Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $75.0700 (0.16%) ($74.7558 - $75.3572) on Mon. Aug. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $75.0700(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    VT(69%)    XLK(66%)    XLI(65%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.05(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.48(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.69(1.87%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $32.273b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.16%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.73%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2014	70.95	73.69	74.48	75.05	75.06	75.13	75.07(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	50	10	4	189	0.85	77%	0.1	36.5	0.57%	0	1.4	81	0
2	Aug_22_2014	70.88	73.63	74.28	74.99	74.97	75.17	74.95(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	77	20	36	200	0.91	78%	0.08	42.4	0.58%	0	1.4	68	0
3	Aug_21_2014	70.82	73.58	74.08	74.77	74.79	74.98	75.31(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	79	20	43	185	0.81	78%	0.08	45.2	0.58%	0	1.9	68	0
4	Aug_20_2014	70.76	73.5	73.74	74.5	74.53	74.78	75.03(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	20	35	150	1.08	78%	0.08	53.5	0.58%	0	1.8	68	0
5	Aug_19_2014	70.7	73.42	73.45	74.22	74.43	74.59	74.9(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	75	20	61	118	0.84	78%	0.08	55.2	0.59%	0	1.9	57	0

6	Aug_18_2014	70.64	73.33	73.18	73.83	74.1	74.28	74.74(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	43	30	36	63	0.94	78%	0.1	52.6	0.59%	0	2	58	0
7	Aug_15_2014	70.57	73.22	72.98	73.48	73.72	74.27	73.86(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	60	53	30	1.66	71%	0.07	48.3	0.59%	0	1	46	0
8	Aug_14_2014	70.52	73.17	72.9	73.28	73.45	73.91	73.97(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	81	50	100	22	0.8	67%	0.09	42.6	0.64%	0	1.2	45	0
9	Aug_13_2014	70.46	73.06	72.79	72.86	72.95	73.16	73.62(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	19	20	39	-43	1.06	67%	0.07	24.7	0.65%	0	0.8	44	0
10	Aug_12_2014	70.41	72.99	72.78	72.57	72.65	72.99	72.96(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	40	34	-65	1.02	67%	0.07	12.6	0.64%	0	-0	45	0

11	Aug_11_2014	70.36	72.96	72.83	72.43	72.46	72.75	73.02(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	13	30	41	-71	0.98	67%	0.06	6.1	0.65%	0	0.1	47	0
12	Aug_8_2014	70.32	72.92	72.92	72.4	72.33	72.31	72.83(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-0	3	-74	1.29	67%	0.04	4.9	0.65%	0	-0.1	52	0
13	Aug_7_2014	70.29	72.88	73.04	72.48	72.43	72.17	71.88(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-30	-33	-70	1.32	64%	0.03	5.7	0.64%	0	-1.3	44	0
14	Aug_6_2014	70.27	72.89	73.26	72.7	72.63	72.35	72.14(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-30	-54	-38	1.04	61%	0.03	13.6	0.64%	0	-1	57	0
15	Aug_5_2014	70.25	72.9	73.4	73.02	72.93	72.69	72.25(-0.9%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-31	-30	-42	3	1.54	61%	0.03	26.2	0.65%	0	-0.9	53	0

16	Aug_4_2014	70.23	72.91	73.4	73.27	73.24	72.91	72.91(-0.4%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-24	-30	-43	35	2.12	64%	0.06	41.7	0.64%	0	0	60	0
17	Aug_1_2014	70.19	72.88	73.52	73.5	73.49	73.18	73.2(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-23	-30	-50	58	1.69	64%	0.04	54.7	0.64%	0	0.4	63	0
18	Jul_31_2014	70.16	72.84	73.48	73.69	73.74	73.57	73(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10	-35	89	1.64	64%	0.04	70.8	0.64%	0	0.2	63	0
19	Jul_30_2014	70.13	72.79	73.39	73.89	73.9	73.81	73.75(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10	-3	119	1.67	70%	0.06	81.7	0.63%	0	1.2	72	0
20	Jul_29_2014	70.09	72.71	73.24	73.84	73.87	73.9	73.5(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	31	0	2	116	1.32	73%	0.04	90.5	0.65%	0	1	65	0

21	Jul_28_2014	70.06	72.59	73.11	73.8	73.73	73.98	74.06(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	20	32	123	0.88	76%	0.07	86.4	0.67%	0	1.8	73	0
22	Jul_25_2014	70.01	72.46	72.92	73.53	73.51	73.83	74.16(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	70	30	55	115	1.2	71%	0.06	81.1	0.67%	0	2.2	75	0
23	Jul_24_2014	69.97	72.3	72.69	73.25	73.13	73.47	74(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	61	30	52	89	1.27	71%	0.07	81.6	0.69%	0	2.4	71	0
24	Jul_23_2014	69.92	72.15	72.47	72.8	72.82	73.19	73.46(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	54	40	52	60	1.04	70%	0.04	77	0.69%	0	2.1	70	0
25	Jul_22_2014	69.89	72.02	72.34	72.57	72.48	72.8	73.33(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	43	30	43	42	0.83	70%		75.9	0.69%	0	2.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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