Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $78.1001 (0.7%) ($77.7418 - $78.5228) on Mon. Jun. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $78.1001(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    VT(69%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-8%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.28(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.09(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.37(0.94%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $33.575b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.63%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2015	78.58	77.37	77.09	77.28	77.35	77.77	78.1(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	40	47	25	1.4	55%	0.04	-74.3	0.89%	0	0.9	48	0
2	Jun_19_2015	78.55	77.42	76.9	76.9	76.91	77.39	77.56(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	27	40	39	-10	2.91	55%	0.01	-83.9	0.89%	0	0.2	47	0
3	Jun_18_2015	78.54	77.51	76.83	76.9	76.6	76.93	77.71(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	20	29	-29	1.56	55%	0.01	-79.8	0.89%	0	0.2	46	0
4	Jun_17_2015	78.53	77.61	76.73	76.8	76.58	76.43	76.52(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-19	-20	-6	-58	1.13	52%	-0.03	-68.1	0.87%	0	-1	35	0
5	Jun_16_2015	78.55	77.79	76.88	76.97	76.86	76.27	76.52(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-60	-29	-63	1.5	55%	-0.03	-55.1	0.88%	0	-1	35	0

6	Jun_15_2015	78.57	77.96	77.02	76.86	77.01	76.74	76.19(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-20	-38	-72	1.68	55%	-0.03	-55.6	0.9%	0	-1.4	38	0
7	Jun_12_2015	78.59	78.15	77.2	76.87	76.95	77.45	77.04(-0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	50	15	-62	1.14	61%	-0.03	-54	0.89%	0	-0.9	34	0
8	Jun_11_2015	78.61	78.32	77.3	76.86	76.79	77.28	77.75(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	30	40	59	-57	1.44	63%	0.01	-47.9	0.91%	0	-0.4	34	0
9	Jun_10_2015	78.6	78.37	77.36	76.67	76.56	76.45	77.34(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-26	-10	0	-102	1.63	58%	0	-49.4	0.91%	0	-0.8	30	0
10	Jun_9_2015	78.6	78.47	77.46	76.81	76.66	76.31	75.96(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-69	-40	-49	-130	1.57	55%	-0.04	-44	0.91%	0	-1.9	14	0

11	Jun_8_2015	78.63	78.66	77.68	77.23	77.18	76.67	76.27(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-57	-50	-36	-120	1.53	55%	0	-36.7	0.92%	0	-2	21	0
12	Jun_5_2015	78.63	78.85	77.99	77.56	77.46	77	76.96(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-72	-50	-55	-121	1.35	55%	0.01	-28.6	0.92%	0	-1.8	22	0
13	Jun_4_2015	78.62	78.95	78.26	77.79	77.77	77.7	76.8(-1.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-49	-10	-29	-107	1.69	50%	0.01	-17.2	0.92%	0	-2.2	19	0
14	Jun_3_2015	78.61	79.03	78.57	78.13	78.01	77.92	78.06(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10	-1	-72	1.74	50%	0.01	-8.3	0.95%	0	-1.1	46	0
15	Jun_2_2015	78.6	79.05	78.78	78.13	78.1	77.84	78.05(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-30	-18	-68	2.03	53%	0.03	-5.7	0.97%	0	-1.2	42	0

16	Jun_1_2015	78.58	79.1	78.96	78.21	78.24	78.1	77.91(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10	-25	-69	1.62	53%	0.01	2.9	0.99%	0	-1.5	38	0
17	May_29_2015	78.57	79.14	79.19	78.49	78.38	78.36	78.11(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10	-19	-54	2.19	53%	0.01	19.6	0.99%	0	-1.3	38	0
18	May_28_2015	78.56	79.12	79.42	78.81	78.71	78.37	78.53(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-30	-18	-29	1.3	53%	0.04	22.4	1%	0	-0.7	50	0
19	May_27_2015	78.53	79.1	79.47	79.07	79.03	78.4	78.47(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-60	-55	-28	2.02	53%	0.05	30.6	1.01%	0	-0.7	56	0
20	May_26_2015	78.49	79.09	79.56	79.44	79.5	79.04	78.02(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-40	-40	-52	-4	1.87	53%	0.06	44.2	1%	0	-1.2	52	0

21	May_22_2015	78.44	79.08	79.74	79.81	79.91	79.65	79.3(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-20	-23	30	1.5	56%	0.01	52.9	0.96%	0	0.2	53	0
22	May_21_2015	78.43	79	79.79	79.99	79.99	79.96	79.71(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-0	-19	48	1.52	56%	0.05	63.4	0.97%	0	0.7	59	0
23	May_20_2015	78.39	78.93	79.71	80.12	80.14	80.18	79.86(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	0	15	79	1.77	58%	0.05	69.9	0.98%	0	1	67	0
24	May_19_2015	78.35	78.83	79.55	79.91	80.06	80.03	80.29(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	0	10	71	1.88	58%	0.04	62.6	0.98%	0	1.5	63	0
25	May_18_2015	78.32	78.7	79.34	79.71	79.78	80.11	79.91(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	30	7	62	1.59	58%		57.1	0.98%	0	1.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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