Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $83.4564 (-0.31%) ($83.3721 - $84.0462) on Wed. Mar. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $83.4564(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    VYM(70%)    SDY(69%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    SPLV(-7%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.16(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.05(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.82(2%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $35.878b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(70%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(30%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.63%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 2.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.56%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2016	78.61	81.82	83.05	83.16	83.14	83.46	83.46(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	30	21	64	1.51	56%	0.05	60	1.34%	0	1.1	75	0
2	Mar_29_2016	78.57	81.68	82.88	83.06	82.93	83.06	83.72(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	10	11	69	1.71	57%	0.04	66.3	1.34%	0	1.4	80	0
3	Mar_28_2016	78.54	81.43	82.68	82.98	82.89	82.83	82.66(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10	-1	72	1.33	57%	0	58.6	1.34%	0	0.8	70	0
4	Mar_24_2016	78.54	81.29	82.59	83.05	82.92	82.8	83.08(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10	-8	81	1.04	57%	0.04	61.1	1.34%	0	1.2	72	0
5	Mar_23_2016	78.51	81.12	82.28	83.07	83.01	82.96	82.88(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10	2	88	1.19	57%	0.04	65.4	1.34%	0	1.2	74	0

6	Mar_22_2016	78.48	80.94	82.03	82.9	82.96	83.03	82.98(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	10	90	1.22	57%	0.03	63.5	1.34%	0	1.4	75	0
7	Mar_21_2016	78.46	80.74	81.7	82.66	82.64	83.06	83.33(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	30	21	83	1.58	57%	0.04	66.1	1.34%	0	1.9	65	0
8	Mar_18_2016	78.43	80.58	81.37	82.33	82.22	82.9	82.98(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	50	39	88	3.21	55%	0.03	82.4	1.35%	0	2	73	0
9	Mar_17_2016	78.41	80.4	81.08	82.07	81.81	82.21	83.17(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	20	45	86	1.48	53%	0.01	104.3	1.37%	0	2.5	66	0
10	Mar_16_2016	78.4	80.18	80.72	81.39	81.43	81.54	82.06(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	10	20	55	1.09	53%	-0.01	123.7	1.38%	0	2	61	0

11	Mar_15_2016	78.41	80.04	80.48	81.03	81.03	81.41	81.74(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	30	19	46	1.2	53%	-0.03	134.5	1.38%	0	1.8	63	0
12	Mar_14_2016	78.43	79.85	80.36	80.59	80.69	81.31	81.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	42	60	39	50	1.31	54%	-0.03	146.8	1.38%	0	2.1	64	0
13	Mar_11_2016	78.45	79.58	80.06	80.27	80.23	80.66	81.7(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	40	33	30	1.86	51%	-0.01	110.9	1.4%	0	1.9	54	0
14	Mar_10_2016	78.46	79.24	79.85	79.96	79.92	80.08	79.76(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	10	11	13	1.53	49%	-0.01	72	1.4%	0	0.4	51	0
15	Mar_9_2016	78.47	79.03	79.86	79.95	79.87	79.81	80.25(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10	8	16	1.64	49%	-0.01	59.2	1.4%	0	0.7	57	0

16	Mar_8_2016	78.48	78.78	79.77	79.84	79.7	79.75	79.53(-0.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-8	-0	-12	5	1.76	49%	-0.01	49.1	1.4%	0	0.4	52	0
17	Mar_7_2016	78.49	78.59	79.72	80.07	79.76	79.93	80.09(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	0	14	28	1.4	49%	0	46.4	1.4%	0	0.8	62	0
18	Mar_4_2016	78.49	78.38	79.74	79.81	79.81	79.64	80.19(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10	7	39	1.58	51%	0.01	38.3	1.41%	0	0.9	69	0
19	Mar_3_2016	78.48	78.22	79.68	79.71	79.64	79.6	79.68(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10	-18	50	1.7	49%	0.01	42.5	1.44%	0	0.7	72	0
20	Mar_2_2016	78.47	78.05	79.62	79.76	79.81	79.99	79.68(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	20	12	82	2.06	49%	0.01	47.2	1.46%	0	0.8	68	0

21	Mar_1_2016	78.46	77.89	79.59	79.69	79.79	79.69	80.72(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10	16	105	1.58	51%	0.01	49.6	1.45%	0	1.4	73	0
22	Feb_29_2016	78.45	77.7	79.31	79.33	79.4	79.64	78.79(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	20	-16	98	1.93	48%	0	54.4	1.42%	0	0.6	66	0
23	Feb_26_2016	78.45	77.62	79.07	79.65	79.48	79.89	79.69(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	30	25	129	1.4	48%	0.01	65.8	1.42%	0	1.1	70	0
24	Feb_25_2016	78.44	77.39	78.6	79.63	79.54	79.16	79.93(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-40	10	113	1.43	48%	0.04	69.4	1.43%	0	1.4	61	0
25	Feb_24_2016	78.41	77.13	78.15	79.45	79.39	79.06	79.32(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-30	-34	87	1.73	48%		73.7	1.42%	0	1.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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