Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $80.5397 (1.09%) ($79.0457 - $80.5987) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $80.5397(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    VT(70%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.89(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.36(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.44(2.68%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $34.624b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.27%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -2.77%(42%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 2.02%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.82%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	74.98	78.44	79.36	79.89	79.48	79.73	80.54(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	10	24	113	2.01	64%	0.21	50.3	0.99%	0	1.4	78	INF
2	Feb_19_2015	74.82	78.33	79.21	79.72	79.54	79.3	79.67(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-30	8	121	1.57	63%	0.21	59.2	0.98%	0	1	64	INF
3	Feb_18_2015	74.66	78.19	79.1	79.56	79.52	79.24	79.55(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-30	-19	118	1.76	63%	0.07	58.6	0.99%	0	1	62	INF
4	Feb_17_2015	74.61	78.07	78.89	79.36	79.43	79.77	79.11(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	30	11	121	3.99	63%	0.05	58.1	0.99%	0	0.8	55	INF
5	Feb_13_2015	74.57	77.95	78.59	79.16	79.19	79.8	80.6(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	78	60	64	120	1.94	68%	0.09	54.7	0.95%	0	2	56	INF

6	Feb_12_2015	74.5	77.72	78.03	78.74	78.68	79.1	79.69(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	40	36	63	1.87	66%	0.05	45.3	0.94%	0	1.6	52	INF
7	Feb_11_2015	74.46	77.53	77.71	78.64	78.53	78.57	78.85(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-0	18	37	1.82	64%	0.05	46.2	0.93%	0	1.1	50	INF
8	Feb_10_2015	74.42	77.4	77.5	78.6	78.51	78.26	78.57(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-30	-8	25	2.55	64%	0.05	51	0.93%	0	1	58	INF
9	Feb_9_2015	74.38	77.29	77.4	78.34	78.59	78.49	78.11(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	0	9	25	1.7	64%	0.03	49.7	0.94%	0	0.7	54	INF
10	Feb_6_2015	74.36	77.22	77.43	77.88	78.25	78.77	78.5(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	60	54	35	2.39	64%	0.04	43.4	0.94%	0	1.1	57	INF

11	Feb_5_2015	74.33	77.16	77.44	77.17	77.3	78.7	79.16(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	78	130	91	38	2.15	64%	0.05	34.9	0.93%	0	1.8	64	INF
12	Feb_4_2015	74.29	76.98	77.36	76.66	76.54	77.73	78.63(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	106	100	125	47	3.66	64%	0.04	20.1	0.94%	0	1.5	62	INF
13	Feb_3_2015	74.26	76.79	77.17	76.28	76	75.91	77.32(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	-20	22	-7	3.45	61%	0.03	2.1	0.94%	0	0.5	56	INF
14	Feb_2_2015	74.24	76.71	77.15	76.37	76.17	75.34	75.78(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-70	-80	-80	-39	2.81	56%	0.01	-2.8	0.91%	0	-0.8	48	INF
15	Jan_30_2015	74.23	76.72	77.27	76.94	76.85	76.09	74.95(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-68	-70	-86	-15	4.08	62%	0	4.1	1.01%	0	-1.6	41	INF

16	Jan_29_2015	74.23	76.77	77.42	77.73	77.54	77	76.6(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-39	-60	-59	22	2.97	70%	0.01	18	0.98%	0	-0.2	45	INF
17	Jan_28_2015	74.22	76.76	77.39	77.73	78.1	77.61	76.77(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-50	-26	58	2.14	70%	0.03	22.5	0.98%	0	0	59	INF
18	Jan_27_2015	74.2	76.77	77.36	78.14	78.17	78.07	77.77(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10	-16	74	1.7	76%	0.03	23.1	0.97%	0	0.9	68	INF
19	Jan_26_2015	74.18	76.74	77.22	78.02	77.93	78.59	78.62(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	60	38	100	1.53	82%	0.04	19.4	0.95%	0	1.8	68	INF
20	Jan_23_2015	74.15	76.67	77.03	77.66	77.57	78.27	78.87(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	93	60	87	112	2.09	82%	0.05	12.4	0.96%	0	2.2	69	INF

21	Jan_22_2015	74.11	76.58	76.85	77.09	76.94	77.28	78.66(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	58	30	49	85	1.98	82%	0.04	7.2	0.96%	0	2.4	67	INF
22	Jan_21_2015	74.08	76.58	76.53	76.56	76.53	76.87	76.79(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	30	26	49	1.73	82%	0.03	4.3	0.92%	0	0.4	52	INF
23	Jan_20_2015	74.06	76.52	76.36	76.46	76.27	76.6	77.17(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	20	28	28	1.57	82%	0.03	12.4	0.94%	0	0.9	49	INF
24	Jan_16_2015	74.04	76.52	76.2	76.46	76.2	76.19	76.8(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10	9	0	2.26	82%	0.03	12.9	0.95%	0	0.3	44	INF
25	Jan_15_2015	74.02	76.54	76.08	76.31	76.3	75.95	76.01(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-30	-27	-27	1.43	80%		14.8	0.95%	0	-0.6	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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