Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $77.1659 (0.47%) ($76.0942 - $77.3929) on Tue. Jan. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $77.1659(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    VT(70%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.46(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.36(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.52(0.84%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $33.174b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.38%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2015	74.06	76.52	76.36	76.46	76.27	76.6	77.17(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	20	28	28	1.57	82%	0.03	12.4	0.94%	0	0.9	49	0
2	Jan_16_2015	74.04	76.52	76.2	76.46	76.2	76.19	76.8(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10	9	0	2.26	82%	0.03	12.9	0.95%	0	0.3	44	0
3	Jan_15_2015	74.02	76.54	76.08	76.31	76.3	75.95	76.01(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-30	-27	-27	1.43	80%	0.01	14.8	0.95%	0	-0.6	38	0
4	Jan_14_2015	74.01	76.52	76.06	76.57	76.51	76.21	76.04(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-30	-29	-28	1.79	80%	0.01	15	0.97%	0	-0.6	39	0
5	Jan_13_2015	74	76.48	76.09	76.49	76.75	76.66	76.27(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	3	0	12	-26	1.92	80%	0.01	0	0.97%	0	-0.2	36	0

6	Jan_12_2015	73.99	76.43	76.16	76.23	76.35	76.81	76.42(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	50	14	-37	1.33	80%	0.03	-20.2	0.98%	0	-0	46	0
7	Jan_9_2015	73.97	76.44	76.24	76.06	76	76.84	76.79(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	40	80	63	-29	1.75	68%	0.01	-27.3	0.98%	0	0.4	42	0
8	Jan_8_2015	73.96	76.42	76.28	75.83	75.71	75.89	77.35(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	30	10	52	-38	3.36	68%	0.04	-39.8	1.02%	0	0.9	52	0
9	Jan_7_2015	73.93	76.4	76.26	75.5	75.43	75.17	75.61(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-30	-32	-74	2.08	63%	0	-52.4	1%	0	-0.8	55	0
10	Jan_6_2015	73.93	76.48	76.47	75.66	75.74	75.54	74.95(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-20	-29	-48	2.57	63%	0.01	-51.6	1.02%	0	-1.6	52	0

11	Jan_5_2015	73.92	76.61	76.69	76.08	76.09	75.7	75.59(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-40	-32	-18	3.27	63%	0.01	-41	1.01%	0	-1.1	58	0
12	Jan_2_2015	73.91	76.72	76.91	76.44	76.44	75.94	75.64(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-50	-47	-3	1.87	70%	0.03	-25.9	1.08%	0	-1.2	45	0
13	Dec_31_2014	73.89	76.82	76.91	76.79	76.94	76.48	75.71(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-22	-40	-36	20	1.81	37%	0.04	-8.8	1.09%	0	-1.3	48	0
14	Dec_30_2014	73.86	76.91	77.05	77.12	77.22	76.93	76.38(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-20	-19	12	1.43	37%	0.05	6.3	2.09%	0	-0.6	47	0
15	Dec_29_2014	73.82	76.97	76.95	77.41	77.53	77.39	77.08(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-3	17	1.24	37%	0.05	25.5	2.09%	0	0.1	48	0

16	Dec_26_2014	73.78	76.98	76.76	77.38	77.57	77.51	77.37(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	0	-4	8	1.01	37%	0.09	31.3	2.09%	0	0.5	48	0
17	Dec_24_2014	73.71	76.95	76.69	77.47	77.52	77.66	77.41(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	10	1	9	1.06	38%	0.07	37.5	2.08%	0	0.5	47	0
18	Dec_23_2014	73.66	76.89	76.58	77.36	77.61	77.63	77.35(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	10	18	10	2.34	37%	0.07	33.9	2.09%	0	0.5	48	0
19	Dec_22_2014	73.61	76.85	76.53	76.95	77.14	77.39	77.83(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	30	9	-4	1.67	36%	0.07	20.5	2.09%	0	1.1	51	0
20	Dec_19_2014	73.56	76.76	76.45	76.42	76.65	77.59	76.93(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	21	90	30	-8	4.23	36%	0.04	0.9	2.09%	0	0.2	44	0

21	Dec_18_2014	73.53	76.71	76.49	76.02	76.09	76.89	77.81(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	25	80	38	-13	3.54	38%	0.07	-18.6	2.09%	0	1.3	52	0
22	Dec_17_2014	73.48	76.62	76.46	75.83	75.55	75.71	76.91(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	0	7	-27	1.91	38%	0.04	-30	2.09%	0	0.3	52	0
23	Dec_16_2014	73.45	76.6	76.51	75.73	75.86	75.29	75.3(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-50	-12	-33	1.99	34%	0.01	-35.2	2.07%	0	-1.6	44	0
24	Dec_15_2014	73.44	76.68	76.73	76.06	76.2	75.4	75.18(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-70	-36	-33	1.85	35%	0.01	-27.5	2.07%	0	-1.9	41	0
25	Dec_12_2014	73.43	76.75	77	76.48	76.62	76.43	74.92(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-23	-10	-26	-15	2.42	35%		-12.1	2.07%	0	-2.6	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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