Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $87.9905 (0.12%) ($87.2935 - $88.1836) on Wed. Jul. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $87.9905(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(71%)    SPY(71%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.74(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.85(3.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.82(4.98%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $37.827b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 33 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(58%) Sample size 33 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(48%) Sample size 33 Average positive next weekly return: 1.53%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.57%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2016	82.42	83.82	84.85	86.74	86.91	87.71	87.99(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	92	70	71	155	2.3	56%	0.12	61.3	1.09%	0	2	67	0
2	Jul_5_2016	82.32	83.47	84.43	85.71	85.85	87.28	87.89(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	129	120	122	149	2.94	56%	0.15	50	1.1%	0	2.3	67	0
3	Jul_1_2016	82.2	83.16	83.99	84.27	84.46	86.11	87.36(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	139	140	145	119	2.46	56%	0.16	33.3	1.09%	0	2.6	67	0
4	Jun_30_2016	82.07	82.86	83.48	83.13	82.91	84.42	86.53(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	96	120	106	65	2.94	56%	0.15	16.2	1.08%	0	2.9	66	0
5	Jun_29_2016	81.95	82.64	83.08	82.77	82.06	82.81	83.95(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	40	65	38	2.27	51%	0.11	13.8	1.01%	0	1.4	56	0

6	Jun_28_2016	81.86	82.56	82.93	82.71	82.27	81.4	82.81(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-12	-90	-18	6	2.53	49%	0.09	15.3	1.01%	0	0.3	54	0
7	Jun_27_2016	81.79	82.53	82.9	82.98	82.79	81.32	80.68(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-108	-130	-137	-22	2.61	43%	0.07	35.1	0.96%	0	-2	50	0
8	Jun_24_2016	81.73	82.63	83.08	83.61	83.61	83.15	81.68(-3.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-51	-40	-78	30	4.04	45%	0.05	73.5	0.95%	0	-1.1	50	0
9	Jun_23_2016	81.69	82.66	83.14	83.78	84.09	84.27	84.71(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	30	39	97	1.36	54%	0.11	96	0.84%	0	2.5	69	0
10	Jun_22_2016	81.6	82.51	82.91	83.42	83.63	84.07	83.66(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	40	30	79	1.5	51%	0.09	114.6	0.83%	0	1.7	57	0

11	Jun_21_2016	81.53	82.42	82.75	83.19	83.23	83.92	84.15(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	72	60	69	82	1.73	51%	0.09	125.6	0.83%	0	2.7	61	0
12	Jun_20_2016	81.46	82.2	82.47	82.84	82.84	83.18	83.87(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	61	30	63	56	2.06	51%	0.09	89.9	0.83%	0	2.3	61	0
13	Jun_17_2016	81.39	82.01	82.28	82.49	82.44	82.55	82.52(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	10	10	16	2.71	46%	0.1	71.3	0.8%	0	0.7	50	0
14	Jun_16_2016	81.31	81.88	82.2	82.39	82.33	82.5	82.91(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	10	18	12	1.47	46%	0.1	51.4	0.82%	0	1.1	57	0
15	Jun_15_2016	81.23	81.74	82.14	82.32	82.16	82.34	82.52(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	10	17	12	2.08	46%	0.09	43.5	0.82%	0	0.8	56	0

16	Jun_14_2016	81.16	81.62	82.13	82.24	82.09	82.15	82.41(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-0	21	15	2.35	46%	0.1	26	0.82%	0	0.8	56	0
17	Jun_13_2016	81.08	81.55	82.11	82.24	81.99	81.97	82.09(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-0	0	16	3.19	46%	0.09	18.2	0.81%	0	0.5	70	0
18	Jun_10_2016	81.01	81.47	82.14	82.03	81.9	82.02	82.03(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	10	0	33	1.64	53%	0.1	13.7	0.87%	0	0.6	67	0
19	Jun_9_2016	80.93	81.41	82.15	81.97	81.95	82.01	82.54(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	0	18	57	1.52	53%	0.12	13	0.87%	0	1.1	73	0
20	Jun_8_2016	80.83	81.34	82.09	81.96	81.84	81.77	82.15(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10	-14	59	1.8	53%	0.11	5	0.87%	0	0.8	66	0

21	Jun_7_2016	80.74	81.36	82.06	82.02	81.97	81.77	81.32(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10	-9	81	2.48	50%	0.01	5.6	0.87%	0	-0	64	0
22	Jun_6_2016	80.73	81.37	81.94	82.21	82.09	81.9	82.09(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-20	-13	80	1.39	53%	0.12	1.6	0.86%	0	0.7	56	0
23	Jun_3_2016	80.63	81.33	81.75	82.27	82.17	82.04	81.75(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10	-20	81	1.4	53%	0.1	-3.3	0.86%	0	0.4	61	0
24	Jun_2_2016	80.55	81.33	81.56	82.34	82.29	82.28	82.46(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-0	6	87	1.09	56%	0.14	-13.1	0.85%	0	1.2	59	0
25	Jun_1_2016	80.44	81.29	81.33	82.23	82.19	82.29	82.49(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	10	4	73	1.69	62%		-22.6	0.87%	0	1.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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