Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Autodesk Inc)
ADSK latest price $61.4600 (0.57%) ($61.0800 - $61.9000) on Thu. Feb. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $61.4600(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADSK advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADSK advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(67%)    XLK(67%)    SPY(64%)    VT(64%)    XLY(62%)
Factors Impacting ADSK price   ADSK will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.69(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.2(3.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.65(6.61%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $13.472b

Autodesk, Inc. engages in the design of software and services. Its products include Autodesk 360 cloud services, AutoCAD civil 3D and LT, 3Ds Max, Maya, and Revit. The firm also offers development and manufacturing software, which provides manufacturers in automotive, transportation, industrial machinery, consumer products, and building product industries with comprehensive digital design, engineering, and production solutions; and digital media and entertainment, which consists of tools for digital sculpting, modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing for design visualization, visual effects, and games production. The company was founded by John Walker in April 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, CA.

$. ADSK price fluctuates within 3.99% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(47%) Average negative next day return: -1.89%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.3%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.19%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2015	57.78	57.65	59.2	60.69	60.78	61.19	61.46(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	76	50	34	200	2.17	51%	0.1	47.9	1.65%	0	1.7	79	0
2	Feb_18_2015	57.72	57.43	58.7	60.06	60.13	60.88	61.11(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	77	90	38	194	2.52	51%	0.12	44.4	1.65%	0	1.7	81	0
3	Feb_17_2015	57.65	57.21	58.08	59.53	59.49	60.36	61.13(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	88	100	57	181	1.46	51%	0.16	41	1.65%	0	2	68	0
4	Feb_13_2015	57.56	56.98	57.38	58.78	58.82	59.38	60.67(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	70	50	129	2.03	51%	0.12	30.3	1.65%	0	2.2	56	0
5	Feb_12_2015	57.49	56.71	56.7	58.06	58.14	58.62	59.07(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	60	32	75	0.86	48%	0.05	12.1	1.61%	0	1.6	51	0

6	Feb_11_2015	57.46	56.57	56.32	57.49	57.66	58.27	58.3(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	80	37	39	1.34	48%	0.07	-1.6	1.6%	0	1.2	48	0
7	Feb_10_2015	57.42	56.51	55.94	57.12	57.12	57.66	58.5(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	70	45	11	1.96	48%	0.07	-9.6	1.61%	0	1.5	52	0
8	Feb_9_2015	57.38	56.43	55.67	56.4	56.57	57.04	57.34(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	25	70	41	-24	1.44	45%	0.02	-30.6	1.58%	0	0.7	50	0
9	Feb_6_2015	57.37	56.46	55.71	55.76	55.92	56.59	57.07(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	23	90	44	-40	1.51	45%	0.03	-47	1.58%	0	0.5	50	0
10	Feb_5_2015	57.35	56.53	55.78	55.14	55.18	56.09	56.23(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	120	39	-51	1.67	45%	0.02	-60.6	1.58%	0	-0.2	53	0

11	Feb_4_2015	57.34	56.59	55.95	54.97	54.74	55.25	56.44(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	23	50	45	-45	2.35	45%	0.03	-73.1	1.58%	0	-0.1	50	0
12	Feb_3_2015	57.32	56.64	56.05	54.6	54.48	54.27	54.92(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-30	-9	-82	1.6	41%	0.02	-90.2	1.55%	0	-1.2	40	0
13	Feb_2_2015	57.31	56.83	56.27	54.84	54.71	54.23	54.12(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-70	-48	-91	1.98	41%	0.02	-93.7	1.54%	0	-1.9	36	0
14	Jan_30_2015	57.3	57.1	56.56	55.67	55.41	54.69	54.01(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-100	-53	-72	1.48	45%	0	-86.1	1.54%	0	-2.2	32	0
15	Jan_29_2015	57.3	57.41	56.78	56.5	56.32	55.2	55.36(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-150	-61	-63	1.11	48%	0.03	-83.2	1.54%	0	-1.7	33	0

16	Jan_28_2015	57.28	57.66	56.9	57.09	57.18	56.14	54.59(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-63	-120	-67	-50	2.18	51%	0.02	-67.1	1.53%	0	-2.4	39	0
17	Jan_27_2015	57.27	57.97	57.2	57.68	57.79	57.43	56.15(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-40	-33	-16	1.96	55%	0.02	-54.2	1.52%	0	-1.5	44	0
18	Jan_26_2015	57.26	58.21	57.33	57.87	57.91	58.23	58.23(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	40	15	2	0.86	61%	0.09	-42.3	1.45%	0	0	46	0
19	Jan_23_2015	57.21	58.33	57.31	57.59	57.64	58.14	58.19(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	30	60	42	-6	1.21	64%	0.07	-31.7	1.46%	0	-0.1	41	0
20	Jan_22_2015	57.17	58.45	57.34	57.1	57.11	57.59	58.27(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	60	34	-36	1.6	64%	0.07	-28.7	1.49%	0	-0.1	39	0

21	Jan_21_2015	57.13	58.53	57.24	56.72	56.64	57.14	57.55(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	60	22	-76	1.67	66%	0.07	-27.7	1.49%	0	-0.6	33	0
22	Jan_20_2015	57.09	58.65	57.23	56.68	56.46	56.63	57.1(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	10	12	-102	1.18	68%	0.07	-24.8	1.51%	0	-0.9	30	0
23	Jan_16_2015	57.05	58.77	57.38	56.72	56.63	56.15	56.85(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-60	-19	-128	1.01	69%	0.04	-23.4	1.52%	0	-1.2	27	0
24	Jan_15_2015	57.03	58.8	57.63	57	57.03	56.29	55.71(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-75	-90	-53	-142	1.13	68%	0.04	-24.6	1.52%	0	-1.9	18	0
25	Jan_14_2015	57.01	58.88	58.07	57.62	57.63	57.11	56.41(-1.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-57	-60	-36	-119	1.32	62%		-25.9	1.51%	0	-1.7	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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