Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $90.1568 (0.45%) ($89.5543 - $90.4206) on Tue. Jul. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $90.1568(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(71%)    SPY(71%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.8(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.68(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.56(1.8%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $38.758b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.37%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.75%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.14%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.51%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.01%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2016	83.82	88.56	89.68	89.8	89.73	89.84	90.16(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	10	10	34	1.41	56%	0.12	86.3	1.07%	0	0.8	75	0
2	Jul_25_2016	83.72	88.12	89.59	89.67	89.68	89.72	89.75(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	0	8	38	1.25	56%	0.12	59.4	1.07%	0	0.6	74	0
3	Jul_22_2016	83.62	87.74	89.58	89.6	89.62	89.62	89.89(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	13	0	2	47	1.22	56%	0.12	51.4	1.07%	0	0.8	79	0
4	Jul_21_2016	83.52	87.48	89.49	89.53	89.56	89.64	89.37(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	10	-3	58	1.26	56%	0.12	54.1	1.07%	0	0.7	81	0
5	Jul_20_2016	83.42	87.2	89.37	89.59	89.66	89.62	89.85(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-0	7	89	1.09	56%	0.12	56	1.07%	0	0.9	93	0

6	Jul_19_2016	83.32	86.92	89.2	89.55	89.67	89.48	89.5(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	20	-10	-11	112	0.93	56%	0.13	58.9	1.08%	0	0.9	94	0
7	Jul_18_2016	83.21	86.63	89.04	89.51	89.72	89.7	89.41(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	32	10	-9	156	0.88	56%	0.12	62.2	1.08%	0	1	95	0
8	Jul_15_2016	83.11	86.29	88.85	89.55	89.75	89.86	89.54(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	58	20	9	204	1.36	56%	0.11	63.2	1.08%	0	1.1	86	0
9	Jul_14_2016	83.02	85.96	88.56	89.44	89.7	89.74	89.68(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	70	10	20	220	1.33	56%	0.13	64.1	1.08%	0	1.3	66	0
10	Jul_13_2016	82.91	85.6	88.02	89.11	89.41	89.64	89.61(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	30	18	215	1.37	56%	0.13	63.5	1.08%	0	1.4	69	0

11	Jul_12_2016	82.8	85.23	87.37	88.79	88.98	89.65	89.3(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	83	60	40	210	2.27	56%	0.11	64.9	1.08%	0	1.5	66	0
12	Jul_11_2016	82.71	84.86	86.55	88.51	88.53	89.18	89.61(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	97	50	64	195	1.82	56%	0.12	65.2	1.08%	0	1.8	68	0
13	Jul_8_2016	82.61	84.47	85.76	88.06	88.01	88.31	88.98(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	20	43	169	2.15	56%	0.12	66.1	1.08%	0	1.8	70	0
14	Jul_7_2016	82.51	84.13	85.31	87.57	87.58	87.87	88.07(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	75	20	44	166	1.73	56%	0.11	67.4	1.08%	0	1.8	66	0
15	Jul_6_2016	82.42	83.82	84.85	86.74	86.91	87.71	87.99(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	92	70	71	155	2.3	56%	0.12	61.3	1.09%	0	2	67	0

16	Jul_5_2016	82.32	83.47	84.43	85.71	85.85	87.28	87.89(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	129	120	122	149	2.94	56%	0.15	50	1.1%	0	2.3	67	0
17	Jul_1_2016	82.2	83.16	83.99	84.27	84.46	86.11	87.36(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	139	140	145	119	2.46	56%	0.16	33.3	1.09%	0	2.6	67	0
18	Jun_30_2016	82.07	82.86	83.48	83.13	82.91	84.42	86.53(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	96	120	106	65	2.94	56%	0.15	16.2	1.08%	0	2.9	66	0
19	Jun_29_2016	81.95	82.64	83.08	82.77	82.06	82.81	83.95(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	40	65	38	2.27	51%	0.11	13.8	1.01%	0	1.4	56	0
20	Jun_28_2016	81.86	82.56	82.93	82.71	82.27	81.4	82.81(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-12	-90	-18	6	2.53	49%	0.09	15.3	1.01%	0	0.3	54	0

21	Jun_27_2016	81.79	82.53	82.9	82.98	82.79	81.32	80.68(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-108	-130	-137	-22	2.61	43%	0.07	35.1	0.96%	0	-2	50	0
22	Jun_24_2016	81.73	82.63	83.08	83.61	83.61	83.15	81.68(-3.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-51	-40	-78	30	4.04	45%	0.05	73.5	0.95%	0	-1.1	50	0
23	Jun_23_2016	81.69	82.66	83.14	83.78	84.09	84.27	84.71(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	30	39	97	1.36	54%	0.11	96	0.84%	0	2.5	69	0
24	Jun_22_2016	81.6	82.51	82.91	83.42	83.63	84.07	83.66(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	40	30	79	1.5	51%	0.09	114.6	0.83%	0	1.7	57	0
25	Jun_21_2016	81.53	82.42	82.75	83.19	83.23	83.92	84.15(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	72	60	69	82	1.73	51%		125.6	0.83%	0	2.7	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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