Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $80.7248 (2.46%) ($79.3200 - $80.7248) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $80.7248(2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    VYM(70%)    SDY(69%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-15%)    IPO(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.69(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.59(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.89(3.64%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $34.704b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.5%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.89%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.25%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2016	78.46	77.89	79.59	79.69	79.79	79.69	80.72(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10	16	105	1.58	51%	0.01	49.6	1.45%	0	1.4	73	INF
2	Feb_29_2016	78.45	77.7	79.31	79.33	79.4	79.64	78.79(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	20	-16	98	1.93	48%	0	54.4	1.42%	0	0.6	66	INF
3	Feb_26_2016	78.45	77.62	79.07	79.65	79.48	79.89	79.69(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	30	25	129	1.4	48%	0.01	65.8	1.42%	0	1.1	70	INF
4	Feb_25_2016	78.44	77.39	78.6	79.63	79.54	79.16	79.93(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-40	10	113	1.43	48%	0.04	69.4	1.43%	0	1.4	61	INF
5	Feb_24_2016	78.41	77.13	78.15	79.45	79.39	79.06	79.32(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-30	-34	87	1.73	48%	0.04	73.7	1.42%	0	1.2	62	INF

6	Feb_23_2016	78.38	76.93	77.73	79.46	79.57	79.92	78.94(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	30	14	101	1.86	48%	0.04	81.1	1.43%	0	1.1	61	INF
7	Feb_22_2016	78.35	76.71	77.4	79.26	79.38	79.72	80.38(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	30	47	104	1.62	50%	0.06	83.8	1.41%	0	2.1	62	INF
8	Feb_19_2016	78.3	76.44	76.91	78.39	78.71	79.23	79.6(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	60	44	69	2.07	50%	0.06	86.1	1.41%	0	2.1	59	INF
9	Feb_18_2016	78.25	76.15	76.61	77.4	77.83	79.04	78.99(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	130	72	59	1.56	50%	0.06	77.6	1.4%	0	1.9	67	INF
10	Feb_17_2016	78.2	75.84	76.33	76.64	76.58	78.18	79.39(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	79	140	88	50	1.91	50%	0.08	59.8	1.41%	0	2.4	69	INF

11	Feb_16_2016	78.14	75.54	76	75.77	75.82	76.62	77.94(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	67	80	80	26	2.07	50%	0.13	51.5	1.39%	0	1.9	63	INF
12	Feb_12_2016	78.04	75.27	75.89	75.3	75.26	74.97	76.05(1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-30	5	-5	1.52	47%	0.03	40.6	1.37%	0	0.6	60	INF
13	Feb_11_2016	78.02	75.14	76	75.22	75.06	75.01	74.62(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10	-41	-17	2.84	45%	0.03	38.7	1.35%	0	-0.4	47	INF
14	Feb_10_2016	78	75.03	76.07	75.7	75.58	75.54	75.2(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10	6	25	1.87	45%	0.03	33	1.35%	0	0.1	60	INF
15	Feb_9_2016	77.98	74.97	76.06	75.95	75.78	75.12	75.05(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-16	-70	-31	30	2.25	45%	0.01	29.9	1.35%	0	0.1	64	INF

16	Feb_8_2016	77.97	74.88	76.1	76.23	76.1	75.61	75.59(-0.07%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-25	-50	-47	43	2.35	45%	0.04	24.6	1.35%	0	0.4	61	INF
17	Feb_5_2016	77.94	74.74	76.02	76.55	76.53	76.44	75.65(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10	-11	80	2.25	45%	0.03	12.8	1.36%	0	0.6	65	INF
18	Feb_4_2016	77.92	74.62	76.01	76.88	76.51	76.59	77.03(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10	7	113	1.82	47%	0.04	-0.9	1.34%	0	1.5	65	INF
19	Feb_3_2016	77.89	74.53	75.69	76.5	76.49	76.62	76.43(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	10	21	119	3.05	47%	0.05	-22.5	1.33%	0	1.2	69	INF
20	Feb_2_2016	77.85	74.51	75.34	76.19	76.16	76.43	76.45(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	16	103	3.69	47%	0.06	-37.4	1.33%	0	1.2	58	INF

21	Feb_1_2016	77.8	74.49	75.06	75.95	75.79	76.35	77.19(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	50	35	108	2.84	47%	0.06	-52.1	1.33%	0	1.7	63	INF
22	Jan_29_2016	77.75	74.53	74.59	75.41	75.49	75.9	77.3(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	40	42	92	2.84	47%	0.06	-69	1.34%	0	1.9	65	INF
23	Jan_28_2016	77.7	74.64	74.18	75.04	75.06	75.23	75.12(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	20	13	74	2.02	40%	0.05	-64.4	1.29%	0	0.3	57	INF
24	Jan_27_2016	77.66	74.89	73.87	74.77	75.01	75.08	74.87(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	20	26	48	1.72	40%	0.04	-49.3	1.33%	0	-0	47	INF
25	Jan_26_2016	77.63	75.11	73.77	74.34	74.58	74.88	75.25(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	40	18	17	1.67	40%		-42.4	1.33%	0	0.1	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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