Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $81.2832 (-2.68%) ($80.3493 - $82.5222) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $81.2832(-2.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IWD(71%)    VYM(71%)    IVE(70%)    SDY(69%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.95(-2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.75(-0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.71(1.97%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   20.3%
Market Cap   $34.944b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 3.49% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.1%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.27%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.48%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_28_2015	75.33	79.71	81.75	82.95	82.86	82.32	81.28(-2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-50	-31	82	3.4	51%	0.07	86.2	1.66%	0	0.6	68	0
2	Oct_27_2015	75.28	79.38	81.53	82.87	83.02	83.29	83.52(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	30	15	109	2.03	53%	0.09	80.4	1.62%	0	1.4	89	0
3	Oct_26_2015	75.21	78.87	81.05	82.33	82.5	83.39	83.32(-0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	60	80	40	118	2.3	53%	0.09	73.8	1.62%	0	1.4	91	0
4	Oct_23_2015	75.14	78.34	80.63	81.81	81.83	82.75	83.71(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	76	80	59	126	1.83	51%	0.09	70.1	1.63%	0	1.8	91	0
5	Oct_22_2015	75.07	77.86	80.12	81.1	81.09	81.61	82.93(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	61	40	42	118	2.1	51%	0.07	69.3	1.63%	0	1.8	92	0

6	Oct_21_2015	75.02	77.38	79.68	80.41	80.55	80.9	80.86(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	40	26	114	1.61	48%	0.03	66.5	1.61%	0	1.3	90	0
7	Oct_20_2015	75	77	79.33	79.98	80.06	80.56	80.83(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	50	26	119	1.31	48%	0.04	63.2	1.61%	0	1.4	91	0
8	Oct_19_2015	74.97	76.62	78.88	79.57	79.61	80.19	80.72(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	50	32	126	1.44	48%	0.04	62	1.61%	0	1.6	92	0
9	Oct_16_2015	74.94	76.27	78.46	79.27	79.21	79.56	80.16(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	30	26	136	1.84	48%	0.03	65.7	1.61%	0	1.5	92	0
10	Oct_15_2015	74.92	75.9	77.98	79	78.95	79.03	79.49(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	9	130	1.23	48%	0.01	67.6	1.61%	0	1.5	75	0

11	Oct_14_2015	74.91	75.59	77.52	78.84	78.9	78.85	78.72(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-0	8	134	1.23	48%	0	73.2	1.61%	0	1.4	76	0
12	Oct_13_2015	74.91	75.33	77.09	78.56	78.67	78.88	78.74(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	20	15	137	1.4	48%	0.05	77	1.61%	0	1.6	76	0
13	Oct_12_2015	74.87	75.03	76.55	78.06	78.19	78.95	79.22(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	70	36	134	1.05	48%	0	75.4	1.61%	0	2	80	0
14	Oct_9_2015	74.87	74.65	75.9	77.51	77.53	78.47	78.81(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	90	56	125	2.19	49%	-0.01	80	1.61%	0	2.1	73	0
15	Oct_8_2015	74.88	74.32	75.42	76.79	76.85	77.44	78.7(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	60	56	112	2.13	48%	-0.01	82	1.61%	0	2.5	75	0

16	Oct_7_2015	74.89	73.97	74.88	76.01	75.92	76.6	77.34(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	60	31	82	1.72	46%	-0.04	85.5	1.61%	0	2.3	69	0
17	Oct_6_2015	74.92	73.68	74.47	75.4	75.36	76.26	76.23(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	80	52	74	1.89	46%	-0.05	94.3	1.6%	0	2	64	0
18	Oct_5_2015	74.96	73.45	74.16	74.78	74.8	75.25	76.47(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	40	53	59	1.9	46%	-0.04	92.5	1.6%	0	2.6	68	0
19	Oct_2_2015	74.99	73.13	73.87	74.03	73.95	74.46	75.23(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	50	11	31	2.74	44%	-0.08	67.7	1.6%	0	1.8	69	0
20	Oct_1_2015	75.05	72.93	73.65	73.83	73.74	74.34	74.79(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	50	34	38	2.21	44%	-0.05	64.1	1.6%	0	1.6	63	0

21	Sep_30_2015	75.09	72.73	73.5	73.59	73.66	73.44	74.3(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-20	17	32	2.67	44%	-0.07	56.8	1.6%	0	1.4	63	0
22	Sep_29_2015	75.14	72.47	73.42	73.41	73.42	73.14	73.13(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	-30	-26	19	2.05	40%	-0.08	50	1.59%	0	0.5	61	0
23	Sep_28_2015	75.2	72.37	73.41	73.43	73.55	73.87	72.69(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	40	4	36	1.84	40%	-0.11	53.5	1.63%	0	0.2	57	0
24	Sep_25_2015	75.28	72.34	73.35	73.66	73.41	73.71	74.25(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	20	22	61	2.23	42%	-0.05	56.8	1.61%	0	1.4	78	0
25	Sep_24_2015	75.32	72.2	73.17	73.42	73.24	73.23	73.58(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10	4	54	1.79	41%		40	1.6%	0	1.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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