Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $80.1737 (-0.73%) ($79.4062 - $80.6729) on Tue. Nov. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $80.1737(-0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    VYM(71%)    IVW(69%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $80.3
5 Day Moving Average   $80.3(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.3(-0.16%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $34.467b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.34%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.72%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2015	76.1	80.3	80	80.3	80.35	80.45	80.17(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	10	-1	-3	1.1	55%	0.08	-62.9	1.4%	0	-0.1	48	0
2	Nov_23_2015	76.04	80.45	80.02	80.15	80.23	80.63	80.77(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	40	21	2	1.17	55%	0.07	-46.7	1.47%	0	0.3	53	0
3	Nov_20_2015	75.99	80.56	79.95	80	79.96	80.25	80.71(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	19	20	25	-1	1.8	47%	0.09	-35.2	1.57%	0	0.1	51	0
4	Nov_19_2015	75.92	80.7	79.97	79.58	79.67	79.84	79.88(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	20	10	-16	1.06	47%	0.07	-30.2	1.59%	0	-0.6	46	0
5	Nov_18_2015	75.87	80.84	80.02	79.55	79.47	79.67	79.98(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	10	1	-26	1.39	47%	0.08	-20.4	1.59%	0	-0.6	38	0

6	Nov_17_2015	75.81	80.89	80.06	79.68	79.59	79.5	79.42(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10	-1	-28	1.42	49%	0.08	-11	1.59%	0	-1.1	38	0
7	Nov_16_2015	75.75	80.97	80.14	79.87	79.86	79.27	80(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-50	-18	-43	1.13	49%	0.04	0	1.6%	0	-0.8	30	0
8	Nov_13_2015	75.72	81.02	80.18	79.92	80.08	79.68	78.64(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-44	-30	-37	-63	1.29	49%	0.03	6.3	1.59%	0	-1.9	22	0
9	Nov_12_2015	75.7	81.11	80.38	80.39	80.35	80.45	79.72(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-17	10	-5	-52	1.19	49%	0.04	22.7	1.59%	0	-1.1	23	0
10	Nov_11_2015	75.67	81.12	80.57	80.53	80.44	80.48	80.61(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	0	9	-50	1.21	49%	0.04	27.7	1.58%	0	-0.4	34	0

11	Nov_10_2015	75.64	81.04	80.63	80.49	80.38	80.24	80.4(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-20	-6	-56	1.55	50%	0.03	30.2	1.58%	0	-0.5	49	0
12	Nov_9_2015	75.62	80.97	80.92	80.45	80.45	80.4	80.22(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-0	-5	-46	1.37	50%	0.04	36.6	1.59%	0	-0.5	49	0
13	Nov_6_2015	75.59	80.93	81.22	80.5	80.46	80.52	81.02(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	0	3	-32	1.69	49%	0.04	44.8	1.58%	0	0.1	53	0
14	Nov_5_2015	75.56	80.83	81.46	80.38	80.42	80.5	80.42(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	10	-4	-24	1.31	50%	0.05	51.8	1.6%	0	-0.3	54	0
15	Nov_4_2015	75.52	80.76	81.71	80.63	80.58	80.4	80.4(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-20	-4	-3	1.59	50%	0.05	62.6	1.61%	0	-0.2	58	0

16	Nov_3_2015	75.48	80.63	81.79	80.81	80.76	80.34	80.19(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-22	-40	-29	0	1.71	50%	0.05	65.7	1.61%	0	-0.2	61	0
17	Nov_2_2015	75.44	80.45	81.88	81.47	81.05	80.77	80.43(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-20	-40	-34	24	1.9	50%	0.05	77	1.61%	0	-0	63	0
18	Oct_30_2015	75.4	80.28	81.94	82.05	81.75	81.17	80.43(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-60	-26	50	3.04	47%	0.03	84.3	1.61%	0	0.1	59	0
19	Oct_29_2015	75.38	80.04	81.95	82.71	82.31	81.34	81.7(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-100	-43	66	2.48	50%	0.07	86.7	1.64%	0	0.6	68	0
20	Oct_28_2015	75.33	79.71	81.75	82.95	82.86	82.32	81.28(-2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-50	-31	82	3.4	51%	0.07	86.2	1.66%	0	0.6	68	0

21	Oct_27_2015	75.28	79.38	81.53	82.87	83.02	83.29	83.52(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	30	15	109	2.03	53%	0.09	80.4	1.62%	0	1.4	89	0
22	Oct_26_2015	75.21	78.87	81.05	82.33	82.5	83.39	83.32(-0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	60	80	40	118	2.3	53%	0.09	73.8	1.62%	0	1.4	91	0
23	Oct_23_2015	75.14	78.34	80.63	81.81	81.83	82.75	83.71(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	76	80	59	126	1.83	51%	0.09	70.1	1.63%	0	1.8	91	0
24	Oct_22_2015	75.07	77.86	80.12	81.1	81.09	81.61	82.93(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	61	40	42	118	2.1	51%	0.07	69.3	1.63%	0	1.8	92	0
25	Oct_21_2015	75.02	77.38	79.68	80.41	80.55	80.9	80.86(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	40	26	114	1.61	48%		66.5	1.61%	0	1.3	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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