Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $83.1662 (1.35%) ($82.0241 - $83.4001) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $83.1662(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    VYM(70%)    SDY(69%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    IPO(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.07(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.08(2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.4(3.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $35.753b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.41% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.37%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.08%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.21%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.09%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.29%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	78.41	80.4	81.08	82.07	81.81	82.21	83.17(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	20	45	86	1.48	53%	0.01	104.3	1.37%	0	2.5	66	0
2	Mar_16_2016	78.4	80.18	80.72	81.39	81.43	81.54	82.06(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	10	20	55	1.09	53%	-0.01	123.7	1.38%	0	2	61	0
3	Mar_15_2016	78.41	80.04	80.48	81.03	81.03	81.41	81.74(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	30	19	46	1.2	53%	-0.03	134.5	1.38%	0	1.8	63	0
4	Mar_14_2016	78.43	79.85	80.36	80.59	80.69	81.31	81.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	42	60	39	50	1.31	54%	-0.03	146.8	1.38%	0	2.1	64	0
5	Mar_11_2016	78.45	79.58	80.06	80.27	80.23	80.66	81.7(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	40	33	30	1.86	51%	-0.01	110.9	1.4%	0	1.9	54	0

6	Mar_10_2016	78.46	79.24	79.85	79.96	79.92	80.08	79.76(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	10	11	13	1.53	49%	-0.01	72	1.4%	0	0.4	51	0
7	Mar_9_2016	78.47	79.03	79.86	79.95	79.87	79.81	80.25(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10	8	16	1.64	49%	-0.01	59.2	1.4%	0	0.7	57	0
8	Mar_8_2016	78.48	78.78	79.77	79.84	79.7	79.75	79.53(-0.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-8	-0	-12	5	1.76	49%	-0.01	49.1	1.4%	0	0.4	52	0
9	Mar_7_2016	78.49	78.59	79.72	80.07	79.76	79.93	80.09(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	0	14	28	1.4	49%	0	46.4	1.4%	0	0.8	62	0
10	Mar_4_2016	78.49	78.38	79.74	79.81	79.81	79.64	80.19(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10	7	39	1.58	51%	0.01	38.3	1.41%	0	0.9	69	0

11	Mar_3_2016	78.48	78.22	79.68	79.71	79.64	79.6	79.68(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10	-18	50	1.7	49%	0.01	42.5	1.44%	0	0.7	72	0
12	Mar_2_2016	78.47	78.05	79.62	79.76	79.81	79.99	79.68(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	20	12	82	2.06	49%	0.01	47.2	1.46%	0	0.8	68	0
13	Mar_1_2016	78.46	77.89	79.59	79.69	79.79	79.69	80.72(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10	16	105	1.58	51%	0.01	49.6	1.45%	0	1.4	73	0
14	Feb_29_2016	78.45	77.7	79.31	79.33	79.4	79.64	78.79(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	20	-16	98	1.93	48%	0	54.4	1.42%	0	0.6	66	0
15	Feb_26_2016	78.45	77.62	79.07	79.65	79.48	79.89	79.69(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	30	25	129	1.4	48%	0.01	65.8	1.42%	0	1.1	70	0

16	Feb_25_2016	78.44	77.39	78.6	79.63	79.54	79.16	79.93(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-40	10	113	1.43	48%	0.04	69.4	1.43%	0	1.4	61	0
17	Feb_24_2016	78.41	77.13	78.15	79.45	79.39	79.06	79.32(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-30	-34	87	1.73	48%	0.04	73.7	1.42%	0	1.2	62	0
18	Feb_23_2016	78.38	76.93	77.73	79.46	79.57	79.92	78.94(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	30	14	101	1.86	48%	0.04	81.1	1.43%	0	1.1	61	0
19	Feb_22_2016	78.35	76.71	77.4	79.26	79.38	79.72	80.38(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	30	47	104	1.62	50%	0.06	83.8	1.41%	0	2.1	62	0
20	Feb_19_2016	78.3	76.44	76.91	78.39	78.71	79.23	79.6(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	60	44	69	2.07	50%	0.06	86.1	1.41%	0	2.1	59	0

21	Feb_18_2016	78.25	76.15	76.61	77.4	77.83	79.04	78.99(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	130	72	59	1.56	50%	0.06	77.6	1.4%	0	1.9	67	0
22	Feb_17_2016	78.2	75.84	76.33	76.64	76.58	78.18	79.39(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	79	140	88	50	1.91	50%	0.08	59.8	1.41%	0	2.4	69	0
23	Feb_16_2016	78.14	75.54	76	75.77	75.82	76.62	77.94(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	67	80	80	26	2.07	50%	0.13	51.5	1.39%	0	1.9	63	0
24	Feb_12_2016	78.04	75.27	75.89	75.3	75.26	74.97	76.05(1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-30	5	-5	1.52	47%	0.03	40.6	1.37%	0	0.6	60	0
25	Feb_11_2016	78.02	75.14	76	75.22	75.06	75.01	74.62(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10	-41	-17	2.84	45%		38.7	1.35%	0	-0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.