Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $99.6305 (1.86%) ($98.3914 - $99.8020) on Wed. Mar. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $99.6305(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    SPLV(71%)    VYM(71%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-17%)    DIA(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.07(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.68(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.73(5.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $42.831b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.61%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.57%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.92%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2017	92.2	94.73	96.68	98.07	98.09	98.47	99.63(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	89	30	62	168	1.83	68%	0.21	17.4	1.05%	0	2	90	0
2	Feb_28_2017	92.01	94.52	96.18	97.29	97.41	97.89	97.81(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	40	41	157	2.06	63%	0.16	4.7	1.02%	0	1.5	89	0
3	Feb_27_2017	91.86	94.46	95.79	96.64	96.75	97.72	97.89(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	97	70	75	162	1.19	63%	0.17	-3.9	1.02%	0	1.6	87	0
4	Feb_24_2017	91.7	94.38	95.32	96.07	95.9	96.94	98.17(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	105	70	88	156	1.77	63%	0.17	-14.9	1.02%	0	1.8	85	0
5	Feb_23_2017	91.54	94.29	94.8	95.47	95.24	95.79	96.88(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	82	30	64	136	1.46	61%	0.15	-25.8	1.02%	0	1.3	84	0

6	Feb_22_2017	91.4	94.31	94.32	95.09	94.87	94.86	95.71(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10	17	114	1.68	58%	0.15	-30.6	1.01%	0	0.7	84	0
7	Feb_21_2017	91.26	94.42	93.93	94.91	94.72	94.69	94.57(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-5	76	2.1	58%	0.22	-30.7	1%	0	0.1	41	0
8	Feb_17_2017	91.06	94.54	93.68	94.78	94.65	94.88	95.01(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	22	53	1.58	61%	0.14	-33.2	1%	0	0.2	39	0
9	Feb_16_2017	90.93	94.69	93.41	94.43	94.38	94.75	95.2(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	30	38	21	1.31	62%	0.13	-36.8	1.01%	0	0.2	41	0
10	Feb_15_2017	90.81	94.82	93.06	94.01	93.95	94.42	94.98(0.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	30	30	47	-21	1.58	62%	0.12	-41.1	1.02%	0	0.1	39	0

11	Feb_14_2017	90.7	94.95	92.64	93.42	93.47	94.01	94.78(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	40	56	-79	1.62	62%	0.13	-44.7	1.02%	0	-0.1	36	0
12	Feb_13_2017	90.58	95.11	92.72	92.82	92.88	93.48	93.96(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	50	49	-117	1.5	62%	0.11	-49.3	1.02%	0	-0.4	31	0
13	Feb_10_2017	90.48	95.35	92.99	92.42	92.42	92.93	93.24(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	40	44	-136	1.21	62%	0.1	-51.2	1.02%	0	-0.7	33	0
14	Feb_9_2017	90.39	95.63	93.32	92.24	92.12	92.29	93.07(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	10	25	-161	3.38	62%	0.1	-51.5	1.02%	0	-0.9	30	0
15	Feb_8_2017	90.3	95.9	93.7	91.98	92.08	91.91	92.05(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-41	-10	7	-186	1.3	60%	0.11	-55.3	1.01%	0	-1.3	27	0

16	Feb_7_2017	90.2	96.18	94.27	91.73	91.95	91.96	91.78(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-74	10	-28	-210	1.52	63%	0.11	-63.2	1.02%	0	-1.6	26	0
17	Feb_6_2017	90.1	96.49	94.92	92.62	91.78	92.25	91.95(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	10	-41	-186	1.77	63%	0.11	-60.1	1.03%	0	-1.8	26	0
18	Feb_3_2017	90	96.83	95.48	93.67	92.94	91.95	92.33(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-100	-20	-154	2.94	63%	0.1	-54.4	1.03%	0	-1.9	25	0
19	Feb_2_2017	89.91	97.14	96.1	94.6	94.04	91.32	91.81(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-188	-220	-186	-194	3.98	68%	0.11	-49.3	1.04%	0	-2.6	22	0
20	Feb_1_2017	89.81	97.52	96.77	95.69	95.39	93.93	90.79(-5.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.9	-185	-120	-194	-159	8.01	67%	0.1	-42.5	1.12%	0	-4	20	0

21	Jan_31_2017	89.72	97.94	97.56	97.11	96.96	96.76	96.26(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-20	-30	-61	2.61	85%	0.15	-45.7	0.83%	0	-2.4	45	0
22	Jan_30_2017	89.59	98.04	97.77	97.54	97.35	96.85	97.19(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-40	-30	-41	1.65	89%	0.18	-33.9	0.82%	0	-1.5	48	0
23	Jan_27_2017	89.43	98.11	97.94	97.58	97.62	97.17	96.94(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-54	-30	-56	-46	1.8	89%	0.15	-25	0.82%	0	-2.1	42	0
24	Jan_26_2017	89.3	98.18	98.14	97.87	97.83	97.85	97.26(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	0	-26	-17	2.12	89%	0.13	-6.1	0.82%	0	-1.9	44	0
25	Jan_25_2017	89.18	98.25	98.26	98.05	98.05	98.07	97.89(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	0	16	4	1.98	89%		27.3	0.82%	0	-0.8	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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