	10	109	1.55	52%	0.09	66.9	1.98%	0	1.3	90	0
22	Aug_22_2016	58.2	60.75	62.38	63.19	63.09	63.41	63.29(-0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	31	20	2	116	1.19	52%	0.1	68.8	1.98%	0	1.3	90	0
23	Aug_19_2016	58.14	60.5	62.01	63.13	63	63.3	63.74(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	20	121	1.38	50%	0.09	71.7	2.01%	0	1.7	71	0
24	Aug_18_2016	58.09	60.24	61.57	62.75	62.75	62.89	63.5(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	20	17	112	1.95	50%	0.1	71.6	2.01%	0	1.8	72	0
25	Aug_17_2016	58.03	59.94	61.05	62.39	62.33	62.71	62.79(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	40	17	100	1.12	48%		70.8	2%	0	1.7	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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