Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Autodesk Inc)
ADSK latest price $53.6300 (-1.11%) ($53.4400 - $54.8100) on Thu. Aug. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $53.6300(-1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADSK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADSK declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(67%)    QQQ(66%)    SPY(64%)    VT(64%)    XLY(62%)
Factors Impacting ADSK price   ADSK will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $50.59(-5.67%)
Resistance Level   $55.16
5 Day Moving Average   $53.9(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.4(-1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.16(-2.77%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $11.756b

Autodesk, Inc. engages in the design of software and services. Its products include Autodesk 360 cloud services, AutoCAD civil 3D and LT, 3Ds Max, Maya, and Revit. The firm also offers development and manufacturing software, which provides manufacturers in automotive, transportation, industrial machinery, consumer products, and building product industries with comprehensive digital design, engineering, and production solutions; and digital media and entertainment, which consists of tools for digital sculpting, modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing for design visualization, visual effects, and games production. The company was founded by John Walker in April 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, CA.

$. ADSK price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.55%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.56%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2014	51.92	55.16	54.4	53.9	54.02	54.11	53.63(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	20	6	-80	1.33	78%	0.04	-51.4	1.6%	0	-1.5	23	0
2	Aug_6_2014	51.9	55.26	54.63	53.84	53.81	54.09	54.23(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	30	-2	-83	2.1	78%	0.04	-63.2	1.6%	0	-1.1	44	0
3	Aug_5_2014	51.88	55.33	54.79	54.12	53.82	53.94	54.15(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-0	-0	-70	1.58	78%	0.06	-64.9	1.61%	0	-1.3	44	0
4	Aug_4_2014	51.85	55.41	55.01	54.38	54.22	53.52	54.15(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-100	-18	-63	1.91	78%	0.08	-63.6	1.61%	0	-1.4	44	0
5	Aug_1_2014	51.81	55.5	55.21	54.59	54.64	53.71	53.34(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-59	-120	-55	-71	2.44	78%	0.02	-61.8	1.61%	0	-2.5	35	0

6	Jul_31_2014	51.8	55.69	55.62	54.97	55.1	54.92	53.35(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-39	-20	-38	-40	2.81	78%	0.04	-54.4	1.63%	0	-3.1	40	0
7	Jul_30_2014	51.78	55.87	55.85	55.5	55.45	55.56	55.61(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	10	5	-4	1.07	91%	0.08	-37.5	1.54%	0	-0.4	53	0
8	Jul_29_2014	51.74	55.94	55.84	55.55	55.56	55.29	55.47(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-30	-10	-9	1.37	92%	0.08	-23	1.54%	0	-0.7	50	0
9	Jul_28_2014	51.7	55.99	55.85	55.74	55.78	55.33	55.19(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-50	-27	-10	1.46	92%	0.08	-14.2	1.55%	0	-1.3	48	0
10	Jul_25_2014	51.66	56.05	55.94	55.94	56.12	55.83	55.23(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-30	-28	-2	1.96	92%	0.08	-3.7	1.56%	0	-1.3	45	0

11	Jul_24_2014	51.62	56.1	55.99	56.37	56.38	56.23	56(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-20	-5	16	1.64	92%	0.1	16.5	1.56%	0	-0.2	42	0
12	Jul_23_2014	51.57	56.1	55.94	56.25	56.48	56.42	55.88(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	0	3	7	2.01	92%	0.08	0	1.57%	0	-0.4	42	0
13	Jul_22_2014	51.53	56.09	55.92	56.16	56.27	56.42	56.39(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	40	9	-4	1.75	92%	0.12	4.8	1.58%	0	0.5	42	0
14	Jul_21_2014	51.47	56.09	55.84	55.98	56.03	56.53	56.2(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	14	70	22	-10	2.02	92%	0.1	8.7	1.59%	0	0.2	49	0
15	Jul_18_2014	51.42	56.07	55.8	55.94	55.8	56	57.36(3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	16	20	26	-13	2.61	100%	0.14	22.3	1.56%	0	2.2	56	0

16	Jul_17_2014	51.35	56.01	55.73	55.94	55.66	55.52	55.42(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	-10	-3	-36	2.87	100%	0.1	27.5	1.52%	0	-1.2	41	0
17	Jul_16_2014	51.3	56.09	55.86	55.59	55.65	55.61	55.42(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-0	-7	-31	1.06	100%	0.1	51.1	1.53%	0	-1.3	50	0
18	Jul_15_2014	51.25	56.06	56.03	55.63	55.65	55.81	55.48(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	20	3	-17	1.15	100%	0.1	52.3	1.54%	0	-1	48	0
19	Jul_14_2014	51.2	56.02	56.12	55.66	55.62	55.69	56.04(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	10	10	-12	1.24	100%	0.1	49.2	1.55%	0	0	49	0
20	Jul_11_2014	51.15	55.94	56.15	55.64	55.54	55.43	55.57(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-20	-14	-21	1.23	100%	0.12	38.4	1.56%	0	-0.5	44	0

21	Jul_10_2014	51.09	55.87	56.23	55.9	55.76	55.54	55.44(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-40	-17	-13	1.71	81%	0.1	42.2	1.58%	0	-0.5	41	0
22	Jul_9_2014	51.04	55.82	56.26	56.18	56.16	55.65	55.63(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-60	-21	-12	1.1	83%	0.12	52.9	1.72%	0	-0.2	35	0
23	Jul_8_2014	50.98	55.75	56.29	56.48	56.48	55.97	55.64(-0.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-20	-60	-27	2	2.11	83%	0.12	62	1.75%	0	-0.1	61	0
24	Jul_7_2014	50.92	55.7	56.35	56.63	56.74	56.67	55.93(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-0	-11	23	1.38	83%	0.12	74	1.75%	0	0.2	63	0
25	Jul_3_2014	50.86	55.65	56.39	56.72	56.72	57	56.88(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	30	12	46	0.84	72%		83.3	1.76%	0	1.1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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