Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $72.7705 (-1.12%) ($71.5424 - $73.5333) on Wed. Jan. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $72.7705(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)    VYM(70%)    IVW(69%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $65.61(-9.84%)
Resistance Level   $75.95
5 Day Moving Average   $72.86(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.26(-0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.95(-4.19%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $31.284b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 4.12% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.34%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -4.29%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.63%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.35%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2016	77.54	75.95	73.26	72.86	72.76	73.03	72.77(-1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-38	20	4	-162	3.06	40%	0.05	-49.3	1.31%	0	-1	24	0
2	Jan_19_2016	77.5	76.2	73.61	73.09	72.84	72.75	73.6(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	-20	11	-171	2.52	40%	0.1	-48.2	1.31%	0	-0.8	30	0
3	Jan_15_2016	77.42	76.46	73.86	72.98	72.87	72.5	72.49(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-71	-40	-23	-213	2.97	38%	0.01	-52.3	1.29%	0	-1.3	26	0
4	Jan_14_2016	77.41	76.85	74.46	73.02	73.1	72.94	73.49(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-63	-10	-12	-215	2.86	39%	0.03	-52.8	1.29%	0	-1.2	28	0
5	Jan_13_2016	77.39	77.16	75.1	72.98	73.13	73.25	71.95(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	20	-21	-221	1.86	35%	0.06	-54.4	1.26%	0	-1.8	26	0

6	Jan_12_2016	77.34	77.52	75.97	73.71	73.34	73.26	73.93(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	-20	-14	-189	1.98	38%	0.05	-54.5	1.22%	0	-1.4	34	0
7	Jan_11_2016	77.3	77.73	76.55	74.23	73.84	73.01	73.04(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-86	-90	-55	-179	2.13	36%	0	-58.4	1.21%	0	-1.9	35	0
8	Jan_8_2016	77.3	78.07	77.25	74.89	74.79	73.42	72.69(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-119	-130	-101	-171	2.49	39%	-0.04	-57	1.21%	0	-2.4	29	0
9	Jan_7_2016	77.33	78.41	77.99	76.12	75.68	74.68	73.29(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-128	-110	-124	-141	5.03	39%	-0.06	-54.4	1.23%	0	-2.8	27	0
10	Jan_6_2016	77.38	78.76	78.61	77.53	77.08	76.16	75.6(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-77	-100	-76	-80	1.51	43%	-0.03	-48.6	1.18%	0	-2.2	36	0

11	Jan_5_2016	77.4	79	78.92	78.57	78.34	76.68	76.54(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-86	-160	-96	-54	2.04	48%	-0.01	-32.7	1.17%	0	-2	43	0
12	Jan_4_2016	77.41	79.22	79.06	79.22	79.33	78.01	76.35(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-98	-110	-117	-40	2.25	48%	0.01	-16.7	1.19%	0	-2.6	49	0
13	Dec_31_2015	77.4	79.36	79.34	79.94	80.07	80	78.82(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-25	-0	-38	16	1.42	54%	0.05	-3.4	1.12%	0	-0.6	48	0
14	Dec_30_2015	77.36	79.43	79.48	80.13	80.22	80.66	80.36(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	40	38	63	0.74	61%	0.08	2.5	1.09%	0	1	55	0
15	Dec_29_2015	77.3	79.45	79.38	79.84	79.95	80.14	80.79(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	20	42	51	0.98	61%	0.08	-4.9	1.11%	0	1.4	53	0

16	Dec_28_2015	77.24	79.39	79.16	79.34	79.45	79.77	79.78(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	30	22	16	0.97	54%	0.13	-24.8	1.1%	0	0.4	48	0
17	Dec_24_2015	77.14	79.4	78.95	78.88	79.06	79.75	79.95(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	31	70	45	-12	0.64	54%	0.05	-37.3	1.13%	0	0.6	45	0
18	Dec_23_2015	77.1	79.39	78.88	78.67	78.56	79.13	79.76(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	18	50	31	-22	1.06	54%	0.08	-44.1	1.13%	0	0.4	54	0
19	Dec_22_2015	77.04	79.41	78.8	78.76	78.6	78.37	78.95(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-30	7	-37	1.77	54%	0.08	-37.5	1.12%	0	-0.5	45	0
20	Dec_21_2015	76.98	79.5	78.87	78.87	78.88	78	78.28(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-80	-48	-62	1.43	54%	0.06	-30.1	1.13%	0	-1.2	41	0

21	Dec_18_2015	76.93	79.62	79.05	78.96	79.25	78.83	77.48(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-46	-30	-43	-56	3.88	54%	0.04	-18.9	1.13%	0	-2.2	44	0
22	Dec_17_2015	76.9	79.75	79.05	78.97	79.31	79.77	78.9(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	50	13	-31	1.76	58%	0.05	-21.2	1.1%	0	-1	46	0
23	Dec_16_2015	76.86	79.81	79.05	79.09	78.9	79.67	80.19(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	30	60	47	-21	1.54	62%	0.08	-21.8	1.08%	0	0.5	51	0
24	Dec_15_2015	76.8	79.77	79.39	78.86	78.8	78.84	79.52(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	0	31	-36	1.83	62%	0.08	-34.3	1.08%	0	-0.3	47	0
25	Dec_14_2015	76.74	79.79	79.52	78.92	78.79	78.14	78.71(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-60	-44	-63	1.54	62%		-34.3	1.09%	0	-1.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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