Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $96.1229 (2.12%) ($94.6837 - $96.8187) on Fri. Dec. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $96.1229(2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IWD(71%)    SPLV(71%)    IVE(70%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-16%)    DIA(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.12(2.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.35(2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.23(4.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $41.323b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(37%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(63%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -1.85%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 2.13%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.78%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2016	85.63	92.23	93.35	94.12	94.25	94.75	96.12(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	108	40	94	150	5.68	80%	0.12	100.6	0.9%	0	2.4	72	0
2	Dec_15_2016	85.53	91.88	92.76	93.62	93.68	93.61	94.13(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	19	-0	-3	85	1.72	78%	0.06	112.9	0.88%	0	1.6	63	0
3	Dec_14_2016	85.48	91.6	92.42	93.51	93.62	93.74	93.11(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	10	2	79	1.9	77%	0.04	112.1	0.88%	0	1	60	0
4	Dec_13_2016	85.45	91.33	92.21	93.49	93.56	93.75	93.79(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	20	46	96	2.09	72%	0.05	103.8	0.87%	0	1.4	67	0
5	Dec_12_2016	85.41	91	92.01	92.92	93.06	93.5	93.46(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	40	42	79	1.77	74%	0.04	92	0.9%	0	1.4	69	0

6	Dec_9_2016	85.38	90.65	91.8	92.43	92.4	93.36	93.62(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	80	70	77	87	3.35	65%	0.06	83	0.92%	0	1.5	75	0
7	Dec_8_2016	85.33	90.31	91.6	91.76	91.75	92.62	93.59(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	89	70	92	78	2.08	65%	0.04	76.4	1.02%	0	1.6	75	0
8	Dec_7_2016	85.3	89.93	91.37	91.19	91.04	91.43	93(2.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	48	30	45	58	2.25	65%	0.05	70.6	1.02%	0	1.5	77	0
9	Dec_6_2016	85.26	89.6	91.19	90.78	90.74	90.88	90.96(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	10	2	51	1.82	62%	0.01	74.7	0.99%	0	0.7	76	0
10	Dec_5_2016	85.25	89.36	91.16	90.98	90.91	90.65	91(0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-20	-7	78	2.49	62%	0.02	81.5	0.99%	0	0.8	78	0

11	Dec_2_2016	85.23	89.04	91.02	91.08	91.15	90.6	90.24(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-40	-44	87	1.71	62%	0.01	80.1	1%	0	0.5	78	0
12	Dec_1_2016	85.22	88.78	90.96	91.4	91.4	91.18	90.74(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-20	-37	124	2.06	62%	0.01	84.5	0.99%	0	0.8	79	0
13	Nov_30_2016	85.21	88.51	90.75	91.56	91.65	91.7	90.98(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	10	1	163	2.81	62%	0.01	90.7	0.99%	0	1	82	0
14	Nov_29_2016	85.2	88.09	90.43	91.63	91.67	91.63	91.94(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	57	-0	14	185	1.59	64%	0.04	83.7	0.98%	0	1.4	88	0
15	Nov_28_2016	85.17	87.63	89.96	91.36	91.46	91.6	91.5(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	58	10	15	187	1.97	64%	0.02	78.7	0.98%	0	1.3	88	0

16	Nov_25_2016	85.15	87.18	89.45	90.95	91.1	91.71	91.83(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	86	50	48	201	0.72	64%	0.01	75.4	0.98%	0	1.6	93	0
17	Nov_23_2016	85.14	86.69	88.93	90.46	90.51	91.33	91.57(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	114	70	80	214	2.97	64%	0.05	70.7	0.97%	0	1.7	90	0
18	Nov_22_2016	85.1	86.24	88.38	89.82	89.79	90.49	91.33(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	112	50	83	200	2.43	64%	0.07	68.5	0.97%	0	1.8	82	0
19	Nov_21_2016	85.04	85.8	87.86	89.06	89	89.69	90.57(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	99	50	67	193	2.25	64%	0.04	66.7	0.97%	0	1.9	87	0
20	Nov_18_2016	85.01	85.41	87.37	88.36	88.34	89.1	89.43(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	106	60	76	196	1.64	62%	0.04	64.5	0.96%	0	1.7	84	0

21	Nov_17_2016	84.98	85.04	86.87	87.73	87.71	88.31	89.42(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	100	50	71	185	2.03	62%	0.07	59.7	0.96%	0	2	83	0
22	Nov_16_2016	84.92	84.67	86.39	87.16	87.08	87.59	88.37(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	79	40	47	174	1.96	60%	0.06	58.6	0.95%	0	1.8	83	0
23	Nov_15_2016	84.87	84.38	86.06	86.71	86.74	87.11	87.49(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	87	30	55	181	2.03	58%	0.08	58.9	0.95%	0	1.7	76	0
24	Nov_14_2016	84.8	84.13	85.56	86.49	86.06	86.57	87.06(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	30	21	158	2.96	58%	0.07	63.1	0.95%	0	1.7	73	0
25	Nov_11_2016	84.74	83.9	85.12	86.24	85.92	86.37	86.3(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	85	30	58	164	2.1	58%		63.7	0.94%	0	1.5	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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