Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $71.1199 (-0.29%) ($70.7967 - $71.4520) on Mon. Jun. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $71.1199(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    VT(69%)    XLK(66%)    XLI(65%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.74(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.67(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.7(0.59%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $30.574b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 0.52% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.27%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.3%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2014	69.28	70.7	70.67	70.74	70.79	71.09	71.12(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	25	30	28	16	0.92	51%	0.03	69.2	0.81%	0	1.1	59	0
2	Jun_20_2014	69.26	70.66	70.69	70.63	70.6	70.82	71.33(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	20	28	16	3.5	51%	0.04	74.5	0.82%	0	1.9	53	0
3	Jun_19_2014	69.23	70.58	70.65	70.52	70.6	70.48	70.44(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	6	-0	8	0	1.65	46%	0.03	76.4	0.8%	0	-0.4	43	0
4	Jun_18_2014	69.21	70.53	70.63	70.48	70.5	70.38	70.57(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10	-7	-15	2.24	48%	0.03	56.7	0.81%	0	0.1	45	0
5	Jun_17_2014	69.19	70.47	70.61	70.47	70.47	70.52	70.22(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	0	-12	-18	1.95	50%	0.03	39.7	0.81%	0	-0.5	50	0

6	Jun_16_2014	69.17	70.45	70.62	70.59	70.5	70.63	70.61(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	10	2	-10	1.03	50%	0.03	38.3	0.82%	0	0.3	49	0
7	Jun_13_2014	69.15	70.39	70.64	70.75	70.63	70.43	70.75(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-20	-3	1	1.08	50%	0.04	41.4	0.83%	0	0.6	54	0
8	Jun_12_2014	69.12	70.29	70.67	70.81	70.77	70.37	70.25(-0.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-24	-40	-33	5	1.17	50%	0.01	31.7	0.83%	0	-0.1	57	0
9	Jun_11_2014	69.11	70.26	70.75	70.8	70.91	70.83	70.51(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-0	-16	28	1.6	50%	0.04	35.2	0.83%	0	0.3	62	0
10	Jun_10_2014	69.08	70.25	70.74	70.77	70.81	71.17	70.85(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	40	24	52	1.98	50%	0.04	43.8	0.84%	0	0.8	67	0

11	Jun_9_2014	69.05	70.23	70.73	70.65	70.55	70.99	71.39(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	40	44	65	1.28	50%	0.06	46.2	0.84%	0	1.6	66	0
12	Jun_6_2014	69.01	70.14	70.63	70.53	70.34	70.45	71.04(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	0	18	58	1.41	50%	0.04	48.5	0.84%	0	1.3	66	0
13	Jun_5_2014	68.98	70.06	70.49	70.55	70.39	70.1	70.23(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-40	-21	55	1.52	48%	0.03	52.1	0.84%	0	0.3	69	0
14	Jun_4_2014	68.96	70	70.42	70.7	70.63	70.23	70.34(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-40	-33	57	2.33	48%	0.04	53.5	0.85%	0	0.5	55	0
15	Jun_3_2014	68.93	69.93	70.32	70.71	70.8	70.68	70.23(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-10	-27	51	2.3	48%	0.03	52.9	0.85%	0	0.4	48	0

16	Jun_2_2014	68.91	69.89	70.27	70.81	70.89	71.03	70.83(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	20	12	66	0.98	48%	0.06	69.2	0.85%	0	1.3	52	0
17	May_30_2014	68.87	69.81	70.13	70.72	70.8	70.93	71.1(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	20	28	66	2.22	48%	0.06	78.4	0.86%	0	1.8	59	0
18	May_29_2014	68.83	69.71	69.87	70.43	70.55	70.76	70.99(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	30	26	41	1.06	48%	0.06	80.6	0.87%	0	2	60	0
19	May_28_2014	68.79	69.63	69.73	70.1	70.25	70.68	70.38(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	50	39	34	1.25	46%	0.04	89	0.87%	0	1.3	59	0
20	May_27_2014	68.76	69.55	69.72	69.87	69.92	70.34	70.76(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	40	47	39	1.17	46%	0.06	81.9	0.87%	0	2.1	65	0

21	May_23_2014	68.72	69.39	69.66	69.65	69.63	69.82	70.36(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	20	30	28	0.97	46%	0.06	53.7	0.88%	0	1.3	55	0
22	May_22_2014	68.68	69.25	69.58	69.46	69.45	69.5	69.67(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	0	16	17	0.99	43%	0.03	43.9	0.88%	0	0.6	54	0
23	May_21_2014	68.66	69.19	69.56	69.22	69.3	69.44	69.35(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	20	4	1	1.3	43%	0.01	40.5	0.88%	0	0.2	51	0
24	May_20_2014	68.65	69.13	69.55	69.29	69.18	69.41	69.21(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	20	1	-0	1.65	43%	0.01	48.2	0.89%	0	0.1	48	0
25	May_19_2014	68.64	69.08	69.51	69.53	69.34	69.16	69.65(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-30	-1	12	1.12	43%		65	0.9%	0	0.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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